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Panera Bread Co (PNRA) Earnings Look Primed to Rise Higher

Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA)Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) will release its quarterly report tomorrow, and investors are hoping that the company will be able to produce the same growth that its rapidly rising stock price has promised. As with most high-growth stocks, Panera earnings will need to accelerate to make shareholders truly happy.

Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) has been one of the best growth stories in the restaurant sector, with the company having capitalized on greater demand for healthy food offerings by producing a welcoming café atmosphere. Yet will the bakery chain be able to keep growing at its breakneck pace for the foreseeable future? Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report.

Stats on Panera Bread

Analyst EPS Estimate $1.77
Change From Year-Ago EPS 18%
Revenue Estimate $596.02 million
Change From Year-Ago Revenue 12.3%
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters 3

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Panera earnings keep rising like yeasty bread dough?
Analysts have tightened up their estimates on Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) earnings only by the smallest of margins, pulling back on their June-quarter estimates by a penny per share and reducing their full-year 2013 calls by twice that. Yet the stock hasn’t responded badly to those moves, with shares up between 2% and 3% since mid-April.

Panera’s success has come largely from the willingness of consumers to pay up for high-quality food. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)‘s recent results from last week gave further evidence of this, as Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) bounced back from a somewhat weak first quarter to post 5.5% comparable-store sales that produced overall revenue gains of more than 18%. Given that Panera’s first-quarter results were stronger than Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)’s, investors hope that Panera can raise the bar even higher this time around.

Co-CEOs Ronald Shaich and Bill Moreton have been an important part of what’s gotten Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) to where it is today. Partnerships with high-quality food and beverage suppliers have helped Panera deliver more of what customers are looking for. Moreover, even though the company hasn’t been the first-mover in many of its moves — it chose the same supplier that McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) uses for its gourmet coffee, and Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) first started emphasizing natural and organic food offerings — Panera has been smart about taking those themes and applying them more specifically to its own business.

Moreover, Panera’s overall strategy has been working. In a recent consumer survey, Chipotle managed to come in ahead of Panera in terms of willingness to pay extra money for healthier food by a 31% to 19% margin. But Panera beat out Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX), and with new pasta, salad, and wrap offerings, Panera Bread Co (NASDAQ:PNRA) looks poised to try to capture a larger share of the healthy-eating market.

In the Panera earnings report, watch to see if the same trends that helped Chipotle also show up in Panera’s numbers. As the economy continues to recover, Panera has a chance to accelerate its growth by catering to the demand for quality at a reasonable price.

The article Panera Earnings Look Primed to Rise Higher originally appeared on and is written by Dan Caplinger.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter: @DanCaplinger. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill, McDonald’s, Panera Bread, and Starbucks.

Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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