Vera Bradley, Inc. (VRA), Aeropostale, Inc. (ARO): For Value Investors, Deep Bargains In This Ignored Sector

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American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) — which pays a 3.4% dividend — has already cut its share count from 233 million in fiscal 2006 to a recent 196 million, and current share buybacks should push that figure yet lower.

Moreover, even as American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO)’s recent performance has been poor relative to its own track record, the company still is posting gross margins nicely higher than rivals such as Aeropostale, Inc. (NYSE:ARO). Goldman Sachs anticipates 35% gross margins this year, compared with 20% for Aeropostale.

Simply put, AEO can handle price wars and Aeropostale, Inc. (NYSE:ARO) cannot, which means that AEO can make life really miserable for its rival during this upcoming holiday season, forcing Aeropostale to deeply retrench.

Risks to Consider: Keep an eye on back-to-school sales trends for these retailers. They are likely to be tepid at best and could pressure even top-performing retailers such as The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS).

Action to Take –> Looking ahead, the clouds hanging over teen retail spending as the economy strengthens, and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) would likely be a key beneficiary of such a rebound.

Investors should also brush up on another lagging retail stock: Vera Bradley, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRA), which has fallen from $50 in early 2011 to a recent $20 on the heels of mediocre sales growth and concerns about rising inventory. Notably, profits forecasts for both this year and next have only come down by a modest amount over the past 90 days. Also, the retailer is financially healthy, reasonably valued (trading at 10 times projected fiscal 2015 profits) and likely to see a sales boost from a resurgent U.S. economy.

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– David Sterman
The article For Value Investors, Deep Bargains In This Ignored Sector originally appeared on StreetAuthority and is written by David Sterman.
David Sterman does not personally hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article. 
StreetAuthority LLC does not hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article.

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