Dear Valued Visitor,

We have noticed that you are using an ad blocker software.

Although advertisements on the web pages may degrade your experience, our business certainly depends on them and we can only keep providing you high-quality research based articles as long as we can display ads on our pages.

To view this article, you can disable your ad blocker and refresh this page or simply login.

We only allow registered users to use ad blockers. You can sign up for free by clicking here or you can login if you are already a member.

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM): Can This Punished Silver Miner Rise?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) is a Canadian-based silver miner that operates multiple mines in China. Just like other silver miners, Silvercorp Metals has faced mounting pressure this year. Its stock is down 46% year-to-date. The company has recently released its quarterly results, which gives us a chance to evaluate its performance.

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (USA) (NYSE:SVM)

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) reported fiscal 2013 fourth-quarter net income of $6.4 million, or $0.04 per share, inline with analysts’ expectations. The company reported a decrease in silver production. Silvercorp has mined 4.9 million ounces of silver in fiscal 2013, 12% less than in fiscal 2012. This move seems to be a reaction to lower silver prices. The net-realized selling price in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013 was $30.51 per ounce.

What can drive the stock price up?

Let’s examine what can lead to the appreciation of the stock price. First, we should determine what has led to such a fast drop in the stock price. The usual suspects are internal company problems and pricing problems. Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) operates a diversified portfolio of mines. The fact that those mines are situated in China allows the company to be a low-cost producer. The main reason for this is lower labor costs.

Silvercorp’s growth strategy is to use the money generated by the company to finance new projects. It is focused on the acquisition of small-scale projects. The company has zero debt, which is important in the current environment. Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM)’s current ratio, a gauge of a company’s liquidity, is approximately 2.8. This means that the company has no liquidity problems. Cash and cash equivalents account for 12.5% of total assets. I do not see major internal company problems at Silvercorp, so let’s turn to the second variable – prices.

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) cannot influence the most important factor of its revenue – silver prices. Prices for the precious metal remain way below the $30.51 that was averaged in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013. Analysts’ earnings estimates for the fiscal year 2014 have dropped 42% during the last 90 days. If silver prices do not rise, Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) will not rise, either.

Silver prices are down 25% this year. The main source of the drop has been the outflow from silver ETFs. The industrial demand for silver remains stable. As silver prices have dropped, retail investors have shown an interest in purchasing physical silver, as well as gold.

The US Mint has had problems with the lack of small silver and gold coins. Silver is a volatile commodity that is subject to speculation. Little changes in physical demand could cause big movements in price. I think that the silver sell-off has been overdone, and the metal should rise after a period of stabilizing at current levels.


Silvercorp Metals Inc. (NYSE:SVM) is a way to play silver. What are your alternatives if you are bullish on silver? I would recommend a closer look at the world’s largest silver-streaming company, Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE:SLW) . Silver Wheaton does not operate silver mines. The company purchases the rights to buy silver at predefined prices. It has contracts with Goldcorp, Barrick Gold, Vale, Hudbay Minerals.

DOWNLOAD FREE REPORT: Warren Buffett's Best Stock Picks

Let Warren Buffett, George Soros, Steve Cohen, and Daniel Loeb WORK FOR YOU.

If you want to beat the low cost index funds by 19 percentage points per year, look no further than our monthly newsletter.In this free report you can find an in-depth analysis of the performance of Warren Buffett's entire historical stock picks. We uncovered Warren Buffett's Best Stock Picks and a way to for Buffett to improve his returns by more than 4 percentage points per year.

Bonus Biotech Stock Pick: You can also find a detailed bonus biotech stock pick that we expect to return more than 50% within 12 months.
Subscribe me to Insider Monkey's Free Daily Newsletter
This is a FREE report from Insider Monkey. Credit Card is NOT required.