Should You Consider Selling Your Coupa Software Incorporated (COUP) Stake?

Artisan Partners, a high value-added investment management firm, published its ‘Artisan Mid Cap Fund’ second quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. A return of 10.45% was recorded by its Investor Class: ARTMX, 10.46% by its Advisor Class: APDMX, and 10.52% by its Institutional Class: APHMX, in the second quarter of 2021, all below the Russell Midcap® Growth Index that delivered an 11.07% return, but outperforming the Russell Midcap® Index that was up by 7.50% for the same period. You can take a look at the fund’s top 5 holdings to have an idea about their top bets for 2021.

In the Q2 2021 investor letter of Artisan Partners, the fund mentioned Coupa Software Incorporated (NASDAQ: COUP) and discussed its stance on the firm. Coupa Software Incorporated is a San Mateo, California-based Business Spend Management (BSM) solutions provider with a $19.6 billion market capitalization. COUP delivered a -21.05% return since the beginning of the year, while its 12-month returns are down by -6.38%. The stock closed at $256.07 per share on September 2, 2021.

Here is what Artisan Partners has to say about Coupa Software Incorporated in its Q2 2021 investor letter:

Coupa is a leading provider of cloud-based business spendmanagement software. The company helps over 1,400 customers process over $2 trillion in annual spend across more than 5 million suppliers. We initiated our position in Q4 2020 as we anticipated Coupa Pay—a recently introduced set of cloud services seeking to process B2B payments (not just invoices) across its large network— was on the cusp of a compelling profit cycle. B2B payments have seen far less innovation in recent years compared to B2C (PayPal, Venmo, Square), and we believed Coupa was well-positioned to disrupt this market. However, the company has made several acquisitions recently, which we believe will require substantial operational focus and inhibit the company from aggressively pursuing the B2B payments opportunity over the near to intermediate term. With our thesis stalled, we exited our position.”

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Based on our calculations, Coupa Software Incorporated (NASDAQ: COUP) was not able to clinch a spot in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. COUP was in 54 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the first half of 2021, compared to 50 funds in the previous quarter. Coupa Software Incorporated (NASDAQ: COUP) delivered a 16.26% return in the past 3 months.

Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.