Polls Are Wrong: Trump Will Deliver Another Stunning Upset

11. Georgia

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 4.7 points

Actual result: Trump won by 5.1 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 0.7 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 1.1+ points

Trump: 74 – Biden:77

12. Hawaii

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 24.5 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 32.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 35 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 42.3 points

Trump: 74 – Biden:80

13. Idaho

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 21.1 points

Actual result: Trump won by 31.8 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 25.8 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 36.5 points

Trump: 78 – Biden:80

14. Illinois

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 12.8 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 17.1 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 19.2 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 23.5 points

Trump: 78 – Biden:100

15. Indiana

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 11.9 points

Actual result: Trump won by 19.2 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 11.3 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 18.6 points

Trump: 89 – Biden:100