Pay Close Attention to Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK)

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Valuation

Cash flow is the most important gauge in valuation of gas and oil companies because maintaining low overhead expenses is absolutely crucial. EXCO Resources Inc (NYSE:XCO) brought in $514 million of cash from operations in 2012. That’s up from $428 million and $340 million in 2011 and 2010, respectively. This commands a price-to-cash multiple of 3.6 times. That’s very cheap, but it also represents fear in the market that EXCO will outspend itself. With a negative operating margin of 6%, these fears might actually be justified. In contrast to EXCO, SandRidge Energy Inc. (NYSE:SD) has brought in only $120 million in cash flow, down from $198 million only a year ago. This commands a high price-to-cash multiple of 20 times. In SandRidge’s case, the bottom line is very important. While its operating margin is 30%, its bottom-line net profit margin is a negative 4%.

A recent vote of confidence

Voting with your money is always a good signal. That’s why it pays to closely monitor insider buys at public companies. In Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE:CHK), various insiders have made open market purchases within a short period of one another. Four different insiders purchased 634,632 shares at an average price of $20.66 per share, for a total of $13.11 million, with the most recent purchase on June 21, 2013. That’s a very strong vote of confidence in the company’s ability to implement its plan and reduce its debt load.

The Fool looks ahead

I believe that Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE:CHK) has been making good progress in the right direction. With the disposal of assets in return for immediate cash, Chesapeake is currently paving its way out of what seemed like potential insolvency. Once everything is clear and the dust settles, the company’s depressed equity could receive a great boost from these moves. Invest accordingly.

The article Pay Close Attention to Chesapeake Energy originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Shmulik Karpf.

Shmulik Karpf has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has the following options: Long Jan 2014 $20 Calls on Chesapeake Energy, Long Jan 2014 $30 Calls on Chesapeake Energy, and Short Jan 2014 $15 Puts on Chesapeake Energy. Shmulik is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

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