Tiger Global Management’s Long Term Stock Picks Include Visa Inc (V)

In May, Tiger Cub hedge fund Tiger Global Management (Tiger Cub funds are those founded by former employees of billionaire Julian Robertson’s Tiger Management) filed its 13F for the first quarter of 2013. We track these filings as part of our work researching investment strategies (for example, we have found that the most popular small cap stocks among hedge funds generate an average excess return of 18 percentage points per year). While the stock picks in this filing are a bit old by now, we can use our database to pick out stocks which Tiger Global has owned for at least two years, on the theory that its managers still like these names. Investors can then perform further research on any which seem like good values. Read on for our quick take on five of Tiger Global’s holdings as of the end of March which the fund also owned at least $80 million of in March 2011 (or see the full list of the fund’s stock picks).

Tiger Global reported a position of about 630,000 shares in Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) in its most recent 13F, making the credit card company one of its largest holdings. Mastercard trades at 26 times trailing earnings at its current price. Revenue and earnings have been growing- in the first quarter of 2012 net income was up 12% versus a year earlier- but the company would have to continue that level of performance for quite some time in order to prove a good buy at this price. It might be best to avoid the stock for now.

Chase Coleman Tiger Global ManagementAnother credit card stock, Visa Inc (NYSE:V) has been another long term holding for the fund. As with Mastercard, a good deal of future growth is already incorporated into Visa Inc (NYSE:V)’s stock price; for example, it is valued at 22 times forward earnings estimates. Even with the company’s revenue being strong, investors should probably consider other names in the credit card industry. Billionaire Andreas Halvorsen’s Viking Global had 2.6 million shares of Visa Inc (NYSE:V) in its portfolio at the end of Q1 according to its own 13F (find Halvorsen’s favorite stocks); it is another Tiger Cub fund.

The fund owned 380,000 shares of Priceline.com Inc (NASDAQ:PCLN), a Tiger Cub favorite, at the beginning of April 2013. Once again, the market is valuing the stock quite aggressively although the travel website has been growing rapidly: its last quarterly report showed 26% revenue growth compared to the first quarter of 2012, with earnings up over 30%. With investors generally bullish on Priceline’s industry as a whole as well, the trailing P/E is 31. Growth rates have been high enough, however, that it may be worth considering as a growth stock.

Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) has been another of Tiger Global’s long term stock picks with the Q1 2013 filing disclosing ownership of 890,000 shares. For now Amazon’s earnings are extremely low compared to the stock price; it is actually unprofitable on a trailing basis thanks to steep losses in the third quarter of last year. Bulls believe that the company is approaching the point when it can shut off a good deal of expansion spending and allow Amazon’s revenue growth to help drive profits, but value investors shouldn’t be buying on this kind of speculation.

Rounding out our list of stocks which Tiger Global has owned for at least the last two years is Baidu.com, Inc. (ADR) (NASDAQ:BIDU). The Chinese search engine’s revenue was up 40% in its most recent quarterly report compared to the same period in the previous year, but costs were higher as well to the point that earnings only rose 9%. It is valued at 23 times trailing earnings, so it would probably need to bring the growth rate of its profits up a bit going forward in order to justify the valuation. It might be worth looking into whether Baidu can hold its costs in line with revenue growth in the future.

As a result Baidu looks something like a target for future research, as was the case with Priceline, though of course investors should be aware that their valuations already have some future growth priced in. The credit card stocks have been performing decently, but probably not well enough to make them attractive at current valuations.

Disclosure: I own no shares of any stocks mentioned in this article.