Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:KPTI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript May 13, 2025
Operator: Good afternoon. My name is Chloe, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Karyopharm Therapeutics First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. There will be a question-and-answer session to follow. Please be advised that this call is being recorded at the company’s request. I would now like to turn the call over to Brendan Strong, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Brendan Strong: Thank you, Chloe. And thank you all for joining us on today’s conference call to discuss Karyopharm’s first quarter 2025 financial results and recent company progress. We issued a press release after the market close detailing our financial results for the first quarter of 2025. This release, along with a slide presentation that we will reference during our call today are available on our website. For today’s call, as seen on Slide 2, I’m joined by Richard, Reshma, Sohanya and Lori who will provide an update on our results for the first quarter of 2025 and review new data that we are sharing for the first time today in myelofibrosis. Before we begin our formal comments, I’ll remind you that various remarks we will make today constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as outlined on Slide 3.
Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in the Risk Factors section of our most recent Form 10-Q or 10-K on file with the SEC and in other filings that we may make with the SEC in the future. Any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today only. While we may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so even if our views change. Therefore, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as representing our views as of any later date. I’ll now turn the call over to Richard. Please turn to Slide 4.
Richard Paulson: Thank you, Brendan, and thank you all for joining us today for Karyopharm’s Q1 2025 earnings call. As we continue to execute on our innovation and growth strategy, we are pleased that our Phase 3 SENTRY trial in patients with JAKi-naïve myelofibrosis has passed its prespecified futility analysis and continues as planned without modifications. We are very focused on completing enrollment in this trial, while also advancing enrollment in our Phase 3 trial in endometrial cancer as outlined on Slide 5. As we have discussed in the past, we have a profitable commercial organization in multiple myeloma that can be leveraged to drive rapid commercialization if we receive approval in additional disease areas. Turning to Slide 6.
We are excited to share with you today new clinical data, which further strengthens our conviction in selinexor’s potential in combination with ruxolitinib in JAKi-naïve myelofibrosis patients. The data that Reshma will take you through is selinexor monotherapy data in a heavily pretreated, hard-to-treat population from our randomized Phase 2 XPORT-MF-035 trial. The data are very encouraging because they continue to show selinexor may have an impact across each of the four key hallmarks of the disease. When combined with other clinical and preclinical data we have shared previously, this tells a consistent story, which supports our belief that the combination of selinexor plus ruxolitinib has the potential to meaningfully improve patient outcomes and redefine the standard of care in myelofibrosis.
We look forward to sharing data with you from our Phase 3 SENTRY trial which is evaluating selinexor in combination with ruxolitinib toward the end of this year or in early 2026. We have now enrolled approximately 80% of the 350 patients that we are targeting for this study and expect to complete our targeted enrollment in the June-July timeframe. As we think about our potential in myelofibrosis, it is worth remembering how we got here, which is outlined on Slide 7. We have been taking deliberate steps over many years to put us in the position we are in today. We continue to progress our Phase 3 SENTRY trial faster than historical benchmarks while remaining incredibly focused on high-quality clinical trial execution. As outlined on Slide 8, leading key opinion leaders of myelofibrosis, including Dr. Rampal from Memorial Sloan Kettering, and Dr. Mascarenhas from Mount Sinai, continue to highlight the need for new treatment options for patients with myelofibrosis and are encouraged by the strength of our Phase I combination data.
Finally, we continue to believe that the commercial opportunity in myelofibrosis is transformational. As shown on Slide 9, if approved, we believe the peak revenue potential for selinexor in myelofibrosis is up to approximately $1 billion in the U.S. alone. Based on our market research, including discussions with leading key opinion leaders on our Phase I data and the fact that we are looking to combine selinexor with the existing standard of care, we believe that commercial uptake would be rapid. We are eager to see the outcome of Phase 3 trial and the potential opportunity ahead. Now, I’d like to turn the call over to Reshma.
Reshma Rangwala: Thank you, Richard. Before I get into the new data, let’s quickly review why we believe selinexor as an XPO1 inhibitor is a rational mechanism to evaluate in patients with myelofibrosis starting on Slide 11. Selinexor prevents the nuclear export of various proteins and messenger RNA molecules inhibiting both JAK and non-JAK pathways, the latter which includes the nuclear localization and activation of p53, an important tumor suppressor in myelofibrosis, given that approximately 95% of myelofibrosis patients are p53 wild type. Let’s start by reviewing the unmet need in JAKi-naïve myelofibrosis on Slide 12, selinexor’s potential to help patients with myelofibrosis and our opportunity to redefine the standard of care as the first combination therapy.
To set the stage, there has been a lack of new treatment options, given that the JAK inhibitors are the only approved class of therapies. Ruxolitinib has been the standard of care for over 13 years. As the potential first combination therapy in myelofibrosis, selinexor plus ruxolitinib would be a convenient all oral therapy that the myelofibrosis community has clearly indicated interest in adopting given the rapid, deep and durable spleen reductions and symptom improvement observed from the Phase I study. Let’s now focus on the four key hallmarks in myelofibrosis. First, let’s look at spleen volume reduction. I think it’s a helpful reminder that only approximately one-third of patients achieve a spleen volume reduction of greater than 35% with ruxolitinib alone.
As we have shared before, our Phase I data showed that selinexor plus ruxolitinib more than doubles that SVR35 rate. Second is symptom improvement. As a reminder, data from our Phase I trial of selinexor in combination with ruxolitinib showed an average 18.5 point improvement in absolute TSS at week 24, which suggests a meaningful improvement over the 11 to 14-point improvements achieved by patients on ruxolitinib as observed in the Phase 3 MANIFEST-2 and TRANSFORM-1 trials. Third is hemoglobin stabilization and transfusion burden. The new data we will be reviewing today shows higher hemoglobin levels, lower transfusion burden, in much lower rates of all grade and grade 3 plus anemia in patients randomized to selinexor compared to physician’s choice, primarily JAK inhibitors, including ruxolitinib.
Fourth is disease modification. There is minimal evidence of disease modification with JAK inhibitors. The new monotherapy data shows substantial reduction in key cytokines that are critical to myelofibrosis pathogenesis, symptom development and anemia. We believe this data likely indicates that selinexor is having an impact on the underlying disease, which enables both monotherapy as well as additive, if not potentially synergistic benefit when combined with other therapies, including ruxolitinib. Turning to Slide 13, our XPORT-MF-035 trial is a randomized Phase 2 trial that is evaluating selinexor monotherapy versus physician’s choice. The study was designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of selinexor in a more heavily pretreated myelofibrosis population.
Importantly, this trial allows for patients to cross over from physician’s choice to selinexor if their spleen met predefined progression criteria. To be eligible for the trial, patients needed at least six months of prior exposure to a JAK inhibitor. This trial was originally designed to randomize 112 patients. However, we stopped enrollment in 2023 to focus our resources on our ongoing Phase 3 SENTRY trial. Slide 14 contains the baseline characteristics for the 24 patients that we enrolled in the trial. Keep in mind that this trial enrolled a very different patient population than the patients we are enrolling in our Phase 3 SENTRY trial. Patients in this trial were heavily pretreated with an average of two prior lines of therapy with some patients having up to four lines of prior therapy.
This is also a very frail high-risk population. I would direct your attention to the fact that 17% of patients are triple negative and 21% are high risk. Furthermore, these patients are generally cytopenic with hemoglobin levels between 9 and 10, five of these patients were transfusion-dependent prior to enrolling in the trial. Slide 15 contains the spleen volume reduction observed in this trial. We evaluated the maximum SVR experienced at any time in the efficacy of valuable populations. The eight patients shown in blue were treated with physician’s choice, the patients represented by the solid green bars in the middle of the slide were randomized to selinexor. The additional five patients in the textured green bars on the far right were patients that progressed on physician’s choice and crossed over to selinexor.
As is clear on this slide, spleen volume reduction was greater in those patients that received selinexor at any time compared to the group that received physician’s choice. In fact, all but one patient in the selinexor arm achieved some degree of spleen volume reduction, whereas only half of the patients in the physician’s choice arm experienced a decrease in spleen volume. 38% of the evaluable patients in the physician’s choice arm achieved in SVR25 at any time were 67% in the selinexor arm, including patients that crossed over achieved an SVR25. For SVR35 rates were more than double for selinexor, 13% of patients in the physician’s choice arm achieved this level of spleen volume reduction or greater compared to 33% in the selinexor arm. Slide 16 contains a very compelling spider line graph that looks at the impact that selinexor has on spleen size on patients that crossed over and thus had progressed on prior therapy.
Of the six patients who crossed over from physician’s choice to selinexor, five were evaluable and are shown on the slide. Four of these five patients received ruxolitinib as a physician’s choice prior to crossover. So in fact, the spider line graph really demonstrates selinexor’s effect on the spleen size in ruxolitinib refractory patients. The first column is represented by the Y axis, represents the baseline spleen level for each patient. The second series of data points represents the maximum reduction of spleen volume on physician’s choice of ruxolitinib. The third series of data points represent the spleen volume growth experienced at the time of progression. The fourth series of data points then represents spleen volume relative to baseline after the patients crossover to selinexor.
The interpretation of these data are very clear, each patient that crossed over to selinexor demonstrated clear and meaningful reductions in their spleen volume after crossing over, likely indicating that selinexor is targeting pathways beyond the JAK-STAT pathway, enabling both monotherapy activity as well as additive, if not synergistic activity when combined with ruxolitinib. Similar to spleen volume reduction, we also see meaningful symptom improvement with selinexor monotherapy. As you see on Slide 17, there was no improvement in symptoms for the patients randomized physician’s choice, in contrast, the seven efficacy evaluable patients randomized to selinexor reported a 5.9 point improvement in absolute TSS at week 24 and 29% achieved TSS50.
If you look at all patients treated with selinexor, including those that crossed over, this group reported a 3.7 point improvement in absolute TSS and 18% achieved a TSS50 at week 24. Please note that all of these figures exclude the fatigue domain, which is consistent with how we are calculating absolute TSS in our Phase 3 SENTRY trial. As we have previously discussed, we have aligned with FDA on this approach, and it is consistent with the comfort and JAKARTA trials that led to approvals for ruxolitinib and fedratinib, respectively. Turning to Slide 18, we show how hemoglobin levels changed over time. Patients randomized to selinexor are shown in green, patients on physician’s choice are shown in blue. Visually, you can see that hemoglobin levels are substantially higher in the selinexor arm throughout the study duration.
Let’s take this a step further and look at transfusion burden, as shown on Slide 19. Starting with the swimmer plot on the left, we use the same colors from the prior slide. Patients randomized to selinexor are in green, patients randomized to physician’s choice are in blue, and patients that crossed over to selinexor are shown in the yellow extensions at the end of the blue lines. The red dots represent transfusions. Five patients were transfusion dependent at baseline, three in the physician’s choice arm and two in the selinexor arm. Notably, patient 4112-003 in the selinexor arm was transfusion-dependent prior to randomization. Visually, you can see right away that patients that start on physician’s choice received many more transfusions.
Why? It is likely because XPO1 inhibition is modifying the underlying disease and helping the patients produce more healthy bone marrow. We expect to be able to answer this question more definitively with the results from the Phase 3 SENTRY trial. Now, we ask ourselves why are we seeing higher hemoglobin levels and less transfusion. Let’s look at Slide 20, which outlines the key cytokines that are relevant in myelofibrosis. Starting with myelofibrosis pathogenesis, IL-6 and IL-8 are relevant to malignant mutated clonal expansion, hepatosplenomegaly and bone marrow angiogenesis. IL-6 and IL-8 also affect constitutional symptoms and drive inflammation as does TNF alpha. Anemia is affected by IL-6 hepcidin and TNF alpha, which plays a role in suppressing normal hematopoiesis and also blocks iron availability.
Please keep all of this in mind as we review Slide 21. We obtained plasma samples at baseline and again at week 4 on a subset of the patients that participated in the trial, five from the selinexor arm and five from the physician’s choice arm. We plotted the cytokine changes using a standard dendrogram plot. Blue and purple use represent a decrease in cytokines, red and peach use represent an increase. The decreases are what we are looking for. As you look at the slide, please focus on the box in the middle of the screen. This is where the four cytokines that are relevant to myelofibrosis are shown. You’ll see the arrows pointing to IL-6, IL-8 hepcidin and TNF alpha. For these four key cytokines, we are seeing clear reductions as early as week 4 in the selinexor arm, while there are increases in the cytokines in the physician’s choice arm.
In the blue box at the bottom, you can see the actual percentage changes, including a 37% median reduction in IL-8, 29% median reduction in IL-6, 25% median reduction in TNF alpha and a 30% median reduction in hepcidin for those patients in the selinexor arm. In contrast, three of the four medians increased for the physician’s choice arm. These data suggest that selinexor is modifying the underlying disease is something that JAK inhibitors have not been able to adequately demonstrate. Let’s now turn to the safety data on Slide 22. Selinexor continues to demonstrate a manageable safety profile. Selinexor is similar to physician’s choice for both all grade and grade 3+ AEs. In particular, nausea was only 33% in the selinexor arm compared to physician’s choice.
Similar rates of thrombocytopenia were observed across the two arms. A notable exception is anemia, where both all grade and grade 3+ anemia are meaningfully decreased in the selinexor arm compared to physician’s choice. Specifically, all grade anemia was 25% in the selinexor arm compared to 58% in the physician’s choice arm and grade 3+ anemia was 17% in the selinexor arm compared to 58% in the physician’s choice arm. These data are notable, given that we are not only seeing higher hemoglobin levels and lower transfusion burdens, which I discussed on the prior slides, but also lower anemia AEs and our safety data further suggestive of disease modification. Lastly, I’ll note that none of the patients randomized to selinexor, discontinued treatment due to an adverse event.
Turning to Slide 23, we are pleased that our Phase 3 SENTRY trial successfully passed its prespecified futility analysis. The DSMB recommended that the study continue as planned without modification, following a review of safety and efficacy data in the first 61 patients, all of whom were followed for at least 24 weeks. In the study, we continue to make strong progress towards our goal of enrolling 350 patients. We expect to complete enrollment very shortly in the June-July timeframe. With the data that I just shared with selinexor monotherapy in a hard-to-treat heavily pretreated patient population, I’m very encouraged with the consistency that is being observed across our multiple clinical and preclinical data sets. These data continue to suggest that the combination of selinexor plus ruxolitinib has the potential to be clinically additive, if not synergistic in a JAKi-naïve patient population thus leading to substantially higher SVR and TSS improvements as compared to each agent alone as observed in our Phase 1 combination study.
Together with the hemoglobin stabilization and lower transfusion burden as well as the potential for disease modification, the data continue to suggest that selinexor is affecting each of the four key hallmarks of myelofibrosis. We look forward to continuing to demonstrate this with the upcoming results from our Phase 3 SENTRY trial, and building upon selinexor’s well-established safety profile with over 30,000 patients treated across multiple indications and the potential for patient convenience with an all-oral combination. Now, let’s shift our focus to endometrial cancer, where p53 wild type is such an important biomarker. As seen on Slide 25, patients with both MMR proficient and TP53 wild-type tumors make up approximately 50% of all advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer cases, representing a very sizable group of patients.
Selinexor primarily functions by blocking the export of p53 from the nucleus to the cytoplasm. When p53 accumulates in the nucleus, it leads to disruptive DNA repair processes, cell cycle arrest and increased apoptosis. I remain encouraged with the potential of selinexor to achieve clinically meaningful outcomes in the maintenance setting for patients with p53 wild-type endometrial cancer. On Slide 26, we outlined the study design for our ongoing XPORT-EC-042 trial. Enrollment in the trial is progressing steadily, and we continue to expect to report top line data in the middle of 2026. Lastly, our Phase 3 EMN29 SPd trial is outlined on Slide 28. This trial aims to address the unmet need of patients with multiple myeloma by offering an all-oral triplet treatment option that could also benefit those undergoing pre- and post T-cell engaging therapies.
We expect to report top line data from this event-driven trial in the first half of 2026. I will now turn the call to Sohanya.
Sohanya Cheng: Thank you, Reshma. On Slide 30, I will discuss our commercial highlights for Q1 2025. We delivered 5% demand growth in Q1 year-over-year, although net product revenue was $21.1 million and was adversely impacted by a $5 million increase in the product return reserve due to atypical returns of expired product primarily 80 milligram and 100 milligram XPOVIO units. These higher dose units were purchased by clinics and hospitals following the 2020 approval of the XPOVIO 100 milligram triplet combination. The majority of XPOVIO that is prescribed today are 40 milligrams and 60 milligram doses, and we expect product returns will be similar to historical levels in future quarters. As we look at the key drivers of demand in Q1, we delivered year-over-year growth in prescriptions across both academic and community settings of care, with the latter contributing to 60% of our sales.
The multiple myeloma market remains highly competitive, and we are expecting additional new entrants this year. Within this market, XPOVIO is positioned in the community as a flexible therapy with a differentiated mechanism of action, oral convenient option following treatment with an anti-CD38 therapy as well as in patients who cannot access or fail a T-cell engaging therapy. In the academic setting compared to last year, we’re seeing increasing use of XPOVIO immediately before and following T-cell therapies. We expect to continue to display resilience in a competitive multiple myeloma market. And in light of the atypical level of returns in the first quarter, we now expect to be tracking towards the lower end of our guidance range for net product revenue of $115 million to $130 million.
Moving to Slide 31, we continue to expand global patient access to selinexor which is translating into growth in royalty revenue from Menarini, Antengene and other international partners. Royalty revenue increased 57% to $1.7 million in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the first quarter of 2024, reflecting increasing global demand for XPOVIO and NEXPOVIO. As we now move to potential new indications, our commercial team is preparing for a very rapid launch in myelofibrosis, if approved. As outlined on Slide 32, we continue to believe that our peak annual revenue opportunity in the U.S. alone is up to approximately $1 billion with additional royalty and milestone revenue globally. On Slide 33, we outline why we believe we are so well positioned for a rapid launch in myelofibrosis.
As we have shared previously, 75% of the physicians that we surveyed say that they intend to adopt a combination therapy in myelofibrosis if one becomes available. If selinexor is approved in combination with ruxolitinib, we could be the first combination therapy on the market. We would be an all oral therapy, which makes adoption much easier, especially in the community setting. On this point, there is an 80% overlap in the community between myelofibrosis and multiple myeloma prescribers that our organization is already calling on, which enables us to drive a rapid launch and minimizes the upfront investment required for the launch. Finally, in endometrial cancer, as shown on Slide 34, we continue to believe that we have a significant opportunity in the p53 wild type, pMMR patient population, which represents approximately 50% of advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer patients.
Similar to what I outlined for myelofibrosis, there’s a large overlap between the potential community-based oncologists caring for endometrial cancer patients and those that we are already engaging with. Now, I’ll turn the call over to Lori.
Lori Macomber: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you, Sohanya. Turning to our financials. Since we issued a press release earlier today with the full financial results, I will focus on the highlights and reviewing our guidance for 2025 on Slide 36. Total revenue for the first quarter of 2025 was $30 million compared to $33.1 million for the first quarter of 2024. U.S. XPOVIO net product revenue for the first quarter of 2025 was $21.1 million compared to $26 million for the first quarter of 2024. A decrease in net product revenue was due to an increase in the gross to net provision primarily related to the higher dose product returns recorded in the first quarter of 2025, resulting in a $5 million increase in a product return reserve compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Related to this, the gross to net provisions for XPOVIO in the first quarter was 45% compared to 29.3% in the same period in 2024. We expect our gross to net provisions will return to historic levels starting in the second quarter. R&D expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were $34.6 million compared to $35.4 million for the first quarter of 2024. The decrease was the reduction in head count and contractors related to ongoing cost optimization initiatives, partially offset by increased clinical trial activity related to our pivotal Phase 3 study in myelofibrosis. SG&A expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were $27.4 million compared to $29.5 million for the first quarter of 2024. The decrease was due to a reduction in headcount and contractors in connection with cost optimization efforts.
We continue to be very diligent in allocating our resources and pipeline prioritization, while striving to deliver additional cost savings in 2025 and continuing to advance our Phase 3 clinical trials and driving our commercial performance. We exited first quarter 2025 with cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and investments of $70.3 million, compared to $109.1 million as of December 31, 2024. As a reminder, cash burn is typically highest in the first quarter of each year. Based on our current operating plans, our guidance for the full year of 2025 is as follows: Total revenue of $140 million to $155 million, consisting of U.S. XPOVIO net product revenue, and license, royalty and milestone revenue expected to be earned from our partners, primarily Menarini and Antengene.
U.S. XPOVIO net product revenue to be in the range of $115 million to $130 million. As a result of the atypical level of returns in the first quarter, we now expect total revenue and net product revenue will be towards the lower end of these ranges. R&D and SG&A expenses to be in the range of $240 million to $255 million. And finally, we expect our existing cash, cash equivalents and investments, the revenue we expect to generate from XPOVIO net product sales and other license revenue and ongoing disciplined expense management will fund our planned operations into early Q1 2026. This guidance does not include payment for the remaining 2025 convertible notes and our $25 million minimum liquidity covenant under our term loan. Considering the repayment of the 2025 convertible notes in the minimum liquidity covenant, we expect cash, cash equivalents and investments will fund operations into early Q4 2025.
In closing, we are exploring various opportunities to extend our cash runway and are focused on the advancement of our Phase 3 clinical trial, driving commercial performance, and continuing to be very diligent when allocating our resources. I will now turn the call back to Richard for some final thoughts.
Richard Paulson: Turning to Slide 38, as Lori mentioned, we are exploring various opportunities to extend our cash runway as we are focused on delivering the potentially transformational opportunity ahead of us in myelofibrosis, while also continuing to advance our Phase 3 trial in endometrial cancer and deliver solid commercial results. Myelofibrosis and endometrial cancer, depending on the outcome of the data, are both game-changing opportunities for patients, our organization and our shareholders alike. We are working hard to unlock our innovation and growth strategy and are very excited by our growing body of data and what it can mean for patients with myelofibrosis. Thank you again for joining us today. And I would now like to ask the operator to open the call up to the Q&A portion of today’s call. Operator?
Q&A Session
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Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Colleen Kusy from Baird. Please go ahead.
Colleen Kusy: Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking our questions. Congrats on the continued progress and the new data, thanks for all the updates. So, on the futility analysis, can you talk about what that was based on? And what the options were? Could the study have been upsized as the DSMB had suggested it?
Richard Paulson: Yeah, thanks, Colleen. I’ll let Reshma go into the details of that from the futility analysis. Reshma?
Reshma Rangwala: Yeah, thanks, Colleen, for the question. So there was a futility analysis that was conducted earlier this year. And it was specifically based upon efficacy and safety that was observed in the first 61 patients, all of whom were followed for 24 weeks. For the efficacy, the DSMB had the unblinded data for both SVR35 in that cohort as well as absolute TSS. Those efficacy analysis had prespecified thresholds. Essentially, the thresholds amounted to no worsening for the combination relative to ruxolitinib alone. For the safety, again, they were also provided the unblinded safety data from that cohort and there was no prespecified bars for that analysis. That was really based upon their qualitative assessment of the totality of that safety data. As you noted, they passed the futility and recommended that the study just continues as planned as we are now doing. Enrollment is now expected to complete in the June-July timeframe.
Colleen Kusy: That’s helpful. Thanks. And then, I believe in prior quarters, you talked about a 2-point delta in average TSS being in a stat sig range for MANIFEST-2. But I think on your slide, you talk about the powering and the primary endpoints about a 4-point delta on TSS. So, can you just talk about what you’re expecting to need to hit on TSS for it to be a positive study?
Reshma Rangwala: Sure. So, great question. So, these are just our assumptions. So, with 350 patients, we are assuming a delta of 4 across the two arms and a standard deviation of 12 for each of these two arms. Incorporating those assumptions, the overall power for heading on absolute TSS is going to be greater than 80%. So, these are just our assumptions. In reality, as you know, the data can differ. We still maintain that a clinically meaningful outcome is just improvement for the combination above and beyond what ruxolitinib alone demonstrates. But again, that 4-point delta and standard deviation of 12 or just, again, the stat assumptions that drive the overall power.
Colleen Kusy: Got it. That’s helpful. And if I could squeeze in one more quick one? The enrollment looks to be slightly behind schedule for the Phase 3 myelofibrosis SENTRY study. Can you speak to some of the enrollment dynamics you’re seeing that’s putting you kind of towards the end of the bottom half of the range? Thanks.
Richard Paulson: Yeah. I think, we can enroll — go ahead, Reshma. Sorry.
Reshma Rangwala: Okay. Yeah, sorry. We stepped over each other. But good question again, Colleen. Sort of like when we put together the enrollment curves, we were really looking at a lot of data, especially historical trials, TRANSFORM as well as MANIFEST. We were getting a lot of information from the sites and really understanding sort of that competitive intensity or lack thereof that is occurring in the field of myelofibrosis specifically in this patient population. I will admit sort of like what we’ve seen in the last sort of few months, especially in 2025. suggest that it’s a little slower than expected. Things are still very robust, both from screening as well as enrollment, but again, a little slower than what we had anticipated, which is what is driving that slight delay in the enrollment timeframe.
Colleen Kusy: Got it. That’s helpful. Thanks for taking our questions.
Richard Paulson: Thanks, Colleen.
Operator: Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Maury Raycroft from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hi. This is Amy on for Maury. Thank you for taking our questions. We have two questions for the myelofibrosis Phase 3 trials. The first one, can you talk about your assumptions to getting into the full enrollment in this June and July? Will you do a press release when you achieve the target enrollment? And also, can you talk more about the baseline characteristics of the patient today? Or will you provide more colors on the baseline when the trial is fully enrolled? I have a quick follow-up after this one.
Richard Paulson: Yeah. I can take the first part of that. Our expectations and where we are now is really aligned with what Reshma talked to. We’re 80% enrolled. We have visibility into a number of people in our screening and prescreening process. So, we expect to complete enrollment in the June-July timeframe as Reshma shared. And when we do complete our target enrollment, yes, we will share that in a press release. Maybe for the second part of the question, I’ll turn that over to Reshma for some of the baseline characteristics that we’re seeing in the trial.
Reshma Rangwala: Yeah, sure. So, for the baseline characteristics — and then again, this is just a quick snapshot, I mean, to your question, will we provide the baseline characteristics for the full population? Yeah, absolutely. And we anticipate being able to do so in the next few months after enrollment is completed. With that said, to just give a little bit of visibility, the patient population by and large is going to be similar to our Phase 1 trial. Again, these are going to be our JAKi-naïve myelofibrosis patients, all of the patients have to have a baseline platelet count above 100. With that said, they were a little less cytopenic than what we saw in our Phase 1. So, the baseline hemoglobins are slightly higher than what we saw in our Phase 1.
Also baseline platelet counts are slightly higher than what we saw in our Phase 1. Breakdown by DIPSS is very consistent with what you would expect for a JAKi-naïve myelofibrosis population. I think the one key difference is going to be baseline symptom scores. So, in our Phase 1 population, we didn’t have any requirement for that baseline TSS. In our Phase 3, we do. So, patients do need to be symptomatic. We actually have a threshold. So overall, you are going to see higher baseline TSS for this population, again, as compared to the Phase 1.
Unidentified Analyst: Thank you. That’s very helpful. The follow-up is, can you talk a little about the — if you see anything in the patient compliance in the daily measurement of the TSS score? And how does that compare to your expectations and other myelofibrosis Phase 3 trials? And what are — yeah, that’s it.
Reshma Rangwala: I can take that one as well. So, compliance is really good. So, this is something that we’ve been laser focused on from the very beginning of the trial. So, we use an ePRO vendor, an electronic PRO vendor who follows the data. Alerts goes out to the patients. We’re notified if a patient doesn’t happen to complete one of their daily TSSs, it just gives us visibility in terms of the data such that if the patient were to miss something, we’re able to go ahead and talk to the site and ensure that, that patient gets back on track. So, overall, that compliance, we’re really happy with that very high compliance on those daily TSS forms. In terms of how that’s comparing to other trials, I don’t know. I’m not aware of any data regarding the compliance from other Phase 3 trials, including MANIFEST, TRANSFORM. Again, I got to say I’m very happy with where we are right now with our Phase 3.
Unidentified Analyst: That’s very helpful. Thank you so much.
Richard Paulson: Thank you, Amy.
Operator: Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Ted Tenthoff from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
Ted Tenthoff: Great. Thank you very much. Two questions, if I may. Firstly, when it comes to multiple myeloma, what really is driving utilization now? And what are some of the potential marketing synergies between the existing sales force? And if we hopefully get positive myelofibrosis data, how would that sort of jump start your sales efforts in MF? Thanks.
Richard Paulson: Yeah, thanks, Ted. I’ll take the second part of that, and then I’ll turn it back to Sohanya to take the first part. When you look at our existing commercialization capabilities and the alignment or synergy with myelofibrosis, we have about 80% overlap. So, a significant number of patients are seen in the community, we have strong capabilities across our commercial team, across our access team, across our global medical and scientific affairs teams. I think there’s a really high level of synergy that would enable us to move forward rapidly, with really minimal additional investments. And I’ll turn to Sohanya to take the question on the first part about multiple myeloma.
Sohanya Cheng: Thanks, Ted, for the question. So, we were really pleased with the resilience of the team and ability to grow demand in an increasingly competitive marketplace year-over-year, so 5% growth in Q1. And as you look at sort of the underlying drivers of that growth, importantly, we were able to grow in the community setting as well as in the academic setting. If you kind of break it down into the two settings of care, in the community setting, we continue to be used as a flexible combination therapy, a convenient oral, about 50% to 60% of our patients are in that early aligned second to fourth line setting, primarily treated in the community setting following an anti-CD38 therapy, but also importantly, for patients that come to the community that either fail a T-cell engaging therapy or just are not ineligible or don’t have access to it.
Now, switching to the academic setting, we’re positioning XPOVIO with our increasing body of evidence in that pre- and post T-cell engaging therapy setting. And we’re seeing increasing use there, which really led to the growth in the academic setting in Q1 year-over-year. Again, it’s a highly competitive landscape, as you know, but we continue to have a unique positioning as a differentiated mechanism of action, both in the community and academic settings. And again, to reinforce to your second point, what Richard mentioned, obviously, a high level of synergy in the physicians we already call on, but our capability, our infrastructure that we have built in the past five years really sets us up well for a rapid launch in myelofibrosis, if approved.
Ted Tenthoff: Great. Thank you for all that extra color.
Richard Paulson: Thanks, Ted.
Operator: Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Peter Lawson from Barclays. Please go ahead.
Peter Lawson: Hey. Thanks so much. Thanks for taking the question. Just on the return product in 1Q, so that’s $5 million. What’s the normal run rate of return product and are there any further risks of revenue shortfall or return product in 2Q and 3Q that we should be thinking about?
Richard Paulson: Yeah, thanks, Peter. At a high level, no, and I’ll get Lori to go into the details, but I think as Reshma and Lori both talk to, this really is a $5 million atypical impact from high-dose returns. And Lori maybe you can just expand on that.
Lori Macomber: Yes. Hi, Peter. So, if you think about these returns, they were to support the BOSTON launch, which we talked about, which was really our sales in ’21 and ’22. So, if you think about it, that’s over $220 million in sales and this impact was less than 2%. So, if — and then when you look going forward, I think it’s important to know that these atypical returns, these high doses, this is the expiry window that opened for these returns. Going forward, as Sohanya mentioned, it translates more to the 40 milligram and 60 milligram doses that we’re seeing. So, we don’t expect this to carry on into future quarters. And so, we really do believe this is isolated to this quarter when this window opened. And relative to all of the sales, it still was below 2%. And then we expect going forward, we’ll continue to kind of get back to our more historic levels that we see for the doses more in the 40 and 60 milligrams.
Peter Lawson: Got you. Thank you. And Lori, you mentioned about extending the cash runway [indiscernible]. How are you thinking about [indiscernible] business development, equity raises and restructurings?
Lori Macomber: So, it’s a very important question. How are we planning on extending our cash runway? I mean, we understand the importance of being well capitalized. And as Richard mentioned and I both mentioned on the call, we are exploring various alternatives to extend that cash runway. We’ll continue to evaluate our cash runway and financial position. Basically, how best can we deliver these Phase 3 clinical trials and get to these top line data readouts. But beyond this, I cannot really provide specific details at this time.
Peter Lawson: Got you. Okay. Thank you so much.
Richard Paulson: Thank you, Peter.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Chang from Leerink Partners. Please go ahead.
Albert Agustinus: Hi. This is Albert Agustinus dialing in for Jonathan Chang. Thanks for taking my question. Will you be able to give us reasons for confidence that you can still reach your revenue guidance? Thank you.
Richard Paulson: Yeah. I think as you heard from Sohanya and you heard from Lori, we’re guiding towards the lower end of our revenue guidance, given the impact — this $5 million impact of our atypical high-dose returns. You heard with regards to our U.S. business, 5% demand growth year-over-year. We heard very strong growth from our global partners. So, yes, we believe we’re going to be seeing ourselves deliver in the lower end of our guidance from a global revenue perspective and from a U.S. revenue perspective.
Albert Agustinus: Thank you. That’s very helpful.
Richard Paulson: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Brian Abrahams from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hi, team. This is Kevin on for Brian. Thanks for taking our questions. Just had a follow-up on the futility analysis. Can you remind us if this was prespecified before the study expansion and co-primary endpoint change and if — or if it was something maybe that the FDA was asking about with the protocol amendment? And then just speaking of FDA, have you had any further interactions with the agency in the meantime? And just maybe how would you characterize those interactions? Thank you.
Reshma Rangwala: Yeah, thank you, Kevin. I can take that one. So yes, this was prespecified and this futility analysis was part of the trial from the very beginning. So, from the initial protocol, nothing that has happened either with the endpoints or even in the increase in the trial size from 300 to 350 prompted incorporation of that futility analysis. In terms of the FDA conversations, sort of like as we’ve mentioned in the past, the bulk of them are really around that endpoint change, specifically the change from TSS50 to absolute TSS. No additional conversations at this time. And we’re just, again, looking forward to completing enrollment and providing top line results at the end of this year, beginning of ’26.
Unidentified Analyst: Great. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I will now hand the call back to Richard Paulson for any closing remarks.
Richard Paulson: Thank you, operator. And once again, thank you, everyone, for joining us today. And as you heard through the call, we are very focused and very excited about the transformational opportunity we have ahead of us in myelofibrosis very much in the near term, as the team’s focus on completing enrollment through June-July, and reading up the top line data through the end of this year or early next year. The consistency we see and the strength of our data that Reshma shared again today in a difficult-to-treat more severe patient population with multiple lines of therapy has continued to build our confidence and strength in the potential for selinexor plus ruxolitinib to become the new standard of care, pending positive data in JAKi-naïve patients. So, once again, thank you for joining us.
Operator: Thank you. And this concludes today’s call. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.