Veru Inc. (NASDAQ:VERU) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript May 8, 2025
Veru Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $-0.05, expectations were $-0.06.
Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Veru Inc.’s Investor Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After this morning’s discussion, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Sam Fisch, Veru Inc.’s Executive Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Please go ahead, sir.
Sam Fisch: Statements made on this conference call may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include, but are not necessarily limited to, statements of the company’s plans, objectives, expectations or intentions regarding its business, operations, regulatory interactions, finances and development and product portfolio. Such forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ significantly from those projected, suggested or included in any forward-looking statements. Risks that may cause actual results or developments to differ materially are contained in our 10-Q and 10-K SEC filings, as well as in our press releases from time to time. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Dr. Mitchell Steiner, Veru Inc.’s Chairman, CEO and President.
Mitchell Steiner: Good morning. With me on this morning’s call are Dr. Gary Barnett, the Chief Scientific Officer; Michele Greco, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer; Michael Purvis, General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy; and Sam Fisch, Executive Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Thank you for joining our Q2 fiscal year 2025 earnings call. Veru is a late clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel medicines for the treatment of cardiometabolic and inflammatory disease. Our drug development program consists of two clinical-stage drug candidates, Enobosarm and Sabizabulin. Enobosarm and oral selective antireceptor modulator, SARM, is being developed as a novel drug that makes GLP-1 receptor agonists weight reduction more tissue selective, but preserving lean mass muscle or causing, creating fat loss in older patients, who are overweight, who have obesis.
Sabizabulin is an oral microtubule disruptor. It’s being developed as a broad anti-inflammatory agent to reduce vascular plaque inflammation to slow the progression, and promote the regression of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This morning, we will focus our update only on our obesity program. As defined by FDA, obesity is a disease of excess body adiposity or fat. Therefore, the medical objective to treat obesity by weight reduction drug or drugs in combination should be to reduce excess body fat, not lean mass, in order to improve the mobility and mortality associated with obesity. GLP-1 receptor agonists have been shown to produce significant weight loss in patients who overweight who have obesity. Unfortunately, the weight loss is tissue non-selective, with the indiscriminate loss of both fat and lean mass.
As the total weight loss up to 50% of the total weight loss is attributable to lean mass, we must do a better job at getting rid of fat tissue only. Let’s face it, no one wants to lose lean muscle mass. Most of this is common sense, but the beneficial consequences of increasing or maintaining muscle mass in an aging population are increased basal metabolism with sustainable weight management, better control of blood glucose, better joint health, better increased strength, increased balance, potential decreasing falls, increased bone mineral density, potentially decreasing non-traumatic bone fractures, and increases in the possibility of maintaining independence in an older population. With that objective, we are developing Enobosarm with an oral, which is an oral novel SARM that has demonstrated in previous clinical studies improvements in body composition with tissue selective increases in lean mass and decreases in fat mass, improvements in both muscle strength and physical function, no masculinizing effects in women and neutral prostate effects in men.
We conducted a Phase 2b multicenter double-blind placebo-controlled randomized dose binding qualities clinical study designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of Enobosarm 3 milligrams, Enobosarm 6 milligrams of placebo as a treatment to augment fat loss and prevent muscle loss in 168 older patients, greater than or equal to 60 years of age receiving semaglutide, which is Wegovy, for weight for chronic weight management. Primary endpoint is percent change in baseline total lean body mass, and the key secondary endpoints are percent change in baseline and total body fat mass, total body weight and physical functions measured by Stair Climb test at 16 weeks. After completing the efficacy dose assessment portion of the Phase 2b quality clinical study, the patients continued into a Phase 2b extension maintenance trial, where all patients have stopped treatment with semaglutide, but continue to take placebo, enobosarm 3 milligrams or enobosarm 6 milligrams in a blinded fashion for an additional 12 weeks.
Phase 2b clinical trial will evaluate whether enobosarm can maintain muscle and prevent the fat regain that generally occurs after discontinuing a GLP receptor agonist. Purpose of the Phase 2b quality clinical trial is to select a dose of enobosarm in combination with semaglutide Wegovy that best preserves lean mass of muscle and physical function after 16 weeks of treatment to advance into a Phase 3 clinical program. The positive top-line results of the Phase 2b quality clinical study demonstrated that enobosarm is a novel drug that, when combined with GLP-1 receptor agonist, makes weight reduction more tissue selective for greater fat loss, while preserving lean mass or muscle. Phase 2b quality study is the first human study to report the effects of a muscle preservation drug candidate on body composition and physical function in older patients who are receiving a GLP-1 receptor agonist for weight reduction.
The Phase 2b quality clinical study met its primary endpoint with a statistically significant and clinically meaningful benefit of a 71% preservation of total lean body mass in all patients receiving enobosarm plus semaglutide versus placebo plus semaglutide in 16 weeks, and that p value equals 0.002. Enobosarm 3 milligrams plus semaglutide was the best dose with a greater 99% mean relative reduction in loss of lean mass, and that p values less than 0.001, meaning almost the entire weight loss was fat mass. The enobosarm 6 milligram plus semaglutide dose preserved lean mass, but was not any better than the enobosarm 3 milligram plus semaglutide dose. This is not unexpected. This is similar to what we have seen in the previous multiple ascending dose clinical study.
We believe that at a certain point, the target of the androgen receptor becomes oversaturated by a drug. As for the secondary clinical endpoints, enobosarm plus semaglutide treatment resulted in a dose-dependent greater loss of fat mass compared to placebo plus semaglutide, with the enobosarm 6 milligram dose having a 46% greater relative loss of fat mass compared to placebo plus semaglutide group of 15 weeks, and that p value is 0.014. Although enobosarm plus semaglutide significantly preserved lean mass, the additional loss of fat mass caused by enobosarm treatment was able to replace that lean mass preserved to allow a similar net mean weight loss measured by DEXA with semaglutide at 16 weeks. Accordingly, with enobosarm treatment, the tissue composition of the total weight loss shifted to greater and more selective for fat loss.
For the placebo and semaglutide group, the median percentage of total body weight loss was 32% for lean mass, and estimated fat loss was 68%. In contrast, in the all enobosarm plus semaglutide group, the total weight loss due to lean mass was only 9.4%, and estimated fat loss was 90.6%. And in the enobosarm three milligram plus semaglutide group, it was 0.9% lean mass and 99.1% estimated fat loss. Therefore, enobosarm plus semaglutide improved changes in body composition, resulting in more selective and greater loss of fat, compared to subjects receiving placebo plus semaglutide. Now, physical function was measured by the Stair Climb test. Stair Climb test is an activity of daily living as it measures muscle strength, balance and agility. The client in performance, measured by Stair Climb tests has been shown in older patients to predict a higher risk for mobility disabilities, gait difficulties, falls and bone fractures, hospitalizations and mortality.
The responder’s analysis was conducted using a greater than 10 decline in Stair Climb power as a cutoff at 16 weeks. A greater than 10% decline in Stair Climb power at 16 weeks represents a 7-year to 8-year loss of Stair Climb power function that occurs with aging, and this is documented by Van Roe in 2019. In our study, the loss in lean mass mattered as 42.6% of patients on placebo plus semaglutide group had at least a 10% decline in Stair Climb power physical function in 16 weeks. Again, this is the first human study to demonstrate that older patients receiving GLP-1 receptor agonist for weight loss are at a higher risk for accelerated loss of lean mass and with physical decline. The all, enobosarm, and semaglutide group had statistically significant to clinically meaningful 54.4% relative reduction in proportion of subjects that lost at least 10% Stair Climb power, compared to placebo semaglutide group and that p value was 0.0049.
In the enobosarm three milligram plus semaglutide group, there was a 62.4% relative reduction in proportion of patients with at least a 10% decline in Stair Climb power from baseline versus placebo plus semaglutide group, that p value was 0.0066. In 6 milligram plus semaglutide group, there was a 46.2% relative reduction in proportionate patients with at least a 10% decline in Stair Climb power from baseline versus placebo plus semaglutide group with the p value of 0.0505. In conclusion, enobosarm treatment on average preserved lean mass of muscle, which translated into a reduction in the proportion of patients who had a clinically significant decline in Stair Climb physical function versus patients receiving semaglutide alone. In summary, in enobosarm plus semaglutide improved changes in body composition, which resulted in more selective and greater loss of adiposity of fat mass, while preserving lean mass and muscle and preserving physical function on Stair Climb power compared to patients receiving placebo plus semaglutide alone.
Enobosarm represents a novel drug that in combination of GLP-1 receptor agonist-containing therapy, causes greater and more selective loss of fat mass, which is the goal for higher quality chronic weight management. Next, we will discuss several upcoming clinical and regulatory catalysts. Number one, results of the unblinded safety data for the Phase 2b quality study are expected this quarter. Safety data for the Phase 2b quality study remains blinded as the Phase 2 extension maintenance clinical study portion is still finishing up. It should be noted that the aggregate blinded safety data have not shown any significant differences compared to previous clinical studies of enobosarm and what is expected for GLP-1 receptor agonist. Further, the independent data monitoring committee met February 10, 2025, to evaluate the unblinded safety data, and they made the recommendation to continue the study as planned.
Next catalyst is the Phase 2b extension maintenance study, efficacy and safety results are expected this quarter. As a reminder, after completing the efficacy dose finding portion of the Phase 2b quality clinical study, which evaluated the effects of enobosarm body composition during the active weight loss, participants continued into the Phase 2b trial and Phase 2b extension trial where all patients stopped treatment with semaglutide, but continued taking placebo, enobosarm 3 milligrams and enobosarm 6 milligrams monotherapy in a blinded fashion for 12 additional weeks. The Phase 2b extension clinical trial will evaluate whether enobosarm can maintain muscle and, more importantly, prevent fat regain that generally occurs after discontinuing GLP-1 receptor agonists.
The company plans to present the full clinical efficacy and safety datasets for the Phase 2b quality clinical study and the Phase 2b extension maintenance study in future scientific conferences and publications. The next catalyst is we expect regulatory clarity for the GLP-1 receptor agonist and enobosarm combination Phase 3 clinical program, following an end-of-Phase 2 FDA meeting, which is anticipated in Q3 2025. As a Phase 2b quality clinical study is a positive study, we plan to request an end-of-Phase 2 meeting with FDA. During our previous pre-IND FDA meeting, FDA provided general comments about the regulatory path forward for enobosarm as a drug that improves body composition during chronic weight management, including input on Phase 3 clinical program design.
On the basis of this FDA input, we plan to propose a Phase 3 clinical program that is similar to the positive already positive Phase 2b quality clinical trial. The proposed Phase 3 clinical trial design is a double-blind placebo-controlled study in older patients, greater than or equal to the age of 60, who have obesity or overweight and who are eligible for treatment of GLP-1 receptor agonist. The GLP receptor agonist may be either Wegovy, which is semaglutide and or Zepbound, tirzepatide. Patients will be randomized to oral daily enobosarm and matching placebo. All subjects will start and receive the GLP-1 receptor agonist during the study. The proposed primary endpoint will be the effect of enobosarm in physical function measured by Stair Climb test at 24 weeks.
Proposed key secondary endpoints will be to assess the effect of enobosarm on total lean mass, total fat mass, HOMA-IR, which is insulin resistance and hemoglobin A1c at 24 weeks. After the Phase 3 clinical trial ends at 24 weeks of treatment, the plan is to continue to measure total lean mass, total body weight, stair climb test, total fat mass, bone mineral density, HOMA-IR as I mentioned is insulin resistance and hemoglobin A1c for up to 68 weeks to capture the longer term benefits of enobosarm improvements on body composition with greater loss of adiposity of fat, preservation of both lean, mass and bone for chronic weight management. Another catalyst is we have a novel modified release oral enobosarm formulation, which is on track to be available for the Phase 2 clinical studies and commercialization.
Veru is currently developing novel, patentable, modified-release oral formulation for enobosarm. The actual formulation, pharmacokinetic release profiles and method of manufacturing will be subject to future patents. If issued, the expiry for the new modified release oral enobosarm formulation patent is expected to be in 2045. The new enobosarm formulation has completed animal trials and is anticipated to be in Phase 1 bioavailability clinical trials during the first half of calendar 2025. Again, the expectation is that this novel modified release oral enobosarm formulation will be available for Phase 3 clinical studies and for commercialization. Finally, we are focusing our Phase 3 clinical program on the older patient population that could benefit from a weight reduction drug for chronic weight management, because they’re at higher risk for muscle weakness and falls because of age-related loss of muscle.
CDC prevalence is 41.5% among 47.4 million patients enrolled in Medicare Part D plans. Up to 34.4% of patients over the age of 60 with obesity in the United States have sarcopenic obesity. Sarcopenic obese patients are patients who have obesity and low muscle mass at the same time and are potentially at the greatest risk for developing critically low muscle mass when taking a currently approved GLP-1 receptor agonist. Now, although older patients represent a large market population alone, success in this population can be a segued way into the combination of enobosarm and GLP-1 receptor agonist treatment in younger patients who have obesity, as well as diabetic and the frailty populations. I will now turn the call over to Michele Greco, our CFO, CAO, to discuss the financial highlights.
Michele?
Michele Greco: Thank you, Dr. Steiner. Let’s review the results for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Research and development costs increased to $3.9 million from $3 million in the prior quarter. The increase is due to expenses related to the company’s enobosarm Phase 2b quality clinical study for higher quality weight loss. Selling, general and administrative expenses were $5.2 million compared to $5.9 million in the prior quarter. The decrease is primarily due to a decrease in share-based compensation. We recognized a gain on sale of NTIA assets of $974,000, while there was none in the prior quarter. The gain represents nonrefundable consideration received related to promissory notes due to Veru. The bottom-line results for continuing operations was a net loss of $7.9 million or $0.05 per diluted common share, compared to a net loss of $8.7 million or $0.06 per diluted common share in the prior year’s quarter.
Net loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes related to the FC2 female condom business, which was sold on December 30, 2024, was $49,000 or $0.00 per diluted common share, compared to a net loss of $1.3 million or $0.01 per diluted common share in the prior quarter. The net loss from discontinued operations during the current quarter represents changes in an estimate made at the time of the FC2 business sale, while the net loss for the prior year quarter represents the operations of the FC2 business during that period. Now, turning to the results for the six months ended March 31, 2025. Research and development costs increased to $9.6 million from $4.6 million in the prior period. The increase is due to $6.4 million in expenses related to the company’s enobosarm Phase 2b quality clinical study for high-quality weight loss during the 6 months.
Selling, general and administrative expenses were $10.4 million compared to $12.6 million in the prior period. The decrease is primarily due to decrease in share-based compensation. We recognized a gain on sale of Entity assets of $1.7 million, compared to a gain of $918,000 in the prior period, which is based on non-refundable consideration received related to promissory notes due to Veru. In conjunction with the sale of the FC2 female condom business, we recorded a gain on extinguishment of debt of $8.6 million, related to the termination of the SWK Residual Royalty agreement. This represents the difference between the change of control payment of $4.2 million and the net carrying amount of the extinguish debt of $12.8 million, which included an embedded derivative for the change of control provision at fair value of $4.7 million.
The bottom-line result for continuing operations was a net loss of $9.6 million or $0.07 per diluted common share compared to a net loss of $16.4 million or $0.13 per diluted common share in the prior period. Net loss from discontinued operations net of taxes related to the FC2 business was $7.2 million or $0.05 per diluted common share, including the $4.2 million loss on sale of the FC2 business, compared to a net loss of $1.9 million or $0.02 per diluted common share in the prior period. The increase in the net loss from discontinued operations of $5.3 million is due to loss on the sale of the FC2 female condom business of $4.2 million and the increase in the loss from the change in fair value of derivative liabilities of $3.1 million, partially offset by a decrease in selling, general and administrative expenses of $2.2 million.
The purchase price for the sale of the FC2 business was $18 million in cash, subject to adjustments as set forth in the purchase agreement for the transaction. Net proceeds from the sale of the FC2 female condom business were approximately $16.3 million after selling costs and other purchase price adjustments, but before a change of control payment of $4.2 million owed to SWK pursuant to a residual royalty agreement for 2018 financing transaction. The loss on the sale of the FC2 female condom business is approximately $4.2 million. The difference between the estimated net proceeds of $16.3 million and the total carrying value of the FC2 business of $20.6 million. The sale of the FC2 female condom business represented a change in strategy, allowing the company to focus all its efforts exclusively on drug development.
Now, looking at the balance sheet, as of March 31, 2025, our cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash balance was $20 million, compared to $24.9 million as of September 30, 2024. The restricted cash balance as of March 31, 2025, was $354,000 related to the sale of the FC2 female condom business. Our net working capital was $15.8 million on March 31, 2025, compared to $23.4 million on September 30, 2024. The company is not profitable and has had negative cash flow from operations. We will need additional capital to support our drug development candidates. Based upon the company’s current operating plan, our cash as of the issuance date of these financial statements is not sufficient for the company to fund operations for the next 12 months.
However, we have sufficient capital to take the company into the fourth quarter of this calendar year, which is beyond the upcoming near-term catalyst. Which include the unblind safety data for the Phase 2b quality clinical trial, the top-line efficacy and safety data for enobosarm Phase 2b extension maintenance study, the regulatory clarity from the FDA end of Phase 2 meeting for the enobosarm Phase 3 program, and the Phase 1 bioavailability data for the novel modified release oral enobosarm formulation. During the 6 months ended March 31, 2025, we used cash of $19.1 million for operating activities, compared with $11.7 million used for operating activities in the prior period. We generated cash from investing activities of $18.4 million for the 6 months ended March 31, 2025, while we used $40,000 in investing activities in the prior period.
The cash generated in the current year relates to proceeds from the sale of the FC2 female condom business of $16.3 million, proceeds of $1.7 million from the sale of the Intesi assets and proceeds of $393,000 from the sale of On Kinetics equity securities. We used cash and financing activities for the 6 months ended March 31, 2025, of $4.2 million related to the change of control payment pursuant to the residual royalty agreement, which terminated in conjunction with the sale of the FC2 female condom business. In the prior period, we generated $36.8 million from financing activities. Now, I’d like to turn the call back to Dr. Steiner. Dr. Steiner?
Mitchell Steiner: Thank you, Michele. And with that, I’ll now open the call to questions. Operator?
Q&A Session
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Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we’ll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. And your first question today will come from Dennis Ding with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Anthea Li: Good morning. This is Anthea on for Dennis. Thank you for taking our questions. Could you talk a little bit more about how you’re thinking about your cash balance in runway, specifically what options are you exploring to fund the Phase 3? And is there potential to partner out the program? Thank you.
Mitchell Steiner: Yes. Thank you for the question. So, hopefully, you heard loud and clear that we have enough cash to last us into the fourth quarter, calendar quarter. That gives us plenty of time to get through these catalysts. Part of what we’re trying to do is to get the full appreciation and value understood by investors and others, based on the clinical data and other information that’s coming out. So, very — so, as I mentioned, so we’re expecting this quarter to have the unblinded safety data for the Phase 2b quality clinical study, the top-line efficacy and safety data for the enobosarm extension study will come out this quarter as well. Q3, we have regulatory clarity because that’s when we’ll have the meeting with the FDA on the Phase 3 program.
Remember that dictates how much money, how big the study is. So, it’s kind of premature to see how much cash we’re going to need for the clinical study, until we know exactly what the FDA agrees to. We have an idea, but again, we need to get clarity. And so, that will help dictate how we’re thinking and what to do. And then, we’re expecting Phase 1 bioavailability bridging data if you will for the novel modified release oral enobosarm formulation. So, these are all value-generating opportunities. With that said, yes, I think the approach would be to go for non-dilutive funding, and non-dilutive funding would be best from either a partnership, a partnership-type act partnership or more from a large pharmaceutical company, of which we are in active discussions.
And the reason we’re in active discussions is because we have Phase 2b data that uniformly have we been told by key opinion leaders, we’ve been told by the Scientific Advisory Board, we’ve been told by every expert in the field that this is a game changer to be able to have a drug that will make a GLP-1 burn only fat that’s unheard of. And so, we are the first company to report on GLP-1 in combination with a muscle preservation drug that’s an oral drug. And being an oral drug and being a nonpeptide, being a small molecule, has some very interesting potential. And the way I see it, the future of weight loss and chronic weight management is going to be a journey in which you lose fat only and hold on to lean. And furthermore, it’s going to be an oral space.
It’s going to be an oral drug that you take for weight loss. It will be an oral drug you take for body composition. And you can do, and especially, the small molecules, you can pair them together as a fixed combination. This could be very, very interesting. This is where the field is going. So, as we get more and more information, I think that will solidify clearly that we’re ahead of the pack. I think the myostatin inhibitors, even if everything is equal, they’re IV or subQ, and that’s where they’re trying to move away from. So, our strategy is to get the milestones behind us, to keep the discussions with the pharmaceutical companies going and to have more clarity on the Phase 3 program and that will help us understand better how, what’s the best way to fund the Phase 3.
Thank you for the question.
Anthea Li: Got it. Thank you.
Operator: And your next question today will come from Gary Nachman with Raymond James. Please go ahead.
Gary Nachman : All right. Thanks for all the updates, and good morning.
Mitchell Steiner: Good morning.
Gary Nachman : So, Mitch, for the Phase 2b extension maintenance study, review what outcomes would be considered a success, in terms of the magnitude of benefit on weight loss and muscle mass for enobosarm versus placebo after stopping the GLP-1. Does it need to be stat sig or just show a positive trend? And is that, if you could just say, if the data is imminent or if it will be later in the quarter, if you could narrow that at all and then I have a follow-up.
Mitchell Steiner: Okay. Fair enough. So, we’re not laughing. You want to know the exact timing of the date of release. And I’ll see if I can give you some more clarity. So, as you know, the study is powered on the Phase 2b quality study, which is the formal first 168 patients, 16 weeks, lean body mass being the primary endpoint. So, the way to think of the extension study is almost like a safety study. And what happens when you stop with GLP-1? So, it will be more descriptive, but it’s telling a real story about the working hypothesis that muscle is important. And so, the idea, so if you can consider it successful, we already know that we maintain lean mass with enobosarm, and we burn more fat mass going into it. And we also know that the placebo group, meaning semaglutide alone, is acting just like you would expect semaglutide to act in other studies.
So, the step one, study, with semaglutide at 68 weeks, there was a 40% reduction in, there was for the total weight loss, 40% was lean and 60% was fat. We saw 32% lean and 68% fat at 16 weeks. So, the placebo group is acting just like we expect from the published New England Journal of Medicine article, step one. So, the expectation is that the placebo arm, which now without semaglutide and without enobosarm, will act similarly, which we expect to see fat regain. Remember, fat is the enemy. We have to pause for a moment. When we deal with weight loss and obesity, it’s all about what happens to fat going through the process, meaning that if fat comes back and you get fat regain, that’s bad. So, fat regain is what we’re trying to blunt, and with fat regain comes weight gain.
And then the question of muscle, we’re going to, I guess, because we’re doing DEXA, we’re going to have a better, clear understanding of what happens to muscle. Now, if muscle comes back in the placebo group and you have fat regain, muscle I’m not worried about. I’m happy if muscle comes back, muscle doesn’t come back, that’s fine. The key thing to focus on is what happens to fat regain. How about enobosarm? If you hold on to, if you have enobosarm and muscle is not depleted, meaning that you’re not getting two signals to the brain, one signal in the brain is you stop at GLP-1, you’re told to eat and you have a muscle depletion, you’re told to eat, you got to double eat. And so, you overeat. But enobosarm shuts off one of those, and the idea is that we will, again, focus on fat, blunt the fat regain.
And I think the success would be, if we can show that we blunted so much that in fact may actually cause additional fat loss. Think about that for a moment. So, if we cause additional fat loss and don’t cause regain, and those on monotherapy could be a nice off-ramp for patients, who are, for patients who want to stop with GLP-1 for assorted reasons. Now, to be very clear, the whole idea is to stay on GLP-1 to get the benefits. And unfortunately, 60% of patients at year one come off of GLP-1, and by year two, it’s 80% for all kinds of reasons. And one of the main reasons is they’ve reached a weight loss that they’re happy with, and the problem they’re having is they stop, they’ll get all the fat back, and they feel like they’ve lost it. So, again, this is focused on the fat and if we can show a blunted fat regain or further loss of fat in an extension of 12 weeks that would be considered a success.
And the second question you asked, which is the timing, it will, I will tell you the following. The safety data for the Phase 2b quality study will come out first this quarter, and then shortly after that, we expect to see this Phase 2b extension maintenance data come out, and the safety and the efficacy will come out together.
Gary Nachman : Okay. That’s helpful. And then, just in terms of the Phase 3 study, understanding that you still have to meet with FDA, what’s your best guess on how big you think it’ll need to be? And are you leaning towards using the three milligram, six milligram or both doses, and also doing it just for older patients? And then just quickly, any potential concerns with tariffs? So, where is enobosarm sourced and manufactured, if you can comment on that, thinking ahead, particularly for the modified formulation? Thanks.
Mitchell Steiner: Yes. Gary will now answer the question about tariffs because he’s got a better handle on how we’re making the formulation where it’s sourced. But to answer your first question, the expectation is that the primary endpoint for the trial will be in older patients. We picked older patients because older patients have a different risk benefit. I think is important because it’s a call to action. And the risk benefit is that, if patients have a decline in function, that actually means something. That means something in terms of balance, gait difficulties, mobility, disability, falls and fractures, mortality. I mean, you can dip into entire literature. So, that tells you kind of sets up nicely why physical function is important.
With that said, the primary endpoint of your Stair Climb is 24 weeks. If you do the power calculations, that ends up being about and then back up. I don’t know whether you use three or six yet. It feels like three, but we got to get the full data set to see, because three does a great job on lean, but six does a great job on fat, but three does a good job on fat too. So, we’re still debating that, but put that aside for a moment. There will be one dose. So, one dose we’ll take forward. And so, it will be one dose versus, semaglutide plus semaglutide and or tirzepatide. We’re thinking now we’ll probably do both. Why? Because there’s only two drugs on the market right now, GLP-1s that are commercial. And so, it makes sense if we want to be using combination with either one, we should probably have data on both of them and stratify the Phase 3, so that we pre-specify that we’re going to analyze the data with semaglutide group and tirzepatide group separately.
And I think that would be very helpful. All the rest of the companies, even though there’s 120 companies working on this, on obesity products, right now, the tirzepatide and semaglutide are way ahead. And so, by the time our Phase 3 is completed, those are still going to be the market leaders that we’ll have to approach. So, with that said, we believe that the numbers will be something like 200 patients per arm. So, a total of approximately 400 patients, randomized for the Phase 3. Gary Barnett, can you answer the question about tariffs and whether we have concerns about sourcing and that could potentially affect enobosarm price.
Gary Barnett: Yes, we at this point, we don’t foresee anything significant. Obviously, there potentially could be something come up, but the cost of goods of an open source is relatively low. So, we believe we’ll be in good shape regarding tariffs.
Gary Nachman: Okay. Great. Thanks a lot.
Operator: And your next question today will come from William Wood with B. Riley. Please go ahead.
William Wood : Thank you for taking our questions and congratulations on a very nice quarter and very promising results. Everyone looking ahead to those. Maybe just wanting to tease out a bit more on what you might have seen already on safety. Understanding it’s blinded to date, you did say that you haven’t seen any significant differences compared to what you’re expected or expecting, based on the previous studies. So, just to sort of help us out and set a bar, maybe you could provide some color on what your expectations are for the safety, based on these prior studies and how we should be interpreting this, in terms of just the general safety, but maybe specifically on these liver tests?
Mitchell Steiner: Yes. So, I think maybe the best way to answer is to go head-on with liver and because people are saying that SARMs have from the literature — SARMs in general, which data comes from the recreational use of SARMs at doses 10 times to 20 times higher. So, if we’re at 3 milligrams, the given dose of 30 milligrams, which is 10 times higher up to 75 milligrams, which is up to 20 times higher. So, go take an Advil and then next day, take 21 of them, see how you feel. So, the problem is that it’s uncontrolled, don’t know who’s making it, it’s made by a Chinese or Indian company. So, even in that case, the real-world data looks pretty good, in terms of liver safety comparative, for example, alkylated anabolic androgens, which has also been abused in the past.
I put abuse aside. From our clinical studies, which we have a database of about 1,600 patients, we saw a rate of ALT increase of about 1.8% or something like that in the placebo group and about 3.4% or something like that in the enobosarm group, and that’s like in 500 patients per group. And what we see is very, very characteristic of what you see with the testosterone type product, not the alkylated testosterone that we modified to make it oral and has been the problem. But if you take regular testosterone, we’re probably more similar to that where you see slight increases, mild increase in ALT in a few subjects, always goes down either on drug, mostly almost always on drug, unless the patient stops the study for some reason, and it goes down to normal.
We’ve never seen anything related to function, meaning bilirubin increases, alkaline phosphatase increases, procoagulation issues. So, in other words, it’s mild increases, self-limiting, comes back down and represents, what’s called adaptation of tolerance, which is a common mechanism that the liver handles some agents. The other thing about enobosarm is we’re not a, we don’t fit the two rules. Two rule looks at what dose, technically it’s called rule of two, in which if your dose is over 100 milligrams, it raises concern. Our dose is 3 milligrams. We don’t fit that rule. So, from that standpoint, our expectation is that what we’re seeing is what we’ve been seeing before, and it’s acting the same way, mild increases, comes back down, mostly usually on drug.
And so, we’re not expecting and it’s tolerance in adaptation, and it’s not drug-induced liver injury by high flow, which is what people get into trouble with the drug development; we just have not seen that. And so, I want to set the bar that in the aggregate, it’s not like we saw something in the aggregate and now we’re going to separate it out, as you haven’t seen anything in the aggregate that would be consistent with drug-induced liver injury with by Hyatt’s law. I mean, Gary Barnett, do you want to add to that?
Gary Barnett: Yes, I think you summarized it correctly, and that’s exactly what we’ve seen in previous studies. From a, if you go away and expand out of liver, we don’t see any significant serious adverse events, and we’re not seeing that in this particular study either. So, it’s the safety in aggregate is consistent with the studies that we’ve conducted previously.
Mitchell Steiner: One interesting thing is GLP-1s also affect ALT, but same way. Elevations have come down with time. And so, the adaptation and tolerance approach and they’re widely used, and that’s true for tirzepatide and for semaglutide. So, again, we’re not seeing anything inconsistent with what we’ve seen before, which we’ve been saying. I think what will be different is when we provide the full data safety dataset, you’ll see what’s happening in each category. Semaglutide alone versus semaglutide plus three, plus six. Is that helpful?
William Wood: Very helpful. I appreciate that very extra detail there, Mitch. So, just one more, actually from us. It looks from everything sort of that you presented so far, the FDA has sort of provided two pass towards two shots on goal or two pass towards regulatory improvement. You can sort of go after functional improvements or potentially go after metabolic improvements. It looks like you’re sort of, at least initially, overwhelmingly targeting functional data, obviously, with your very nice positive Stair Climb, also as your primary endpoint for in Phase 3. I was curious, though to how you’re seeing sort of the other path, if you feel that that would be open to enobosarm. Also, I don’t think we’ve seen too much data on that. And so, how do you see sort of these two-alternate pass towards regulatory improvement? And will we or what should we be expecting as far as sort of the metabolic tests from the Phase 2b quality coming up here shortly?
Mitchell Steiner: Yes. So, let me just, so let me tell you how I’m seeing it from a standpoint of PAS. So, the first thing to say, let’s talk about enobosarm for a second. So, enobosarm has consistently shown lean body mass maintenance improvement in other patient populations, and we’ve shown the same thing in this patient population. We’ve shown reductions in fat in other populations, older patients. Again, we’ve shown the same thing in this patient population. We have not seen the individual data with some of the metabolic parameters, but some of the metabolic parameters have looked for are LDL, insulin resistance and HbA1c. We’ve seen in our previous studies, LDL is maintained or slightly lower, triglycerides go down. This was enobosarm in other populations.
And we’ve also seen insulin resistance get better. So, HOMA-IR got better, HbA1c, I’m not quite sure on that one, but my guess is, it got better. Maybe Gary knows. In this study, we’re measuring, we’re not measuring HOMA-IR in the Phase 2b, but we are measuring HbA1c and LDL. And so, from a metabolic standpoint, we’re going to be additive, I believe, to what you see with the GLP-1. Now, let’s take a step back. And what we do differently, of course, is we have, in addition to muscle mass being metabolic, we also have muscle mass being physical function. And that’s been the hardest one for other drugs like myostatin inhibitors to show. And so, and part of that is because the angina receptor is a time-tested receptor. And we know, all you have to do is look at the real-world literature.
People they maintain muscle, they burn fat, they improve their performance. And so, it is a performance drug. There’s no question about it, but FDA is asking it to be a performance drug. They’re asking you to show function. So, by definition, it’s not just what you see on DEXA, it’s what you see by performance. And we’ve seen that, whereas in my understanding, inhibitors in general have had a tough time. So, I think — and we’re oral, so I put this in a good position. Now, the pathway from a regulatory standpoint, you have to think of it a couple of ways. The FDA has put out a guidance in January 2025, that was very interesting because the debate in the field is what is the regulatory pathway. And what you heard from others is that, if you showed a 5% greater weight reduction, incremental weight reduction when you combine two drugs together, then that gets you over the hurdle.
Based on everything I know, several meetings with the FDA, the FDA guidance itself, and furthermore, workshops with the FDA, that’s evolving. People are now understanding what the FDA meant was for the first time, you have a drug for weight loss. 5% weight loss compared to placebo and standard-of-care or standard lifestyle changes is 5%. But once you’re in and you have an approved drug, that’s 10%, for example, weight loss, and you put that in combination with the second drug, and you come back with 15%, the agency doesn’t know what that means. What did you do to make the patient better? So, the agency says, you have to have a second test. And that second test is what did you do that’s clinically meaningful. So, the FDA says clinically meaningful means HbA1c gets better, insulin resistance gets better, LDL gets better, for example.
Those are metabolic things that get better. In the case of ARC drug, the fact that we showed improvement in lean, stabilized the technical, stabilized preserved lean mass, we can show function. If you show benefit in function, that’s a benefit clinically meaningful. But if you think about what the GLP-1 is doing, the GLP-1 treatment makes HbA1c better, makes insulin resistance better, makes LDL better. So, the combination has to make better. Whereas in the situation within physical function, which is shown in our Phase 2b, the physical function is not better with GLP-1. GLP-1 42.6% of older patients in fact, have a 10% or greater decline in Stair Climb power. So, we can make something worse better. That’s interesting. Now, pause for a moment.
That means that the bar for, is high and low. It’s low for the first time you have a product, that’s by itself. It’s high if you give it in combination because you’re being asked to do more than just weight loss. The FDA also has said in their guidance that there’s a body composition path way for approval. And so, body composition basically means fat and muscle and bone and that kind of stuff. They know there’s a problem that GLP-1s that you change body composition, and in fact, the FDA has purposely gone out of the way to define obesity as excess adiposity. So, weight reduction drug has to be a drug that burns fat. Fat is what you see at no point for losing lean. In fact, the FDA now mandates sponsors to do a DEXA or an MRI to quantify, at least in the subpopulation, how much lean is lost and how much fat is lost, because the whole goal is to show fat loss.
So, with that — so in that same they say, however, if your drug is a body composition drug, like in our case, we’re preserving lean, then that path is beyond the scope of the weight reduction guidance because you’re now a body composition drug in combination with GLP-1 and come seek advice. Well, our pre-IND was out of the device. So, when we had the pre-IND meeting, the FDA made it very, very clear that in our case, we’re fortunate because we do improve lean mass. A DEXA scan of lean mass by itself is cosmetic, okay. And so, holding on to lean mass is wonderful, but what does it mean? And again, it’s performance, it’s function. And so, performance and function has to be measured somehow. We did a Stair Climb test. And so, now, we have in our Phase 2b, a great situation that if we replicate the Phase 2b in a Phase 3 setting, that’s wonderful, then we win.
So, the primary endpoint is physical function by Stair Climb test at 24 weeks and we show that we can stop the decline physical activity, physical function by Stair Climb in patients on GLP-1. That’s clinically meaningful on its own. So, that is a very clear pathway forward with FDA, consistent with the guidance and consistent with what they told us in our meetings with FDA.
William Wood: Appreciate that color. I’ll hop back in the queue, but definitely on the lookout for the imminent data and congratulations again for a very nice quarter.
Mitchell Steiner: Thank you.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] And your next question today will come from Yi Chen with H.C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Good morning. This is Eduardo on for Yi. Just a quick question again on the Phase 3 trial. You mentioned adding tirzepatide and I’m curious what your thoughts are there. There’s some anecdotal evidence that tirzepatide skews a little bit more towards fat loss instead of lean mass. I’m curious how you’re planning around that in your trial design, potentially. If you’re losing more less lean mass, right, you might need a little bit more patients in that group to power a difference. I’m curious how you’re thinking about that in trial design?
Mitchell Steiner: Yes, we’ve — Yes. So, if you go back and look at the data, you’ll see the following. To my surprise, until I saw the data, tirzepatide loses about the same amount of muscle, lean mass as semaglutide and the data comes from the step one study for semaglutide, where I think it’s about 6.8 — at 68 weeks, with 6.8 kilograms of lean that’s lost. And so, remember, it’s with the lean, not so much with the fat is, it’s how much lean you’re trying to preserve for function. And so, 6.8. And if you go back and look at the tirzepatide data, and you have to look in the supplemental tables, I was able to find the number at 72 weeks. Remember, 72 weeks is good to have a different titration period, and so, it gets to 72 weeks.
It was about 6.2 kilograms. So, the difference between the lean mass loss at approximately a year plus is similar. So, I think that the functional issues tirzepatide is going to have will be pretty much similar to what we found with semaglutide. With that said, we’re going to power the study, based on those numbers and stratify the subjects, based on whether it’s tirzepatide or semaglutide, so we don’t mix apples with oranges, if that makes — I think the apples are going to look very much like oranges in this study, but to be purist, we could keep them separate. Gary Barnett, do you want to add to that?
Gary Barnett: No, that’s right. There will be stratification on which, and we’ll make sure they’re equal between the treatment groups. So, that difference will wash out or will be accounted for in the randomization. And of course, the type of GLP-1 that they’ll be on will also be one of our covariates in the ANOVA, in the final statistical analysis.
Unidentified Analyst: Got it. Thanks a lot. It’s really helpful.
Mitchell Steiner: Thank you.
Operator: And your next question today will come from Leland Gershell with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
Leland Gershell : Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking our question. Just wondering, Mitch, the industry has been investing a fair bit in the development of potential therapies for the side effect of the GLP-1s, vis-à-vis, the myostatin blockers and so forth. Wondering, if in the work you’ve done to look at the differences between ANOVA and perhaps those strategies. Are there any concerns you may have that those may show any benefits that may supersede or be differentiated from ANOVA, as we await the remaining data from the Phase 2? Thanks.
Mitchell Steiner: Great question. So, let’s, I’ll begin with what I think makes us different and I’ll end with what I think makes us different. Look, what makes us different is oral and their IV or subQ and the whole space is moving. Even if all things are equal, things are moving in the direction of oral treatments for chronic weight management. And all the GLP-1 containing agents have the degree of lean mass loss. Nobody is going to disagree that older patients are at risk because they have less muscle mass to begin with. And it’s not a percent thing. 25% of a small amount of muscle is still a big amount. And so, the older patients, even big pharma, will tell you, are the ones that most at risk that we need to keep an eye on.
With that said, I think the myostatin inhibitors are going to have to overcome a problem in their development, which has been showing physical function benefits and physical function benefits by objective measurements of muscle function. And I’m not talking about 6-minute walk test because 6-minute walk test should get better if you lose weight, because 6-minute walk test is cardiovascular. That’s why they’d use 6-minute walk test, for example, for pulmonary artery, hypertension drugs and that kind of stuff. But muscular dystrophy, for example they use for muscle quality, they use Stair Climb and those kinds of tests. So, I’m not, I think the challenge is, I think they’re going to show a greater loss of fat. I think they’re going to show a preservation of lean.
But because lean doesn’t translate necessarily to function, then they’re going to have to make better, which means they’re going to have to look at LDL, they’re going to have to look at HbA1c, they’re going to have to look at insulin resistance, something metabolic. I think that’s a challenge because, you can only make things better-better so much better, meaning that, if your LDL hits 70 with GLP-1 alone, then what’s better than better? You’re already in a better range. Same thing with HbA1c and same thing with insulin resistance. GLP-1s do a good job on their own. So, what are you going to show? So, I think it’s a question mark. So, I’m going to end with what I think makes this different again, and that is we’re oral. And because we’re oral, that doesn’t matter, what they show, because a small molecule, it’s oral that can be combined with the future of weight loss medicines, which is an oral agent, that’s not a peptide.
It’s a small molecule. Then you’ll be able to produce, mass produce the drug, more cheaply, distribute it much better when you’re not looking for cold storage and that kind of stuff. And to the massive number of people that could benefit from a weight loss drug that is now a drug that is taking 99% of the fat away and leaving lean alone. So, it’s a true weight loss drug, getting rid of the fat. That’s the enemy.
Leland Gershell : Great. Thanks very much.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Dr. Mitchell Steiner for any closing remarks.
Mitchell Steiner: I appreciate everyone who joined us on today’s call. And I look forward to updating all of you on our progress on our next Investors call, and stay tuned for the numerous catalysts that will be coming out over the short-term. Thank you. Bye now.
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