Is Ford a good stock to buy now? We came across a bullish thesis on Ford Motor Company on R. Dennis’s Substack by OppCost. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on F. Ford Motor Company’s share was trading at $12.11 as of March 11th. F’s trailing and forward P/E were 11.84 and 8.33, respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
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Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States and internationally. F has been navigating a transitional period, balancing one-time GAAP charges tied to its EV strategy with a fundamentally strong operational outlook. While headlines highlighted short-term losses, investors are focused on the company’s guidance of $8 billion to $10 billion in adjusted EBIT for 2026, signaling substantial underlying profitability.
A notable institutional trade on February 12, 2026, executed a zero-cost synthetic long by buying 15,000 $14.50 calls for $0.20 and selling 15,000 $13.50 puts for $0.30, effectively financing a high-conviction upside bet while committing to purchase the stock at $13.50, a level that has served as key support.
Ford’s performance is underpinned by Ford Pro, the commercial segment that generated $66 billion in revenue in 2025 with double-digit EBIT margins and is building a recurring-revenue ecosystem through paid software subscriptions, which grew 30% last year. The hybrid pivot, with top-selling models like the F-150 and Maverick, has also strengthened near-term cash flow while the Universal EV Platform is being readied for 2027.
The $13.50 put strike acts as an engineered floor, supported by a $0.15 dividend and a forward P/E of 7x–8x 2026 earnings, offering limited downside relative to free cash flow generation. This positioning allows investors to benefit from potential upside toward the 52-week highs of $14.50 while being willing to acquire a high-quality American brand at a discount if the stock falls. Overall, the trade reflects a strategic, low-risk approach to capitalizing on Ford’s resilient cash flows, growing recurring revenue, and improving EV and hybrid positioning, presenting a compelling risk/reward opportunity.
Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) by Oliver | MMMT Wealth in April 2025, which highlighted the company’s long-term ambitions in autonomy, AI, robotics, energy, and data despite near-term delivery and margin pressures. TSLA’s stock price has appreciated by approximately 74.81% since our coverage. OppCost shares a contrarian view but focuses on Ford ($F)’s cash-generative Ford Pro segment, hybrid pivot, and engineered support levels, creating a low-risk, high-conviction upside scenario.
Ford Motor Company is not on our list of the 40 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 52 hedge fund portfolios held F at the end of the fourth quarter which was 44 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of F as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than F and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None.
