Sprott Asset Management’s Top Stock Picks for 2013

Sprott Asset Management, managed by Eric Sprott, invests most of its capital in basic materials companies, including many precious metals miners. The fund recently filed its 13F for the fourth quarter of 2012, which discloses many of its long equity positions as of the end of December; therefore, this filing can serve as a guide to what the investment team liked at the beginning of this year. We can then do a brief introduction to some companies mentioned in the filing so that investors can decide whether they are interested enough to do further research on the stock. Read on for our quick take on five of Sprott’s largest holdings by market value at the beginning of 2013 and compare them to previous filings.

First Majestic Silver Corp (NYSE:AG)

The fund’s top pick was First Majestic Silver Corp (NYSE:AG), a $2.1 billion market cap silver miner whose operations are primarily located in Mexico. Sprott owned 4.8 million shares of the stock, down slightly from three months earlier but still a larger position than in June 2012. First Majestic has struggled over the past year, with its stock price down and earnings coming in 11% lower in the third quarter of 2012 than a year earlier. Wall Street analysts believe that 2013 will be a better year for the company and so the current price is only 10 times their consensus earnings estimates.

Sprott cut its stake in Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation (NYSE:CDE) but the global silver miner remained one of its largest positions with a stake of 1.2 million shares going into 2013. David Dreman’s Dreman Value Management also liked Coeur d’Alene in the third quarter of 2012, closing September with 1.5 million shares in its portfolio (see more of Dreman’s stock picks). The company has also had its stock price decline, and revenue was down 33% in its most recent quarter versus Q3 2011. As with First Majestic, the current-year P/E multiple is more modest at 11.

The emphasis on silver continued as the fund reported a position of about 780,000 shares in Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE:SLW), about even from three months earlier. It too reported a drop in financial performance in its most recent quarterly report, with double-digit percentage declines on both top and bottom lines. Silver Wheaton, at a market cap of almost $13 billion, is considerably larger than either First Majestic or Coeur d’Alene. Renaissance Technologies, managed by billionaire Jim Simons, added shares during the third quarter and owned a total of 1.6 million shares at the end of September (find Renaissance’s favorite stocks). The current-year P/E is 17.

Alexco Resource Corp. (AMEX:AXU) does produce some silver, but is also a miner of other minerals including zinc and lead. While its market capitalization is only about $270 million, an average of about 250,000 shares are traded per day and the current stock price is about $4.40; this equates to over $1 million in daily dollar volume. Sprott kept its stake in Alexco about constant during Q4 at 6.9 million shares. Net income here has actually been up sharply, but sales have been down and so we’ d include that growth rates in earnings are unsustainable. Alexco also trades at a premium to many of the companies we’ve discussed at 26 times expected earnings for 2013.

Sprott bought shares of PRETIUM RES INC (NYSE:PVG), an exploration stage precious metals miner with properties in Canada, during the quarter and reported 1.7 million shares in its 13F. The stock is generally highly sensitive to broader market indices- it has a beta of 2.3- yet has fallen 34% in the last year. The sell-side does not expect it to generate profits this year. Pretium’s exploration interests focus on gold, copper, and silver. We would recommend that investors avoid the stock because of its speculative nature.

This article was edited to correct Alexco Resource’s production mix and stock ticker.

Disclosure: I own no shares of any stocks mentioned in this article.