Zoetis Inc. (NYSE:ZTS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

As you look at renal, cardiology, and oncology, we always said, as we said last year, those are more in the four years-plus range. So there’s no near-term updates there. But we continue to launch products. As you look at — as I spoke in my script about on Bonqat, which is around anxiety for cats, that’s really important. It may not seem a huge product overall, but it’s an unlock for the rest of our portfolio. If we can get cats to the clinic, we can sell more — a lot of our other products, and more importantly, meet the needs of the cat population, which to date has very under-medicalized. So I know we don’t give you all the visibility that you’re dying for in R&D. But I think as you can see, we’ve continued to deliver on our pipeline and both in really innovative products, like what you’re seeing in Librela and Solensia, but also lifecycle innovations that will really extend the life of important franchises such as some of our long-acting monoclonal antibodies, which should be more in the near-term.

Operator: Our next question is coming from Steve Scala with TD Cowen.

Christopher LoBianco: This is Chris on for Steve Scala. We had two questions. First, on livestock, are you seeing any impacts on the ongoing outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza? And then second on the U.S. companion animal market, what underlying trends are you seeing in U.S. pet adoption and abandonment rate? And are you seeing any change in share of wallet, share of consumer pet spend on medicines versus other product categories?

Kristin Peck: Thanks, Steve, I’ll try to take those, and Wetteny, certainly, if there’s anything I missed, you can jump in. Look, we, like all of you, are continuing to watch the outbreak of H5N1. If you look at the portfolio that we have and our capabilities, we stand ready to support both governments and customers across the globe as they look at potential solutions to address H5N1, both on the vaccine side and on the diagnostics side. To date, we have not been requested to do that. But I think like many of our peer companies, we stand ready to support government authorities when that’s needed. I do want to reassure people, I mean, data has come out that the milk is safe. Data came out from FISS this morning reassuring people that the meat base is safe.

So we have not seen any impact to our business whatsoever with regards to this. This is a major issue for our customers. And our real focus is supporting them through this and making sure that we focus on what we can do certainly around biosecurity surveillance and detection, which we’re more and more engaged with the USDA and others, given our diagnostics portfolio as well. So no, we have not seen any impacts to our business to date on that. Regards to the U.S. and looking at — we have not seen a significant U.S. national increase in people bringing their pets back to shelters. I know there’s been some isolated here and there, but as the overall U.S., that is not a trend. And those pets that they all adopted during COVID are all aging and continue to be drivers of our growth, not just in the U.S. but globally.

And I know there has been some talk around consumer sentiment and is that really changing. Obviously, we’ve seen some changes in sort of collars or treats and things like that. But what’s really been clear and what we’ve talked about for a long time is when you think about animal health care, it’s essential. They are not skipping on their animal health care. And if you look at the trends in the quarter as you look at increase in [indiscernible] visits, as Wetteny talked about, the reality is when their animal needs care, they are getting that care. And as you look at spend per visit in the U.S., we’re seeing spend per visit up 6% in the U.S., which means, again, consumers and pet owners want to take care of their animals and they continue to invest in this.

If you look at the strength of the human-animal bond, this is one of the reasons that we say animal health is a very resilient industry that people will continue to invest in the health of their pets, and that’s certainly what we’re seeing in the quarter. And as you saw, our expanded operational guidance for the year really being driven by our companion animal portfolio is what we expect for the year as well.

Operator: We’ll take our next question from Nathan Rich with Goldman Sachs.

Nathan Rich: First, just a clarification on Argentina and the price increase. I guess, the price increase you referenced coincide with the December devaluation? It sounds like that price increase wasn’t contemplated in the initial operational revenue range for the year. So I guess, like as we think about the impact going forward, I’d imagine that contribution should be similar over the balance of the year, I guess, assuming no major change in the currency dynamics in that market. So is that the correct way to think about it? And then on derm, the company decided to start selling Apoquel Chewable through distribution. Could you maybe just talk about the factors that led to that decision? And any impact on top-line and margins for Apoquel as well as the broader portfolio as you think about the potential benefits of selling that portfolio through distribution.

Wetteny Joseph: I’ll take the first one, Nathan, just on Argentina. Look, clearly, the devaluation occurred prior to us issuing guidance and we have plans and continue to see our ability to take price fairly significantly in that market perhaps beyond what we factored in. And so yes, we won’t sit here and forecast what FX is going to do or what’s going to happen in Argentina. It is a hyperinflationary market after all, so we’ll continue to monitor that. And so we’re only through one quarter here and we’re all on our way through the second quarter, so we’re factoring that into our thinking as well. And we are seeing an ability to continue to do that. But we can’t sort of forecast, forecast for the rest of the year what will happen there.

So we are a bit measured in how we treat that. I would say a portion, again, to what I said earlier, a portion of our increase is certainly coming from that. I would say somewhere between a third to half of the increase that we’re giving in terms of operational guidance is coming from that because we are getting the operational lift from price there. And the rest of it coming from the rest of the underlying business, as we’ve talked about, is how I would think about that. In terms of derm, I’ll start and then see if Kristin wants to add. Look, clearly, we have products in derm with Apoquel and Cytopoint, they’ve been in the market for over 10 years and seven years, respectively. And the level of satisfaction on these products is very high among vets and pet owners.

We’ve launched Apoquel Chewable as an important element because, one, there’s a preference from pet owners and perhaps vets to have a palatable chewable. And so we see that as, one, meeting a need in the market as well as an important part of a defense strategy. And so as we anticipate competition in derm, we believe that competition will more likely be a film-coated tablet. And the conversion to Apoquel Chewable is important to us. We are seeing that conversion occur across international markets. In particular, if you look at Europe, we now have about 40% conversion to chewable after being in the market the last couple of years. So that’s very encouraging. We just launched in the U.S. at the same time as we launch Librela. And so we want to look to potentially accelerate that transition in that conversion, hence, what went into the thinking here.

And so it’s still relatively early. There’s only a little bit of contribution in the quarter here, perhaps out of the 25% growth you saw in key derm, there might be 2 points coming from that. And so we’ll see some more of that occur in the second quarter, but it is an important part of our defense strategy.

Operator: We will take our next question from Balaji Prasad with Barclays.

Balaji Prasad: Apologies for missing my spot earlier and also in case my questions are a repeat. So on Librela, curious to understand how has your messaging changed, if at all, with the vets in how they use, how it reacts for dogs that they want to treat and what does this mean for the total addressable market, one. And two, can you help us understand the quarterly cadence for the rest of the year? I think the understanding before was that 1Q was expected to be the weakest quarter and second half stronger than 1H. On the back of this print, does this alter the quarterly cadence in any way?

Kristin Peck: Sure. I’ll take your first question, Balaji, on Librela. And Wetteny, I expect you can take the second one on quarterly cadence. As we think about how we’re approaching vets, vets are at the center of care. And our focus has always been around ensuring vets are educated on the product, that they understand it, that they understand how it should be used, when it should be used, etc. Certainly, since a lot of the social media, we’ve been more committed than ever to make sure that vets have better access to a lot of the education we’ve always been providing. And we’ve significantly increased our education with vets and their access. So things that we’ve done. We’ve done over 1,000 webinars. We have daily sessions with our Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Richard Goldstein, to make sure they can have interactive sessions.

We have an always-on customer support team. And I think, really, what you’re seeing with regards to the vets and how they feel about the product is the confidence that they have access to the education that they need. And as you look at that, that is why you’re seeing such a strongly positive experience, not just from pets, but from vets who really are confident in the product, as Wetteny mentioned, their confidence in prescribing the product more, their confidence in the safety and efficacy of the product. As we’ve talked about, we invest a lot in Zoetis in veterinary education, and we always have, and our vet operations in every market. So I think this is something that’s been our strength. Clearly, with the social media, we have doubled down to ensure there’s more access to this veterinary education to make sure that any vet who wants to understand more has access to experts, both internally as well as external KOLs, so they can best understand the product.

And that again underscores our confidence in this product that we’ve talked about and the fact that we continue to believe this product will be — this category, not just Librela, but Librela and Solensia, we continue to commit this will be $1 billion franchise for Zoetis and that is really rooted in the safety and efficacy of this product and in investment we’re putting into both vet and pet owners to make sure they understand the product.

Wetteny Joseph: Yes. And Balaji, in terms of quarterly cadence and I’ll answer the question specific with respect to Librela. If you mean it for overall, I can certainly recap that conversation. But look, clearly, $40 million contribution in the first quarter. And keep in mind, we continue to see really strong growth across our international markets, which moved 71% on the quarter as well. So those will continue to drive growth for us. We won’t get ultra-specific in terms of the exact contribution as the quarters go, but we would expect to continue to ramp up from that $40 million through the year. And then, of course, the fourth quarter in terms of percentage growth, we’ll be lapping the $44 million that we delivered in the fourth quarter and the first quarter of launch.

Operator: We’ll take our next question from Glen Santangelo with Jefferies.

Glen Santangelo: Hey, Kristin, obviously, the outlook for Trio and derm continues to be encouraging here. But just given the recent launch of BI and the Elanco launches that presumably may be coming in the second half, if you could look out to 2025 for a second. I’m kind of curious if you anticipate any sort of noticeable shift in the competitive landscape or anything that you think might impact your ability to take price? And the reason I ask is some are getting concerned about increasing competition and a weakening consumer at the same time maybe would impact the company’s ability to take price increases consistent with what you have done historically. So any sort of high-level commentary, I think, would be helpful.

Kristin Peck: Sure. I’ll start and then, Wetteny, you can certainly build on this one. We remain very confident and it’s really based on our historical performance, and I think you can look at that, we invest in the lifecycle innovation across our franchises. We were number 5, let’s be clear, guys, in paras when we entered with Simparica and Simparica Trio and we’re now number 2. We’re facing competition from the leader in parasiticide, and we grew our share of 0.7% if you look at Q1 in the U.S. So even with very strong competition, we continue to grow share. So we remain confident we can continue to grow our parasiticides and our dermatology franchises even with competition. I mean, paras has always been a very competitive space with most companies operating there.

We think our strength, obviously, with the vets, our strength with pet owners, really seeing tremendous growth in our franchises for both Trio and derm in alternative channels, in home delivery and retail. And we see great strength there as you look at the auto-ship. We continue to increase auto-ship out there, which absolutely increases compliance, which we think is really important. As you look at, for example, the alternative channels, they grew 55%. Now that was a little bit of a weaker comp if you look at last year. But even if you adjust for all that, that’s 25%-plus growth in the alternative channel. So we really believe that we can continue to grow this franchise based on the strength of our products, the strength of our portfolio, our lifecycle innovation if you look at what we’re doing with Chewable, as well as leveraging some of these new channels, which have the benefit of increased compliance.