QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) is benefiting from the increasing demand for smartphones and the growing focus of network operators worldwide to implement high-speed wireless technology, popularly known as LTE, or long-term evolution.
The chip maker’s stock has been a bit volatile lately. Despite record earnings, shares fell 7% due to the company’s lower-than-expected earnings outlook for the upcoming quarter. Since then, the stock has moved up in line with market expectations. So, where will the stock move from here?
Growth drivers
The chip maker continues to up its R&D spending to take advantage of new market opportunities, such as tablets. QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) spent $1.88 billion on R&D and SGA expenses in the second quarter, which is a 21% jump from the same period a year ago and an increase of 11% sequentially. For the current quarter, the company expects a 2%-4% rise in R&D spending.
Until now, major devices like Samsung’s Galaxy S4, the HTC One, and the Sony Xperia Z, were using Snapdragon 600, but the more powerful Snapdragon 800 will now be used in tablets and phablet devices. The initial responses show that Snapdragon 800 is much more powerful and equally efficient, and will go a long way to enhance offerings from the chip maker.
QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) not only makes chips for high-end devices like the iPhone and Galaxy lineup, but its offerings are also used in lower-priced handsets popular in Asia and other emerging markets. These markets will help the company to carry on the growth trend once the U.S. market saturates. However, lower end devices command a lower margin for Qualcomm, as manufacturers pay fewer royalties and acquire cheaper components.
Comparison with rivals
| Share Price* | 52-Week Range | PE | Forward PE | ROE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRCM | 33.77 | 28.60 – 37.85 | 23.41 | 10.67 | 11.02% |
| INTC | 24.06 | 19.23 – 26.90 | 11.88 | 11.76 | 21.06% |
| QCOM | 60.95 | 53.09 – 68.50 | 17.09 | 12.41 | 17.87% |
*as of June 5, 2013.
Broadcom Corporation (NASDAQ:BRCM) and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) are QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM)’s closest competitors. Shares of all three firms are trading in the upper range of their respective 52-week highs, reflecting positive sentiment for the industry. For Broadcom, PE looks slightly higher, making it a bit more expensive, while Intel and Qualcomm look decently valued. Forward PE for both Broadcom Corporation (NASDAQ:BRCM) and Qualcomm reflects that earnings are expected to rise for these two. For Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), there is a slight change in forward PE, suggesting earnings are expected to be flat. Intel commands the highest ROE among the three, followed by Qualcomm.
Concerns
The advantage enjoyed by the chip maker in the LTE segment may soon wither as an increasing number of smaller players are attracted to the high-growth market. These players will be a major challenge for QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) in the developing countries, as they are improving on technology and are ready to adjust on profits in exchange for market share.
Also, though smartphone shipments are increasing, it’s less intense than last year. As per IDC, the global smartphone market is expected to increase 27% this year, compared to 46% last year.
Analyst rating, hedge funds, and short interest
Analysts at The Street, in a note issued on June 12, gave a ‘buy’ rating on Qualcomm. Deutsche Bank has also reiterated a “buy” rating on the semiconductor company, with a price target of $78. Zacks has reiterated a long-term “neutral” recommendation for Qualcomm.
Ninety-six of the hedge funds tracked were bullish on Qualcomm, which is a change of 1% from the earlier quarter. Some of the hedge funds that have major positions in Qualcomm stock are Fisher Asset Management, Viking Global, Lone Pine Capital, and Alkeon Capital Management.
Short interest is also a very good indicator of expectations regarding the price of these stocks. For Qualcomm, as of June 16, short interest fell 3.6% to 15.71 million shares. This indicates that traders expect the stock price to rise in the near future.
Opinion
There have been concerns that the growth of the smartphone industry is slowing, but QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) is showing no signs of weakness. The chip maker remains the market leader in LTE. However, in the near future, it will have to face increasing threats from other vendors in key emerging markets. Qualcomm knows this very well and is beefing up its offerings to defend its dominating position in the industry.
The long term prospects looks good, given the increasing demand for LTE-enabled mobile handsets, and management is confident about retaining the current pace of revenue and earnings growth for at least the next five years.
QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) looks like a good bet, however, investors must consider the global economic volatility, which may adversely affect the telecommunications industry, and in turn, Qualcomm’s performance.
The article Despite Lower Earnings Guidance, This Chipmaker Is a Buy originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Rahul Jaiswal.
Rahul Jaiswal has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC). The Motley Fool owns shares of Intel and Qualcomm. Rahul is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.
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