From Fired Researcher to $13.7 Billion King: How Leopold Aschenbrenner Broke the Hedge Fund World

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28. Infosys Limited (NYSE:INFY)

Situational Awareness LP’s Stake: $7 Million 

Infosys Limited (NYSE:INFY) first appeared in the 13F portfolio of Situational Awareness LP in the fourth quarter of 2025. Back then, this stake comprised PUT bets comprising 500,000 shares. Filings for the first quarter of 2026 show that the fund has made no changes to this stake. The firm provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. Leopold Aschenbrenner has generally had a bearish outlook on software companies in recent months, preferring instead to invest in energy and AI hardware companies often overlooked by many investors due to the boring nature of their business.

Infosys Limited (NYSE:INFY) management publicly champions the AI pipeline, but the conference call transcripts pulled back the curtain on a structural problem: AI is a double-edged sword for legacy IT service providers. On the Q4 2026 earnings call, CEO Salil Parekh explicitly cited AI productivity impacts alongside heavy competitive intensity as reasons for the soft outlook. Clients are leveraging GenAI tools to demand efficiency cutbacks on standard application maintenance and software testing contracts. Because Infosys builds revenue on billable engineering hours, when an AI agent reduces the required workforce on a project by 30%, the revenue pool shrinks. The company is forced to run faster just to stay in place, cannibalizing legacy revenue lines to secure lower-priced AI deployment deals.

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