We recently compiled a list of the 8 Undervalued Insurance Stocks To Invest In. In this article, we are going to take a look at where The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) stands against the other undervalued insurance stocks.
The State of the US Insurance Market: What Investors Need to Know
The insurance industry is currently facing significant challenges, particularly in regions prone to extreme weather events. Recent hurricanes, including Helene and Milton, have caused substantial damage in Florida, leading to billions in insurance losses.
Florida has faced significant challenges in its insurance market due to the impact of 4 major hurricanes in the past 4 years. On October 17, Reuters reported that homeowners contacted by Reuters in areas including both Florida coasts and the Keys are increasingly worried about rising premiums and the possibility of losing their insurance coverage altogether. Average homeowner premiums in Florida surged nearly 60% from 2019 to 2023. The state-backed insurer, Citizens Property Insurance Corp., has seen its policies increase from about 1.14 million at the end of 2022 to over 1.2 million as of June 2024, indicating a growing reliance on this insurer of last resort.
Analysts and experts predict that the recent back-to-back hurricanes, Helene and Milton, will further worsen the situation. Analysts warn that these storms will likely lead to even higher insurance costs and stricter coverage exclusions. Marc Ragin, an associate professor of risk management and insurance at the Terry College of Business at the University of Georgia, expressed concerns that insurers may become hesitant to continue offering policies in Florida due to the increasing frequency of severe weather events. As a result, many homeowners are left feeling anxious about their insurance options and financial security.
Ken Gregg, CEO of Orion180, told Reuters that the hope for a softer insurance market has vanished following Helene and Milton. Brian Schneider, senior director of insurance at Fitch Ratings, noted that price increases from reinsurers are forcing primary insurance companies to raise their rates as well. Despite these challenges, some private insurers remain committed to the Florida market, but homeowners continue to feel the pressure as they navigate an uncertain insurance landscape.
Resilience of the Insurance Market
Overall, the US insurance industry is proving resilient in the face of adversity. According to Mordor Intelligence, the US life and non-life insurance market’s size in terms of net written premiums was valued at $2.02 trillion in 2024. Looking forward, the market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.95% during 2024-2029 to reach $2.83 trillion by the end of the forecast period.
The insurance market is experiencing significant growth driven by several key trends that enhance its resilience despite facing catastrophic events. One of the primary factors is the rapid digital transformation within the industry, which has improved operational efficiency and customer engagement. Insurers are increasingly adopting technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) and big data analytics to streamline processes, personalize offerings, and enhance risk assessment.
Here’s a short excerpt from our article “7 Hot Insurance Stocks To Buy Right Now” that discusses this in more detail:
“Advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) continue to revolutionize how insurers assess risk and manage claims. AI technologies enable better data analysis and faster decision-making processes, which can enhance customer service and operational efficiency.
On October 22, CNBC reported that Near Space Labs, a Brooklyn, New York-based startup, has developed innovative technology to enhance the insurance claims process following natural disasters like hurricanes Helene and Milton. Their invention, called “Swifts,” consists of AI-enabled cameras mounted on weather balloons that fly at altitudes higher than airplanes. This allows them to capture high-resolution images over vast areas quickly, significantly speeding up damage assessments from weeks to just days. CEO Rema Matevosyan highlighted that their technology can gather data equivalent to what 800,000 drones would capture in one flight. The company has already conducted over 1,000 missions and is scaling operations to respond immediately to climate-related disasters, aiming to provide insurance companies with timely information for risk analysis and claims processing.”
Overall, these trends indicate that the insurance market is poised for growth and capable of withstanding challenges, making it an attractive sector for investors.
Our Methodology
To compile our list of the 8 undervalued insurance stocks to invest in, we used the Finviz and Yahoo stock screeners to find the largest insurance companies. We also reviewed our own rankings and consulted various online resources.
From an initial pool of over 30 insurance stocks, we focused on those trading at under 15 times their forward earnings as of October 25. We further narrowed down our selection by looking for insurance stocks expected to show positive earnings growth this year.
Next, we focused on the top 8 stocks most favored by institutional investors and ranked the best insurance stocks based on hedge fund holdings. Data for the hedge fund sentiment surrounding each stock was taken from Insider Monkey’s database of 912 elite hedge funds. The 8 undervalued insurance stocks to invest in are ranked in ascending order based on the number of hedge funds holding stakes in them as of Q2 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
An insurance agent at their desk consulting a customer about property & casualty insurance.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL)
Forward P/E: 10.85
Earnings Growth: 1,396.80%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 61
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is an American insurance company that ranks among the best insurance stocks to buy. It offers a wide range of products, including auto, home, renters, business, and life insurance. The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is known for its comprehensive protection plans as it provides a wide variety of coverage options for cars, homes, electronic devices, and even identity theft.
A key milestone for The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) was the acquisition of National General in January 2021 for $4 billion. This strategic move significantly expanded the company’s independent agent channel and added various businesses to its portfolio, including personal auto insurance and group health services. Since the acquisition, The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) has seen significant growth in customers through independent agents and added nearly 1.7 million policies, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% in policies over the past four years. This contributed to over $5.1 billion in premiums written in the first half of 2024.
In Q2 2024, The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) reported revenues of $15.7 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year, driven by higher insurance premiums and increased investment income. The net income applicable to common shareholders reached $301 million, or an adjusted net income of $1.61 per diluted share.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) reported a 13.1% increase in written premiums compared to Q2 2023. This growth was driven by a 10% rise for the Allstate brand and a remarkable 29.1% increase for National General.
As the company continues to adapt and expand its operations, it presents a strong investment opportunity for those seeking stability and growth in the insurance sector.
Analysts are also bullish on The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL). The 12-month median price target of $215.00 for the stock set by analysts indicates a potential upside of 14% from the current stock price.
ALL ranks second on our list of undervalued insurance stocks to invest in. As of the second quarter of 2024, the stock is held by 61 hedge funds. Ariel Investments stated the following regarding The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) in its “Ariel Global Fund” second-quarter 2024 investor letter:
“We added property and casualty insurer, The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL). A challenging macro-environment, inflation and lower reserve development led to significant underwriting losses across key markets, presenting us with an attractive entry point. Looking ahead, we expect the strong pricing environment, coupled with lower inflationary pressure and future premium growth to yield upside for shares. Additionally, management is committed to improving its adjusted expense ratio and recently made upgrades to its claims handling processes to minimize loss development and lower claim severities.”
Overall, ALL ranks 2nd on our list of the undervalued insurance stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the potential of ALL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ALL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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