UBS Maintains Buy Rating on Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) is one of the 8 Best American Mining Stocks to Buy Right Now.

On May 1, 2026, UBS lowered the firm’s price target on Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) to $102 from $104 while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said the company’s Q1 results missed expectations on EBITDA and EPS due to weaker volumes and pricing despite solid cost control. UBS added that rising inventories and near-term oversupply risks continue to pressure pricing, though operational execution remains strong and an earnings inflection is expected as Blue Creek-related capital expenditures decline.

A day earlier, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) reported Q1 EPS of $1.37, versus the consensus estimate of $1.42. Revenue totaled $458.59M, versus the consensus estimate of $463.27M. CEO Walt Scheller said the quarter marked a defining milestone for the company as it completed the final project spending for the Blue Creek mine ahead of schedule and in line with capital expenditure guidance. Scheller added that Blue Creek is already contributing meaningfully to financial performance, with production volumes helping drive record sales volume during the quarter while its lower-cost structure supports margin expansion and free cash flow generation despite challenging steelmaking coal market conditions. Scheller also noted that while trade restrictions involving China and global supply pressures continue to weigh on pricing, particularly in the High Vol A market, India remains a key source of demand growth for steelmaking coal. The company also cited the recent Middle East conflict as a source of additional uncertainty and inflationary pressure across global markets.

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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) reaffirmed its FY26 guidance, including coal sales of 12.5M-13.5M short tons, coal production of 12.0M-13.0M short tons, sustaining capital expenditures of $105M-$115M, and Blue Creek project capital expenditures of $50M-$75M.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) produces and exports non-thermal steelmaking coal used in steel production across Europe, South America, and Asia.

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