Call me crazy, but I love reading Form 10-Ks, which most publicly traded companies are required by law to file every year with the SEC to provide a comprehensive summary of their businesses.
More specifically, I enjoy looking through the “Risk Factors” section which — just like it sounds — contains a list of the most significant risks facing the company that filed the form. You know… all those scary things management generally wouldn’t want to publish in a press release. But don’t get me wrong; even though a company might represent a generally solid investment, it’s still a great idea to familiarize yourself with its respective risk factors to make a well-informed investment decision.
Source: Whole Foods.
Of course, Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:WFM) stock also happens to be one of the latest additions to my personal portfolio and, while I’ve had no problems extolling the virtues of this remarkable company, I’m well aware it’s far from bulletproof. With that said, here are three of the most significant risks that owners of Whole Foods stock should always keep in mind:
1. “Adverse publicity may reduce our brand value and negatively impact our business.”
Curiously enough, we got a taste of this one just last week after Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:WFM) was compelled to revise a long-standing “English-only” stance outlined in its employee handbook.
After considering the details and context of the situation along with Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:WFM)’ response, however, I thought, at the time, the company deserved the benefit of the doubt — especially when we note its track record of supporting diversity, and its habit of making perennial appearances on Fortune magazine’s “100 Best Companies to Work For” list.
Even so, that track record is both a blessing and a curse for Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:WFM), because consumers and investors alike continue to support the company (at least in part, anyway) for that very reason. As a result, if Whole Foods doesn’t adequately manage its image through adverse publicity, Whole Foods stock price could suffer in the fallout.
Next,it’s important to know that, of Whole Foods’ 349 total locations at the end of last quarter, eight are located in Canada, seven are in the United Kingdom, and the remaining 334 stores are spread across 40 states in the U.S.
Needless to say, then, Whole Foods’ higher-priced grocery business overwhelmingly benefits when the domestic economy supports healthier levels of consumer spending. If (read “when”) U.S. economic conditions eventually take a turn for the worst going forward, it’s a safe bet Whole Foods stock could plunge, as fickle shoppers turn to the cheaper competition.
Then again, that’s also why Whole Foods management told investors earlier this year that margins may come under pressure going forward as the company works to increase their competitive position by placing more focus on lower-priced, value-oriented items.
And that leads me to the third risk…
3. “Increased competition may adversely affect our revenues and profitability.”
It’s no mystery that Whole Foods is up against fierce competition in the grocery biz.
First, it must compete with other up-and-coming organic grocers like The Fresh Market Inc (NASDAQ:TFM), which celebrated its IPO in late 2010. Shares of The Fresh Market Inc (NASDAQ:TFM) recently rose 8% after the company beat analysts’ expectations during its most recent quarter. When all was said and done last quarter, The Fresh Market managed to grow its earnings per diluted share by a respectable 14.6%, while increasing its revenue 12.9%, to more than $366 million.
By way of comparison, however, Whole Foods stock seems relatively safe so far; Whole Foods’ last quarter grew its much larger revenue base by 13% year over year, to $3.03 billion. Better yet, Whole Foods’ own diluted earnings per share increased an even more impressive 19% over the same period.