Despite all of Wall Street’s conflict and contention, a fortunate few companies enjoy unanimous support among professional analysts. If the market’s movers and shakers all believe these companies will beat the long-term averages, well, surely they will — right?
Not so fast! With help from Motley Fool CAPS, the 180,000 member-driven investor community that translates informed opinion into stock ratings of one to five stars, we’ll see whether these highflying favorites deserve analysts’ unwavering support.
Today we’ll take a look at Mesabi Trust (NYSE:MSB), a mining specialist that derives its riches from the ore extracted from the Mesabi Iron Range in Minnesota, with its biggest stake being its Peters Lease. When it comes to investing in trusts of this sort, it’s important to be mindful of when a trust agreement expires, because they have a finite life and you can get burned buying in too late. For example, Great Northern Iron Ore Properties (NYSE:GNI) possesses a trust that runs out in 2015, meaning it will soon be dissolved.
Amongst the analysts that CAPS tracks, two have weighed in on Mesabi and they unanimously agree it will outperform the indexes. The investor community, however, is hedging its bets: While 96% rate Mesabi to outperform the broad market averages, they also assign it a middling three-star CAPS rating, suggesting they think there are still better places for your money. Not surprisingly, they’ve given Great Northern a one-star rating.
Of course, just because Wall Street loves ‘ em doesn’t mean you have to. Analyst sentiment is only just the jumping-off place for your own research.
A ticking time bomb
While each trust is set up somewhat differently, there’s often a “doomsday clock” embedded in each trust agreement that’s triggered when a certain event occurs. For Great Northern, the countdown began on April 6, 1995, when the last founding member of the trust died, after which it had 20 years left on it. MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) , which exploits oil and natural gas properties in the Mid-Continent region in Kansas and Colorado, will expire either on June 30, 2026, or whenever 14.4 million barrels of oil equivalent have been produced from its wells, whichever comes later. As of its last annual filing, the underlying properties with approximately 1,000 wells primarily producing oil have a projected reserve life of at least 50 years. Sounds like it will be around for awhile.
And for the Mesabi Trust, which is a subsidiary of Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (NYSE:CLF) , it has 21 years after the death of the last of the 25 people named in the Peters Lease. Since the youngest is roughly 51 years old, it presumably has many years left to operate as well. Even its smaller Cloquette Lease doesn’t terminate until 2040.
Dividends are the major reason investors seek out the trusts, and they compensate you for the relative degree of risk involved in them. Great Northern’s dividend yields almost 29% annually, while MV Oil’s dividend is north of a 10% return. Because of a seemingly more stable situation, Mesabi’s dividend is 7.7% currently.