Dear Valued Visitor,

We have noticed that you are using an ad blocker software.

Although advertisements on the web pages may degrade your experience, our business certainly depends on them and we can only keep providing you high-quality research based articles as long as we can display ads on our pages.

To view this article, you can disable your ad blocker and refresh this page or simply login.

We only allow registered users to use ad blockers. You can sign up for free by clicking here or you can login if you are already a member.

Tempur-Pedic International Inc. (TPX), Select Comfort Corp. (SCSS): Can Mattress Firm Holding Corp (MFRM) Succeed Where Its Rivals Failed?

Mattress Firm Holding Corp (NASDAQ:MFRM) will release its quarterly report on Friday, and investors have remained enthusiastic about the mattress-seller’s growth prospects. Yet with the company’s main competitors having had less success in keeping their own businesses strong, will Mattress Firm really be able to buck the trend and deliver on its full potential?

Mattress Firm Holding Corp (NASDAQ:MFRM) came public in late 2011 and roared out of the gate before giving up nearly all of its gains by the end of last year. During 2013, however, investors have once again found renewed confidence in the company’s ability to earn growing profits even in a tough economic environment. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Mattress Firm over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its report.

Mattress Firm Holding Corp

Stats on Mattress Firm

Analyst EPS Estimate $0.51
Change From Year-Ago EPS 21%
Revenue Estimate $322.64 million
Change From Year-Ago Revenue 23%
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters 3

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Can Mattress Firm’s earnings keep growing this fast?

In recent months, analysts haven’t made much of a move on their views of Mattress Firm Holding Corp (NASDAQ:MFRM)’s earnings, choosing to cut just a single penny per share from their July quarter and current fiscal-year estimates. The stock has ignored those minor cuts, rising almost 15% since late May.

Mattress Firm Holding Corp (NASDAQ:MFRM) started things off well this quarter, with its April-quarter earnings rising 24% from year-earlier levels. Moreover, the company announced guidance that included more favorable revenue growth than expected. Even as same-store sales fell 5.2%, Mattress Firm expects comps to turn positive for the full fiscal year.

Yet industry trends aren’t all in Mattress Firm Holding Corp (NASDAQ:MFRM)’s favor. On one hand, the housing recovery would traditionally stoke demand for mattresses as more families start to consider home purchases. Yet recent results from Tempur-Pedic International Inc. (NYSE:TPX) and Select Comfort Corp. (NASDAQ:SCSS) haven’t supported that hypothesis. Tempur recently had to cut its full-year earnings guidance in light of complications in reorienting the newly merged combination of Tempur-Pedic International Inc. (NYSE:TPX) and Sealy toward higher growth. Select Comfort didn’t have the big-acquisition excuse to explain its shortfall in earnings, as margins fell significantly on marketing miscues despite higher sales. Those poor trends led analyst Stifel Nicolaus to downgrade Mattress Firm in sympathy with weakness throughout the industry.

The question is whether those poor trends are finally starting to turn. Over the Labor Day weekend, reports of industrywide retail bedding sales were up by mid-single-digit percentages, raising hopes that a long-awaited turnaround for the industry could be coming.

DOWNLOAD FREE REPORT: Warren Buffett's Best Stock Picks

Let Warren Buffett, George Soros, Steve Cohen, and Daniel Loeb WORK FOR YOU.

If you want to beat the low cost index funds by 19 percentage points per year, look no further than our monthly newsletter.In this free report you can find an in-depth analysis of the performance of Warren Buffett's entire historical stock picks. We uncovered Warren Buffett's Best Stock Picks and a way to for Buffett to improve his returns by more than 4 percentage points per year.

Bonus Biotech Stock Pick: You can also find a detailed bonus biotech stock pick that we expect to return more than 50% within 12 months.
Subscribe me to Insider Monkey's Free Daily Newsletter
This is a FREE report from Insider Monkey. Credit Card is NOT required.