Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM): A Bull Case Theory 

We came across a bullish thesis on Iridium Communications Inc. on Arya’s Substack by Arya. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on IRDM. Iridium Communications Inc.’s share was trading at $20.90 as of January 29th. IRDM’s trailing and forward P/E were 18.75 and 16.56 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

Iridium Communications Inc. provides mobile voice and data communications services and products to businesses, the United States and international governments, non-governmental organizations, and consumers worldwide. Every missile defense architecture ultimately runs into the same structural constraint: maintaining reliable communications in denied, degraded, or destroyed environments, and this is where Iridium’s strategic importance becomes clear despite its relatively modest scale.

Iridium operates a fully deployed low Earth orbit satellite constellation that delivers global, low-latency voice and data connectivity independent of terrestrial infrastructure, allowing military and government users to remain connected even when fiber networks are cut, ground facilities are destroyed, or traditional satellite systems are jammed or degraded. Unlike legacy geostationary systems, Iridium’s architecture is inherently resilient, with cross-linked satellites and global coverage that reduce single points of failure and enable persistent communications under stress.

From a defense perspective, Iridium is less a frontline capability and more a form of operational insurance, preserving command continuity, situational awareness, and coordination when conditions deteriorate. In advanced missile defense concepts such as a Golden Dome-style architecture, where uninterrupted data flow between space-based sensors, ground-based radars, command centers, and interceptors is essential, communications resilience becomes a structural requirement rather than a tactical enhancement.

As defense planning evolves from theoretical deterrence toward sustained, active defense against real-world threats, the demand for hardened, redundant communications layers rises accordingly. Iridium’s long track record of performance in contested electromagnetic environments, combined with its independence from vulnerable terrestrial infrastructure, positions it as a natural beneficiary of this shift.

While Iridium may lack the visibility of prime defense contractors or weapons platforms, its role as an enabling layer gives it disproportionate strategic relevance as modern defense systems grow more network-centric and data-dependent. As governments prioritize resilience, connectivity, and real-time decision-making across defense architectures, Iridium stands to see sustained demand growth, making it an increasingly attractive candidate for long-term investors seeking exposure to structurally rising defense technology spending.

Previously we covered a bullish thesis on Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) by Stock Picker’s Corner in October 2024, which highlighted its strong market position, dependable satellite network, and growth prospects in the satellite communications sector. The stock has depreciated approximately 29.48% since our coverage. The thesis still stands as structural demand for global connectivity persists. Arya shares a similar view but emphasizes Iridium’s critical role in resilient, low-latency military communications.

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Disclosure: None.