Eldorado Gold Corporation (NYSE:EGO) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Eldorado Gold Corporation (NYSE:EGO) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript April 28, 2023

Eldorado Gold Corporation beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.11, expectations were $0.04.

Operator: Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Eldorado Gold First Quarter 2023 Financial and Operational Results Conference Call. I would now like to turn the conference over to Lynette Gould, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Ms. Gould.

Lynette Gould: Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. I’d like to welcome you to our first quarter 2023 results conference call. Before we begin, I’d like to remind you that we will be making forward-looking statements and referring to non-IFRS measures during the call, please refer to the cautionary statements included in the presentation and the disclosure on non-IFRS measures in our management’s discussion and analysis as well as the risk factors set out in our annual information form. Joining me on the call today, we have George Burns, President and Chief Executive Officer; Phil Yee, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Joe Dick, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Other members of the senior leadership team will also be available for the Q&A session.

Our release yesterday details our first quarter 2023 financial and operating results. This should be read in conjunction with our first quarter financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis, both of which are available on our website. They have also been filed on SEDAR and EDGAR. All dollar figures discussed today are U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated. We will be speaking to the slides that accompany this webcast. You can download a copy of these slides from our website. After the prepared remarks, we will open the call for Q&A. At this time, we will invite analysts to queue for questions. I will now turn the call over to George.

George Burns: Thanks, Lynette, and good morning, everyone. Here’s the outline for today’s call. I’ll provide a brief overview of Q1 results and highlights before passing it to Phil to go through the financials and Joe to review our operational performance. Then we will open the call to questions from our analysts. On April 5, we were pleased to close the Skouries project financing of €680 million with an initial drawdown of €32 million completed mid-month subsequent to quarter end. This financing funds 80% of the remaining capital required to complete this world-class asset. The remaining 20% of the project funding will be fully covered by Eldorado. The financing package includes well-aligned strategic partners, including two Greek banks, National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank in addition to funding through recovery and resilience facility provided by the European Union.

Additionally, the estimated blended interest rate is approximately 5% to 6% on current six-month EURIBOR, representing competitive terms given the current interest rate environment. We have spent approximately $34 million since January 2022 and early work activities that will count as a credit towards a 20% equity commitment. We, therefore, expect the project financing package to fund a significant portion of construction of Skouries project in Q2 and Q3 of 2023. This is a major milestone for the company and transitions us to full execution mode on what will be a transformational asset for our global portfolio once in commercial production, which is expected by the end of 2025. Alongside Eldorado’s existing operating portfolio, Skouries is expected to generate strong cash flow, further strengthening our financial position and will help establish an exciting future for growth and value creation for our stakeholders, including contributing to the global supply chain for critical minerals.

Having completed the construction of Lamaque in just over two years from the time we acquired the asset, a successful track record of executing on several organic growth projects, including the Kisladag HPGR, the Triangle-Sigma decline project at Lamaque, we are confident that we have the expertise and team, which includes our EPCM contractor floor in place to deliver Skouries on time and within budget. In addition, 50% of the construction is completed. And in Q2 2022, we executed a purchase order for the filter press, which is a long lead item with delivery scheduled in Q1 2025. Starting with production. Consolidated production across the global portfolio came in line with our expectations for the quarter, a significant improvement over the first quarter of 2022.

As mentioned on our last conference call in February, we expect second half production to be higher than first half production and maintain our 2023 production guidance range of 475,000 to 515,000 ounces. Additionally, we are maintaining our capital expenditure guidance of $394 million to $437 million, including $240 million to $260 million towards the advancement of Skouries project for 2023. Joe will speak to the operations in more detail later on the call. Shifting to cost. First quarter cash operating cost per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs are in line with our guidance ranges, driven by steady production across the portfolio. Phil will speak to our cost and financial position in more detail later on the call. At Skouries, activity in Q1 focused on early construction works, engineering and procurement.

Towards the end of the quarter, drilling and blasting commenced on the first phase of underground development. Upcoming milestones in 2023 include the mobilization of major construction contracts for earthworks and concrete and finalizing the awards of the remaining major procurement and contract packages. As previously disclosed, project spending at Skouries is expected to be $240 million to $260 million in 2023. The spending is focused on finalizing detailed engineering, which is 43% complete and forecasted to be 70% to 75% complete for full construction mobilization in the second half of 2023. Procurement of fixed plant and tagged items is currently 42% complete and expected to be approximately 90% complete by year-end. Additionally, yesterday, we received approval of the Ministry of Energy and Environment for the modified EIA for the Cassandra mines.

This modification will allow for the expansion of the Olympias mine and processing facility to 650,000 tonnes per annum and improvements to the Stratoni port. Finally, I would also like to congratulate the team in Greece for our Hellas Gold subsidiary once again named one of the most sustainable companies in Greece for 2023. This is confirmation to our commitment to responsible practices and sustainable development. I’ll stop there and turn the call over to Phil to review our financial results.

Phil Yee: Thank you, George. Good morning, everyone. Starting with Slide 6, which provides a summary of our first quarter results. Eldorado reported net earnings attributable to shareholders of $21.3 million or $0.12 per share in the first quarter. After adjusting for onetime nonrecurring items, including a current tax expense related to the tax law change to fund earthquake relief efforts in Turkey, a deferred tax expense related to foreign exchange translation and a noncash gain on the revaluation of the derivative related to redemption options on our debt. Adjusted net earnings were $20.5 million or $0.11 per share in the first quarter. Free cash flow in the quarter was negative $34.4 million, primarily due to continued capital spend and partly as a result of changes in noncash working capital.

Cash flow generated by operating activities before changes in working capital totaled $94.5 million. First quarter cash operating costs averaged $766 per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs averaged $1,184 per ounce sold. In Q1, direct operating costs were below plan, primarily due to lower-than-expected fuel and electricity prices. Steady production combined with lower direct operating costs resulted in Q1 2023 cash operating cost per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs per ounce sold being near the lower end of the annual guidance ranges for 2023. Capital expenditures on a cash basis were $83.4 million in the first quarter, which included continued investment in growth projects at Kisladag and at Skouries, where we commenced mobilization procurement and advancement of projects.

In the first quarter, we recorded a deferred income tax recovery of $7.8 million, which included a $3.5 million recovery related to net movements against the U.S. dollar of local currencies, primarily the lira and the euro. Current tax expense was higher in the quarter compared to Q1 2022, primarily related to operations in Turkey A. The current tax expense included $5.5 million withholding tax on earnings repatriated from Turkey A in the quarter as well as a $4.3 million onetime expense due to a tax law change introduced in March 2023, to reverse a portion of tax credits and deductions previously granted in 2022. The tax law change was enacted to help fund Turkey A’s earthquake relief efforts, and the amount will be paid in equal installments in April and August of 2023.

Turning to Slide 7. At quarter end, we had unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and term deposits of $262 million. The decrease of $52.5 million from last quarter was primarily a result of temporary working capital movements, which included an increase in receivables, which were largely received in early April and buildups of concentrate inventory at Olympias. In addition, continued investment in growth capital impacted the cash position with production expected to sequentially improve quarter-over-quarter, we expect to see our cash balance further improving as the year progresses. Following the closing of the Skouries project financing, the availability under the $250 million revolving credit facility was reduced by $209 million. This is equivalent to €190 million as Eldorado’s investment undertaking for the Skouries project is fully backstopped by a letter of credit from the company’s revolving credit facility.

The letter of credit will be reduced euro-for-euro as the company invests further in the project. We continue to focus on maintaining a solid financial position, which provides flexibility to unlock value across our business. With that, I will now turn it over to Joe to go through the operational highlights.

Joe Dick: Thanks, Phil, and good morning, everyone. I’d like to start by congratulating our team in Turkey A who recently received the 2023 Euro Mines Silver Safety Award, which recognizes innovation and best practices for mitigating safety risks in the industry. Well done to the team for this risk — recognition. We would also like to recognize our mine rescue teams from Efemçukuru and Kisladag, who attended the earthquake zone in Eastern Turkey for over 10 days and were instrumental in the rescuing of three lives. On behalf of the team, I want to express my thanks to them for their dedication to the people of their country. In the first quarter, our lost time injury frequency rate decreased to 0.87 per million hours worked, an improvement from Q1 2022.

We continue to take proactive steps to improve work price safety and ensure a safe working environment for our employees and contractors. Now moving to our operating results. We produced 112,533 ounces of gold in the first quarter with a cash operating cost of $766 per ounce sold, in line with our expectations. For 2023, we are maintaining our gold production guidance of between 475,000 and 515,000 ounces with production weighted to the second half of the year. Slide 9 looks at our operations in more detail. Starting in Turkey A at Kisladag, first quarter production was 37,160 ounces. And cash operating costs were $708 per ounce sold, which represents a 25% increase in production and an almost 18% reduction in cash costs over Q1 2022. During the first quarter, we reached mechanical completion of the final agglomeration circuit, which treats a split of the HPGR product to improve quality, consistency and permeability of the ore product stacked on the leach pad.

Early in the second quarter, we successfully completed a 6-day shutdown to tie in the new agglomeration circuit, perform routine annual maintenance and complete the first change of the HPGR walls. Commissioning of the agglomeration circuit is now underway and progressing well. Q1 work also focused on the North heap leach pad, which is expected to be operational with stacking to commence early in the third quarter. For 2023, Kisladag’s production guidance is 160,000 to 170,000 ounces of gold. Production is expected to improve over the course of the second quarter as we realize full effectiveness from the upgraded materials handling and agglomeration equipment. Our optimization efforts will continue to drive increased stacking rates through the second half of the year.

At Efemçukuru, first quarter gold production was 9,928 ounces and cash operating costs of $869 per ounce sold. Gold production throughput and average gold grade at Efemçukuru were in line with plan for the quarter. For 2023, Efemçukuru’s production guidance is forecast to be 80,000 to 90,000 ounces of gold. Production in the second quarter is expected to be consistent with the first quarter with the second half slightly higher as grades improve. Now moving to Lamaque. Following a strong finish to 2022, first quarter gold production was 37,884 ounces at cash operating costs of $721 per ounce sold. Q1 performance was in line with our expectations as we mined lower grades this quarter due to stope access and mine sequencing. Production in the quarter was also impacted by a planned 4.5-day routine shut down for maintenance.

At the end of March, we released an updated exploration results on our Ormaque deposit. We have seen numerous high-grade intercepts to the east hub and below the current resource area, some representing extensions to known mineralized zones and some related to newly identified mineralized zones. Our new results continue to demonstrate the potential to increase resources. First quarter results from our ongoing resource conversion drilling will be incorporated in a resource update later this year, and we expect a maiden reserve on Lamaque in 2024. In 2023, Lamaque’s production guidance is 170,000 to 180,000 ounces of gold. For the second quarter, processing rates will increase slightly coupled with consistent grade. Production for the second half of the year is expected to be stronger than the first half with stable throughput in the tonne range.

Additionally, we are excited for the delivery of the first electric haul truck in Q2 and a second truck in the fourth quarter, which are expected to enhance our haulage capabilities along with reducing our diesel consumption per tonne hauled and lowering our greenhouse gas emissions. Finally, moving to Greece. At Olympias, first quarter gold production was 17,561 ounces and cash operating costs were $898 per ounce sold, which represents an approximate 95% increase in production and 40% reduction in cash costs over Q1 2022. Our cash cost benefited from tangible productivity improvements from the mining operation, along with the low plan electrical costs due to warmer — due to a warmer-than-expected winter in Europe. We look to continue to implement operational initiatives to drive productivity propelled by the momentum from the first quarter.

Several key projects are underway, including the implementation of a bulk emulsion blasting system, which improves explosive distribution in the drilled holes, yielding greater advance per blasted round for both development and production. We also reached mechanical completion of the underground ventilation system upgrade designed to provide safe access to lower areas of the mine, increasing the number of development headings we can effectively work. Both projects support our 2023 guidance and continued transformation objectives. This year, Olympias’ production guidance is 60,000 to 75,000 ounces of gold. Full production is expected to be relatively consistent quarter-over-quarter. I’ll stop there and turn it back to George for closing remarks.

George Burns: Thanks, team. Looking forward, 2023 is a milestone year for us as we transition to execution mode at Skouries that will deliver significant production growth over the next 5 years. We also remain laser-focused on our current operations to drive through operational efficiencies with a focus on generating free cash flow to maximize the value for all stakeholders. That concludes our prepared remarks. I’d like to take a couple of minutes to share with you my excitement about where we’re at and how we’re positioned for a bright future. And I’ll start with Kisladag. At Kisladag, we successfully completed the HPGR investment. Last year saw the benefits of agglomerating the ore with cement. And we kicked off Q2 by commissioning — beginning commissioning on the drum agglomeration circuit.

Already, we can tell the quality of the product agglomerating has improved significantly. And so as we continue to work through commissioning, our focus is on additional opportunities for growth. Crushing the ore finer, agglomerating the ore effectively and debottlenecking the plan for potential higher throughput are all opportunities to increase value at Kisladag. Kisladag’s got a long mine life and a lot of value to be acquired from this asset. Moving over to Efemçukuru, it’s been our steady performer throughout its life. We can count on the production and cost performance consistently from that operation. Our focus here is on infill drilling to create additional reserves to extend mine life. That work is progressing well, and I’m confident we’ll have some good news to share in that regard.

Moving over to Lamaque, our newest asset. It’s been another fantastic steady producer, 4 years of production and cost that we’re at the top end of our guidance from a production perspective. And here, again, we have a bright future. Our focus this year is on infill drilling Lamaque deposit, that drilling is going well. Next year’s focus will be a bulk sample and completion of a maiden reserve that will extend mine life and increase value. And then spinning over to Greece, we had a very good quarter at our Olympias operation. A lot of hard work over the last year to position us for that good quarter. And here, our focus is to sustain that improvement. When you look at the catalyst that Joe mentioned, we’ve got emulsion blasting as we speak. We’ve got ventilation, it’s going to increase significantly.

And that really is what’s required to support continued growth in our production profile. Olympias will be a significant asset for Eldorado, and our focus here is to sustain these improvements and that set us up for the expansion that’s planned for 2026. And then Skouries. We’ve been working very hard over the last couple of years to put strategic measures in place to be able to complete this fantastic investment. We’ve got great partners alongside us now that are providing the bulk of the financing. We’ve got a great team up at site that’s focused on delivering a ramp-up in growth from about 250 people on the ground today, peaking at about 900 later this year. Skouries is going to transform Eldorado in terms of our ability to generate free cash flow.

We’ll be producing a significant amount of copper that will support the planet in terms of energy transformation. And so we’re well positioned to out deliver our peers in terms of value, and I’m extremely excited about the bright future we have in front of us. With that, I’ll open it up the call to questions from our analysts.

Q&A Session

Operator: The first question comes from Cosmos Chiu from CIBC. Please go ahead.

Cosmos Chiu: Thank you, George. Hello Joe. And welcome Lynette. Good to hear from you. Maybe my first question is on Olympias. I guess, overall cost for the company was lower than expected in Q1. A key driver was clearly Olympias, 1,355 all-in sustaining costs in Q1 last quarter, almost $2,000 an ounce. My question is, the $1,355, is that a sustainable level? Or could it go even lower? Because George, as you mentioned, you’ve gone through all these different transportation objectives, and it sounds like bulk emulsion’s coming underground ventilation. A whole bunch of other projects are coming as well. So what should we be expecting in terms of Olympias’ costs on a go-forward basis?

George Burns: Yes. It was a really good Q1 at Olympias. And I’d say it’s consistent with the guidance that we’ve put out for the year. There’ll obviously be volatility across our portfolio as we unfold quarters. But I would say it was a turning point. We’re expecting to sustain good operating results consistent with our guidance at Olympias. So our confidence has risen. We’ve been marketing and talking about our belief in transforming Olympias to generate free cash flow. And I’d say we’re delivering on that journey now.

Cosmos Chiu: And George, as a follow-up, so does this help you with the decision to go ahead with the expansion, I guess? While I was reading the MD&A yesterday, I guess I was trying to piece everything together, you’ve now received the amended EIA for the expansion to, as you said, 650,000 tonnes per annum. To be honest, I wasn’t aware that the flat zone was that important. So maybe could you piece it all together for me? Is this — has a decision been made in terms of the expansion? Does it help in terms of the transformational improvements that you’ve made so far? And again, reminding us of the importance too.

George Burns: Yes. I mean I’d just start with the EIA. In every jurisdiction, getting the environmental approvals to be able to start up, build or expand the mine are critical. So a great achievement to have that finalized. It just removes that — any doubt around permitting. And then in terms of our commitment to that expansion, it really is the first step in giving us the confidence to deploy additional capital for the expansion. And I’d say we’ll be bringing that decision through management and into our Board late next year, depending on continued improvement at the operations. So as I said, we believe we can sustain these sort of numbers, deliver our guidance. And as we do, that will give us the confidence to commit the additional capital to expand the 650,000. So we’re feeling really good about it right now, Cosmos.

Cosmos Chiu: That’s great. Maybe, George, switching gears a little bit, Kisladag. Another one that outperformed in Q1 against, at least my expectations and my estimates. If I look at it compared to last quarter, production actually was down, but costs were also down quarter-over-quarter. So could you maybe talk a bit more about Kisladag? These levels in terms of cost, the sustainability for the remainder of 2023?

George Burns: Yes. Maybe I’ll talk to the cost and let Phil follow up on — I’ll talk to the production and Phil can follow up on costs. So if you look at last year, we have pretty consistent improvements in throughput through the crushing facility each quarter throughout the year. And really, that was learning how to agglomerate the ore on the conveyors. It was supported by deployment of additional large grasshopper conveyors that kind of debottlenecked the conveyor system, particularly with cement agglomerated ore. So first quarter, we were in good shape with the conveyor system. And we had all the learnings last year on belt agglomeration. So we had a solid quarter. What’s exciting about Q2 is we’ve got the drum agglomerator running.

And the early days, the quality of that product coming out of the end of the drum is significantly improved over just using the conveyor belts. Additionally, we’ll be deploying some additional larger grasshopper conveyors. All that was part of the North leach pad expansion. So that’s going to aid us. And as I say, as we continue to commission, we’ll be looking for opportunities to debottleneck the plant and hopefully be able to prove we can exceed throughput expectations in the current design. On the cost side, just from a general perspective, yes, a good quarter. I’d say the one significant item at Kisladag that’s different from the rest of our operations, open pit. We move a lot of waste to provide that 15-year mine life. So diesel costs are significant.

And we saw a pretty significant drop in diesel costs relative to last year. And that’s good for Q1, but it’s probably good for the foreseeable future if we can see oil prices at or even below where they are today.

Phil Yee: Hi Cosmos, it’s Phil. Just to give you some background on the cost. So definitely Kisladag did see a reduction in both diesel and electricity costs in Q1. Our average price in Q1 for — diesel, for example, is about $0.81 per liter. It was a drop of over 13% from the previous quarter. And electricity costs for Kisladag as well dropped about 16% from the previous quarter. So that all contributed to the lower costs.

Cosmos Chiu: Great. And then maybe one follow-up here. George, as you mentioned, the North heap leach pad should be operational for stocking by mid-2023. Could you remind me in terms of the logistics here? I was reading the MD&A last night, I was us getting kind of late. But it almost sounded like you were moving out of stacking from the main sort of heap leach pad to North heap leach pad, is that correct? And how do all those conveyors work? Are we moving these conveyors to the north leach pad and all this new infrastructure that you’ve put in? Could you maybe summarize it for me once again?

George Burns: Yes. So if you look at the history so far at Kisladag, it’s all been in the South leach pad. And we basically built a mountain basically out of crush material, and we’re near the end of its life. So we’ve built basically a new leach pad a little bit further away from the plant. And that — the pad and ponds are all ready to go. This year, we’ll be completing the ADR plant. That’s the plant where we moved the gold out of solution on the carbon and then out of carbon and indoor. So we’re on track to completing that project on budget and on our schedule. And so really, on the conveyance system, all we’re doing is we’re extending the overland conveyor from the south leach pad to the north leach pad, and we’ve acquired larger equipment, larger conveyors to be able to run at a higher throughput to accommodate the belt cement agglomerated ore.

And so that new leach pad sets us up for success and supports the 15-year mine life we have. And so it’s basically just an extension to a new leach pad that’s a little bit further away. Now there’s still capacity remaining on the south leach pad. We’ll have the advantage when we move conveyors from one cell to the next to be able to crush ore on the South leach pad. So there, again, a little bit of upside as we operate that new leach facility. So it’s an exciting time at Kisladag. It finalizes our investment in the plant infrastructure to support this new mine life. There’ll be modest sustaining capital to support extensions of miner, throughout the mine life. And the last piece is just the stripping. So we’re continuing to do the stripping to support the mine life.

That will continue on beyond this year, but the initial capital investment for the North leach pad, it really finishes up this year. So it’s the beginning of an improved cash flow generation period for Kisladag beginning next year.

Cosmos Chiu: Understood. Thanks George, Phil and team for answering my questions. That’s all I have and have a good weekend.

George Burns: Thanks Cosmos.

Operator: The next question comes from Tanya Jakusconek from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Tanya Jakusconek: Hi, good morning, everyone. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. Just wanted to follow up. First of all, congrats on a good quarter, especially on the cost front. I just wanted to follow up on two questions. I know on the last conference call, we talked about a 45% first half production, 55% second half on your guidance. Is that still valid?

George Burns: Yes.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. Perfect. Thank you. And I just wanted to ask also on these costs. So you think that the cost that — Olympias are very sustainable. Obviously, cost at Kisladag are going well. I just wanted to understand, so we’ve had this lower fuel price and electricity costs that have really helped costs at Kisladag. You said $0.81, I think, is what for diesel is what Phil had mentioned. Can you remind me what was in your budget for diesel pricing? Was it $0.90? Or was it over $0.90%?

George Burns: It was over $0.90. I think it’s closer to $1.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. So you’re seeing like 20% lower than what you have in your guidance for us on cost? And what about electricity, I mean, this drop in electricity, are you still seeing this in April? Like I just don’t know what these prices is because I also go to Europe a lot. I know Italy has very high pricing and that hasn’t gone down. So I’m just wondering the electricity price, like what is it that has driven at down?

Phil Yee: Yes, Tanya, it’s Phil. In Turkey, we’ve actually negotiated some new electricity contracts in 2023 for both Kisladag and Efemçukuru. And that’s a bit of a change from last year. So based on those new contracts, I would expect the rates to continue for the rest of the year. And then in Greece, the Greece situation with electricity costs is it’s subsidized by government subsidies. And the government has set a target, I think it’s between $0.15 and $0.18. And so far, we’re tracking within that range. So I would expect that, that would continue as well.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. All right. So it looks like then the electricity prices, at least for Kisladag, is just favorable for you with these new contracts. What about, Phil, the sustaining capital? How should I think about that going through the year? It’s just for — our all-in sustaining costs, obviously, were positively impacted by the lower cost. I just want to make sure I understand how the sustaining capital develops through the year. Is it evenly distributed? Or — how should I think about — capital growth is different, but how does the sustaining look?

Phil Yee: Yes. Our sustaining capital in Q1, Tanya, was approximately $25 million. A large chunk of that was at Lamaque with underground development and equipment rebuilds. I think at Kisladag and Efemçukuru and Olympias, it’s pretty consistent around $2 million to $2.5 million. I think in terms of Lamaque with the mine plan, a lot of that underground development is going to continue. So I would suspect that, that amount would be consistent.

George Burns: Yes. I’d just add one thing. At Lamaque, our tailings lifts are seasonal. We do it summer into the fall. And so you do see higher sustaining costs on the quarter’s with what we’re doing –

Tanya Jakusconek: So should I – the same thing, the 45%, 55% first half, second half? Or is that not a good way to look at it?

George Burns: Yes, it’s going to be slightly higher in the second half because of that Lamaque. I don’t know. It’s probably not quite 45%, 55%, it’s just Lamaque has that seasonal impact.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. I’m just trying to make sure that — because I said like we were definitely positively surprised by both your cash cost and your all-in sustaining costs. And maybe just another just like larger picture, besides just the fuel and the electricity that you saw at Kisladag, are you seeing anything else in terms of consumables? Any other areas that you’re starting to see, even in April starting to see a relief in inflationary pressures?

George Burns: Yes. I would say, generally, other than those commodities, things have remained fairly consistent. Probably — I mean, we talked about the positive things. The one thing that’s slightly negative is cyanide costs have escalated for the industry. So we’ve talked about our working capital fluctuation. We think cyanide’s going to come up a bit higher. And so one of the inventory issues. We bought some additional cyanide in Q1 to hopefully help us what we believe will be a bit higher cyanide cost. And what drives that is energy input into making the cyanide. And just on your last question, Tanya. I mean, I’ll give you some additional thoughts on Lamaque. And definitely, the tailings construction pushes up their sustaining during that construction season. But overall, Phil gave you the right answer, it’s pretty flat first half to second half across the portfolio on sustaining capital.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. And then just on the cyanide cost, what sort of increases have you seen just for ourselves to just understand not buying cyanide very often, George?

George Burns: Yes. I don’t have that number off the top of my head. And I would say it’s not that significantly material.

Tanya Jakusconek: Like under 5%?

George Burns: Yes, hang on, I’m — about 10% is what we’re anticipating in terms of potential increases in cyanide. It’s about $3,200 a tonne.

Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. Thank you very much for that. I’ll leave it there. And thank you very much. Good quarter. And have a great weekend, everyone. And welcome Lynette.

Lynette Gould: Thanks Tanya.

Operator: The next question comes from Mike Parkin from National Bank. Please go ahead.

Mike Parkin: Thanks guys. And congrats on the good quarter. Can you speak to — you also posted a pretty impressive improvement in refining costs at Olympias quarter-over-quarter. Can you just speak to what’s driving that?

George Burns: Joe, do you want to take that?

Joe Dick: Sure, George. I think, you know a couple of things. First off, treatment charges are down a bit for lead and zinc; secondly, we’ve worked hard to find alternatives to paying the 13% VAT on our pyrite con and have been moderately successful. I think — or maybe more than moderately. About 60%, maybe a little bit more than 60% of our pyrite tonnes are now not subject to VAT through alternative smelters or brokers to China. And as you may recall, Mike, that’s 13%. We are seeing other costs in addition to that. So the net out is — I think it’s about 3% we pay in additional charges when we’re not paying VAT. So overall, that’s probably driving as much as anything. And we see that less in that, that we see it more in payable gold. So I hope that answers your question, better trends than lead and zinc.

Phil Yee: Mike, it’s Phil here. I just wanted to add another factor in addition to what Joe has outlined. We had sales at the end of the quarter that from a timing perspective basically didn’t get completed until early, early April. So there is lower sales effectively in Q1, and that contributes to the lower refining costs as well.

Mike Parkin: Okay. So that could actually come up a little bit then quarter-over-quarter, still probably lower?

Phil Yee: Yes, that’s a timing issue — yes, it’s a timing issue. And that’s part of the reason as well that we have an increase in receivables at the end of Q1. The large percentage of those receivables we received in early April from the delayed concentrate sales.

Mike Parkin: Okay. And then just switching over to Kisladag. As you move from the South pad to North pad, I guess, actually having a longer leach cycle, you probably won’t create much of a production dip because they’ll be getting residual leach of the South pad as you’re starting an irrigation system on the north side. Is that fair to assume? Or would there potentially be Q3 being kind of the latest quarter at Kisladag?

George Burns: No, Mike, those are good assumptions. We’ll be putting fresh ore on the new leach pad onliner. So it will be quick returns on the initial placements. And as you say, we’ll have residual flows coming off the South leach pad. So we really don’t expect any hiccups in terms of production relative to that movement from south to north.

Mike Parkin: Okay. And then I know it’s very early days here. So you might not be able to give me too much color, but the cement usage at Kisladag, is it flat, up, down with the agglomeration drum? And recognizing, obviously, you’re probably still very much in the fine-tuning of it. So just some overall kind of general thoughts in terms of where your cement usage was last year versus kind of is today?

George Burns: Yes. So we’re in the 4 to 5 kilograms per tonne of ore placed. And really, it’s dependent on the different rock types that are going through the ore on exactly where we’re trying to target that cement level. We don’t really see any change last year versus this year. Really, what we’re looking for is better mixing in that drum, making a better final product, supporting good permeability. That’s an important factor in recovery, but also offering the opportunity to have finer ore, expose more gold and drive recovery beyond or assume 56%. So the cement is going to be pretty consistent. And the cement offsets the amount of line that we actually consume. So there is a net increase in cement versus what we used to do. But I would say consistent results expected going forward compared to last year.

Mike Parkin: And you could be potentially tightening up your gap on your high pressure drumming grinding rolls because extra fines to your point, having a better mix would allow for that. So you could actually be getting better exposure of the ore to cyanide while offsetting any impact of additional fines through better agglomeration through the drum. Is that fair to assume?

George Burns: Yes, that’s exactly the opportunity in front of us, and we’re going to focus hard on it.

Mike Parkin: Okay. Cool. Looking forward to the results. Congrats.

George Burns: Thanks.

Operator: The next question comes from Kerry Smith from Haywood Securities. Please go ahead.

Kerry Smith: George, can you just remind me — or perhaps, Joe, what is the undersize from the HPGR now at Kisladag? And what is the predicted recovery from that crush size with the drum agglomerator?

George Burns: Well, I’ll answer high level to describe what we’re doing here. So the product that comes out of the HPGR is split into two streams. We call it the edge product and the center product. So the edge product is going to be a coarser product. And that product gets recycled basically for a second pass. And the middle product is — has more fines in it. So after the screen, we take a split of the product coming out of the HPGR over to the new drum agglomerator. And there, we’re trying to get some of the small pebbles that will be in that feed to be the core nucleus of building a good agglomerate that comes out of the end of the drum. And then that stream comes back to the mainstream, and it’s advanced out to the pad.

And so for the coarser material, it’s getting put back through the HPGR, it’s getting a second opportunity to make fine. So what we’re able to do, we have two opportunities to try to optimize size of the material to maximize recovery. The first is the amount of horsepower we drive into the variable frequency drive on the drums themselves. And then the second thing is the amount of material that we recycle for a second pass. So we have two levers to pull to try to crush finer, but we don’t want to cut press so fine that we cause ourselves a permeability issue up on the pad. So the drum we think was acquired, and we believe it’s the opportunity to further optimize size and maintain good permeability. And so as we’ve said, we’re confident about the 56% recovery assumed in our technical studies assumed in our five-year guidance.

The opportunity this year is to optimize the HPGR in this new drum to be able to drive recoveries beyond 56%. And so we’ll have a better picture of that opportunity at the end of the year after we’ve run the circuit for six, nine months. Did that answer your question?

Kerry Smith: No. What I was trying to get was what’s the rough crush size you’re sending to the pad now? And how much finer do you think you could make and if you were able to optimize the circuit with the drum agglomerator? And what sort of percentage improvement you think you could get in recovery? I mean I presume you must have done those tests early on with when you did the test work on the HPGR. So I was just trying to understand, you’re 56% now. Is it reasonable to think that you can maybe pick up a couple of 3 points on recovery by optimizing the circuit? Or could it be more than that or less than that? I guess, is what I was trying to get a sense for.

George Burns: So specifically on size. So about 80% of the material passes 6 millimeters. We’re not thinking that’s going to change significantly. Where the opportunity is, is the minus 2 millimeters. And what we’re thinking right now is we’ll move from about 40% to 60%. So we’re creating more of those very fine materials that will expose more gold. And with effective agglomeration, we’ll be successful then at getting better recoveries. Now I don’t want to guide to the potential here. As you would imagine, we expose more gold, we’re going to get better recovery. So we want to have test work to be able to guide ourselves in the market to what they could expect.

Kerry Smith: Okay. Okay. That’s fine. Finally you have capacity, obviously, in the drum, you can — the more fine it’s better really just agglomerated up until on the pad.

George Burns: Exactly.

Kerry Smith: Right. Okay. Okay. That’s helpful. Thanks. And then just on Olympias on the 650,000 TPA expansion then, George, is the intention then to kind of dovetail that project into the wind down of construction at Skouries? So if Skouries, kind of finished construction in mid-2025 and that would be when you kind of notionally claim to start the construction for this no expansion of Olympias?

George Burns: I mean, coincidentally, I’d say that’s the case. So it is only 2025 that we expect to be doing the expansion and modifications to the plant. But it’s a pretty small project on Olympias. We’re adding some additional flotation capacity. There’s no major challenging construction to be done here. So I wouldn’t tie the two together that we’re waiting for Skouries. It’s more about setting up the underground expansion where we’ve got confidence in making that investment and then proceeding with it.

Kerry Smith: Okay. And then how long is that project to get to the 650,000 tonnes? Is that like eight months, nine months?

George Burns: Yes. It’s probably a year of work. And the two major things that we’ll be doing in the plant will be adding some — a regrind mill so that we can maintain the right grind in recoveries at that higher throughput. And we’ll be adding a thickener. So those are the main pieces, some other modest.

Kerry Smith: Got you. Okay. That’s good. And then just lastly on Skouries, you said you had, I think, 250 people at the site and you plan to get to 900 by the end of the year. So far, have you seen any issues with getting manpower or ordering equipment or any logistics issues that might impact the schedule? I know you said you had already ordered the filter press, but I’m just wondering, just generally how you’re seeing it.

George Burns: Yes, Mike, no concerns there. I mean we’ve had no issues with the ramp-up to date. I’d say our laser focus on Skouries is letting the additional contracts over the next couple of quarters that really provides the ability to ramp up this construction, deliver it on schedule. So it’s really in our control in terms of available labor and contractors, no concerns in terms of equipment. All the major equipments installed with two exceptions: one’s the primary crusher. It’s sitting on site. We’re pouring concrete for that. And so no concerns on it. And then as you just said, we ordered the filters for dry stack tailings. We got a delivery date of Q1 2025, ahead of our commissioning midyear. So we’re very comfortable with key equipment required, and it’s really about letting these contracts, advancing the engineering and then executing on the productivities we need to deliver this on budget and on schedule.

So really, I sleep well at night, I’m not concerned about deliveries, and we’re laser-focused on the ramp-up.

Kerry Smith: Okay. That’s great. Thanks very much. I appreciate it.

George Burns: Thanks Kerry.

Operator: The next question comes from Harmen Puri from Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Harmen Puri: Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Most of my questions actually I had have been answered. I think just one last one. I don’t know if you guys have touched on this yet, but at Lamaque, the grade profile for the rest of the year. Do you guys have any color on when the grades might increase and go closer to perhaps the guidance range? Do you expect that to happen in Q2? Or will that be later in the year?

George Burns: Yes. So there will be a ramp-up of improved grades over the year. Q1 obviously was lower than a quarter of the annual guidance, but it really was sequencing driven. So yes, you can expect to see rate improvements essentially over the year and still good with guidance.

Harmen Puri: Okay. That’s it for me. Thank you.

Operator: That is all the time that we have for today. And this concludes the question-and-answer session and today’s conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.