“We Believe the Future is Bright”; Here’s Why Greystone Capital Took Profits in APi Group (APG)

Greystone Capital Management, an investment management firm, published its second quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. A quarterly median account return of +3.1% net of fees was recorded by the fund for the second quarter of 2021, compared unfavorably to the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 returns of +8.4% and +4.2% for the quarter, and favorably to year to date returns of +15.1% and +17.4% . You can view the fund’s top 5 holdings to have an idea about their top bets for 2021.

In the Q2 2021 investor letter of Greystone Capital Management, the fund mentioned APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG), and discussed its stance on the firm. APi Group Corporation is a New Brighton, Minnesota-based safety, specialty, and industrial services provider, that currently has a $4.4 billion market capitalization. APG delivered a 22.64% return since the beginning of the year, extending its 12-month returns to 61.54%. The stock closed at $22.26 per share on July 27, 2021.

Here is what Greystone Capital Management has to say about APi Group Corporation in its Q2 2021 investor letter:

“For remaining clients who owned shares in The APi Group, I fully sold out of the position this quarter following a 70% plus price appreciation in order to allocate to potentially higher IRR opportunities that present better risk/rewards. I remain a fan of the business as well as Martin Franklin and team, and believe the future is bright. There is a chance we will again be owners of APG at some point in the future.”

Based on our calculations, APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) was not able to clinch a spot in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. APG was in 33 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the first quarter of 2021, compared to 31 funds in the fourth quarter of 2020. APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) delivered a  4.56% return in the past 3 months.

Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.