Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR): A Bull Case Theory 

We came across a bullish thesis on Oscar Health, Inc. on Deep Value Returns’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on OSCR. Oscar Health, Inc.’s share was trading at $19.28 as of October 2nd.

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Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) has faced challenges recently, particularly due to high medical loss ratios that weighed on performance in Q2 2025, making it a disappointing recommendation in the near term. However, the current market discount presents a renewed opportunity, as these near-term issues are largely priced in. Looking ahead to 2026, the company is set to benefit from across-the-board premium increases, which should drive approximately 5% topline growth.

This anticipated revenue growth provides a clear catalyst for the stock, which is currently trading at a deeply discounted 0.4x sales multiple. As investors recognize the improving fundamentals and margin recovery, a re-rating of the stock is likely, unlocking substantial upside potential. Based on these dynamics, a price target of $30 per share by the end of 2026 appears achievable, reflecting the market’s likely recognition of Oscar’s earnings improvement and growth trajectory. The combination of near-term issues being addressed and medium-term revenue growth sets the stage for a compelling risk/reward profile for investors, making OSCR an attractive opportunity despite recent underperformance.

Previously we covered a bullish thesis on Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) by convexititties in March 2025, which highlighted ACA-related fears being priced in, strong insider confidence, and AI-driven technology supporting EPS growth to $2.25–$3.00 by 2027. The stock has appreciated ~25% since coverage. This is because near-term fears partially played out. Deep Value Returns shares a similar perspective but emphasizes near-term medical loss ratio challenges and 2026 premium-driven growth.

Oscar Health, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 43 hedge fund portfolios held OSCR at the end of the second quarter which was 41 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of OSCR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than OSCR and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.