We recently published an article titled Billionaire Chris Rokos’ 10 Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) stands against Chris Rokos’ other stock picks with huge upside potential.
One of the traits that define investors who become billionaires is the ability to make money regardless of market conditions. Chris Rokos is one example. For instance, in March 2025, the hedge fund gained 3.4% amid heightened volatility. At the same time, fellow big-name asset managers like Point72, Citadel, and Millennium struggled to handle the volatility.
Christopher Charles Rokos is a British hedge fund manager. He co-founded Brevan Howard in 2002 after nearly 10 years with Goldman Sachs, where he traded interest rate products. In 2015, he established Rokos Capital Management. The asset manager has approximately $20 billion worth of assets under management (AUM) as of 2025. Rokos is the fund’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO).
The billionaire hedge fund manager made the most of Trump’s election in November last year. According to a Bloomberg report, Rokos netted nearly $1 billion in profits in a single day following Trump’s victory. This, according to the report, is a “standout trading performance” since Rokos Capital started operating in 2015.
READ ALSO: Billionaire Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater’s 10 Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential and Billionaire Mario Gabelli’s 10 Large-Cap Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential.
And the winning didn’t stop there. Since that election victory, Trump has fueled rallies and routs in almost equal measure. But, interestingly, Rokos keeps turning up profits regardless of market conditions. Thanks to the Trump-fueled rally in November 2024, Rokos Capital Management ended the year with 31% in returns.
In early April 2025, Trump’s tariffs triggered a large sell-off, and many hedge funds lost money. But not Rokos. The asset manager advanced 4.5% in the first two weeks of the month. This gain helped the hedge fund’s returns for the year to reach 8% as of mid-April 2025.
But whether Rokos Capital Management will keep winning this year is something that remains to be seen, especially in light of the conditions in the market. On Monday, May 5, 2025, the S&P 500 snapped out of a nine-day rally—the longest winning streak in 20 years. The broader market index fell 0.64%, while the Nasdaq shed 0.74% and the Dow lost 0.24%.
Market observers quoted by CNN put the decline on tariffs. For instance, Argent Capital Management’s Jed Ellerbroek said that the “market is intensely focused on where the tariff rates end up, and it’s bouncing around day to day as those assessments change.”
Veteran technical strategist Tom DeMark told Bloomberg that a bear market is a likely scenario shortly. “A top is imminent. Too much technical damage has been done. Stocks are vulnerable right now and can easily get hit pretty badly if anything quickly changes on the global trade outlook.”
However, it won’t come as a surprise that Rokos Capital manages gains out of the bleak market (if the current predictions hold). They have done it before. As such, it appears wise to get an idea of the hedge fund’s stock picks, especially those with a huge upside potential.
Our Methodology
We combed through Rokos Capital Management’s SEC Q4 2024 13F filings. We focused on the fund’s most valuable equities holdings (excluding ETFs and options) and then ranked the stocks based on analyst price targets as of May 7, 2025. We picked stocks with an upside potential of at least 30% and then picked the top 10. We have also mentioned the broader hedge fund sentiment for these stocks, as of Q4 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A group of software engineers working in an open, futuristic office.
Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC)
Rokos Capital Management Stake Value: $4,953,000
Upside Potential as of May 7: 58.72%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 64
Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) is a search and data analytics company that markets itself as “The Search AI Company.” The company offers a suite of solutions, including Elasticsearch (a search engine for applications), Kibana (a visualization tool), and Elastic Security, among others.
The past month has been busy for Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC). On April 29, the company announced Automatic Migration. This is a new feature that simplifies the transition from incumbent SIEM (Security Information and Event Management) solutions to Elastic Security. It automatically maps existing detection rules to equivalent Elastic-built rules without requiring manual rebuilding. This innovation reduces the cost, complexity, and risk associated with migrating from legacy security systems.
Just days earlier, Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) had unveiled the general availability of Elastic Cloud Serverless on Google Cloud Marketplace. This allows developers to quickly scale the company’s solutions without managing infrastructure. This builds on their industry-first Search AI Lake architecture.
These product innovations position Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced security and search capabilities. The company’s focus on performance optimization is evident in its announcement that Elasticsearch runs up to 40% faster on Google Axion processors. This performance gain enables users to index data more efficiently and improve search performance.
On April 16, 2025, Morgan Stanley analyst Sanjit Singh lowered the firm’s price target on Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) to $120 from $140 while maintaining an Overweight rating. The analyst said in a note that the adjustment is part of a broader risk/reward reassessment across software companies in light of tariff risk uncertainty.
Overall ESTC ranks 3rd on our list of Chris Rokos’ stock picks with huge upside potential. While we acknowledge the potential of ESTC as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ESTC but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
