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IBM’s Quantum Bet Just Got Bigger—What the HRL Deal Means for Investors

The quantum computing field is continuing to advance. This can be seen from companies diversifying their strategies and governments getting more involved in funding the efforts.

It’s against this backdrop that International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has agreed to acquire HRL Laboratories from Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) and General Motors Co. (NYSE:GM). HRL Laboratories is a research lab with deep expertise in advanced materials and quantum technologies, and buying it will give IBM a second platform to work with as it races to build quantum computers.

IBM’s bid to diversify its quantum strategy comes as it faces heating competition from Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) and other technology leaders in the quantum computing field.

Governments and Big Tech Are Spending Billions on Quantum Computing

Quantum computers are expected to reshape industries across the board, bringing extraordinary capability to solve problems that would take regular computers thousands of years to work through. In light of this, governments and tech companies are seeking to secure leadership in the quantum computing field for both commercial and strategic priorities.

IBM has committed to investing more than $10 billion in quantum computing efforts over the next five years.

Meanwhile, the US government has announced more than $2 billion to quantum computing companies, including IBM, to boost the industry. According to PitchBook, venture capital funding for quantum technology hit a record $3.9 billion in 2025, and governments around the world have committed more than $60 billion to support quantum computing efforts.

Why IBM Is Expanding Beyond Superconducting Qubits

International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) has long focused on superconducting qubits in its quantum roadmap. The acquisition of HRL Laboratories adds expertise in electron spin qubits, which occupy much less space than superconducting circuits.

According to IBM, its quantum systems could benefit from combining superconducting qubits and electron spin qubit platforms. IBM’s Blue Jay system, which is planned for release in 2033, uses superconducting qubit chips. After that, the company plans to broaden its roadmap by including electron spin circuits in its efforts.

IBM is not alone in diversifying its quantum strategy. Alphabet has also expanded beyond its original quantum approach, as it previously added a platform based on neutral atoms. Pursuing multiple strategies helps developers like IBM hedge against uncertainties as the quantum field continues to evolve.

How IBM’s Valuation Compares With Alphabet

IBM and Alphabet differ in both their quantum strategies and valuation. IBM trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 17.5x and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.1x. Alphabet, meanwhile, trades at 26.8x forward earnings and 10.3x sales.

Alphabet’s valuation premium can be traced to the company’s leadership in high-growth industries like digital advertising, cloud computing, and AI. IBM, on the other hand, remains more closely tied to the more established enterprise software, consulting, and infrastructure markets.

Should quantum computing become a significant business, IBM’s lower valuation could provide greater room for multiple expansion.

What Could Drive IBM’s Quantum Opportunity

Adding a second quantum platform through the HRL Laboratories acquisition would strengthen IBM’s efforts in a field that promises long-term growth opportunities. With this deal, IBM gets to broaden its capabilities and reduce reliance on a single platform.

What Could Limit IBM’s Quantum Upside

Commercial deployment of quantum technology is still several years away, and that leaves significant execution risk. Moreover, IBM must integrate HRL successfully and defend against surging competition as mistakes can quickly erode the return on investments.

How Hedge Funds and Short Sellers View IBM

The number of hedge funds with positions in International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) stock declined slightly to 59 at the end of Q1 2026, from 63 in the previous quarter. Alphabet’s hedge fund ownership also softened modestly in the same period, declining to 265 from 288.

Cliff Asness’ AQR Capital Management emerged as the largest hedge fund holder in the stock, reporting 1,888,342 shares valued at $455.6 million after aggressively boosting its position by 121% in Q1 2026. Meanwhile, Adage Capital Management, led by Phill Gross and Robert Atchinson, disclosed ownership of 937,390 shares worth $227.2 million, reflecting a more modest 7% increase in its stake.

Regarding bearish bets, IBM’s short interest stood at 3.66% at the end of June, compared to Alphabet’s 0.7%. Both stocks remain popular with elite investors.

Investor Takeaway

By adding spin-qubit expertise to its quantum strategy, IBM is spreading its risks in a promising but uncertain industry.

The opportunity is substantial, and so are the challenges. A breakthrough would unlock massive profit for IBM in both hardware and software markets. But to get there, IBM must prove its performance while competing with well-funded rivals domestically and globally.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of IBM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than IBM and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Can American Airlines (AAL) Close the Profitability Gap With Delta and United? and Why TotalEnergies (TTE) Could Be a Strong Energy Stock to Buy. 

Disclosure: None. Follow Insider Monkey on Google News.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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