We came across a bullish thesis on Nordson Corporation on Danny’s Substack by Danny Green. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on NDSN. Nordson Corporation’s share was trading at $299.29 as of February 18th. NDSN’s trailing and forward P/E were 35.04 and 26.53 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
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Nordson Corporation (NDSN) represents a high-quality industrial compounder with cyclical exposure, currently positioned for a constructive inflection as macro conditions stabilize. The company operates across diversified end markets including Industrial Precision, Medical & Fluid Solutions, and Advanced Technology, reducing reliance on any single sector while maintaining exposure to industrial capex cycles.
Although recent organic sales have been flat to modestly negative in pockets such as polymer processing and advanced systems, management’s fiscal 2026 outlook assumes improving customer demand, signaling confidence that macro softness is bottoming. Nordson delivered record fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.8 billion and EBITDA of $900 million, with adjusted EPS rising approximately 5% year over year, while Q3 revenue grew 12% year over year and free cash flow conversion remained exceptionally strong. Backlog entering fiscal 2026 stands near $600 million, providing revenue visibility despite modest Q4 organic softness.
The company’s durable moat stems from technological expertise, entrenched customer relationships, recurring industrial spend, and a strong margin profile of roughly 32–34% EBITDA margins. Capital allocation remains disciplined, with free cash flow supporting dividends, share repurchases, and selective acquisitions under structured frameworks such as NBS Next and Ascend.
While exposure to FX and cyclical capex creates volatility risk, strong cash generation and backlog conversion provide downside support. If sequential organic growth reaccelerates in Industrial Precision and Advanced Technology, multiple expansion is likely. With moderate growth expectations embedded in valuation and robust cash flow underpinning earnings, Nordson offers an attractive risk/reward skew for investors anticipating a cyclical recovery.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Graco Inc. (GGG) by Stock Analysis Compilation in December 2024, which highlighted the company’s premium fluid-handling niche, pricing power, and stable parts-driven margins. GGG’s stock price has appreciated by approximately 10.28% since our coverage. Danny Green shares a similar view but emphasizes on Nordson Corporation’s cyclical recovery inflection, diversified end-markets, and backlog-supported earnings visibility.
Nordson Corporation is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 27 hedge fund portfolios held NDSN at the end of the third quarter which was 24 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of NDSN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NDSN and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None.
