For the full year 2013, Solera Holdings Inc (NYSE:SLH) expected to generate $832 – $836 million in revenue, with the net income fluctuating in the range of $84 to $87 million. Adjusted EBITDA is estimated to stay in the range of $355 to $359 million. The company had quite an ambitious mission for 2020, generating $2 billion in revenue and achieved a 40% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Solera has a much weaker balance sheet than Ebix. As of March 2013, it had $725 million in equity, $447 million in cash and more than $1.14 billion in long-term debt. Moreover, Solera also booked a huge amount of goodwill and intangible assets on its balance sheet–more than $1.4 billion. Consequently, the tangible book value is negative at $(418) million. Indeed, like Ebix, Solera spent a lot of money on acquisitions, nearly $740 million in the past five years.
Lesson from Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ)
What I am worried about with Ebix is not the recent legal issues, but the potential write-off of its huge goodwill on the balance sheet. Investors should learn the lesson from the case of Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ). Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) spent very little money on internal R&D, pushing the bottom line and cash flow position higher. In the past five years, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) only spent around 2.35% to nearly 3% of its revenue on R&D. Last year, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) had to write down as much as $8.8 billion on its $11 billion acquisition of Autonomy. Interestingly, out of those $8.8 billion impairment charges, as much as $5.5 billion was due to “serious accounting improprieties.” Even after those significant charges, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ)’s goodwill and intangible assets are still huge, of as much as $35 billion, which are quite vulnerable for any future write-offs.
My Foolish take
The risk in Ebix investment is not in the legal issue, but the future write-down of its huge goodwill amount on the balance sheet. Consequently, I personally think that the market has overreacted on the company’s recent news. With the consistent cash flow generation, Ebix could be a decent purchase at its current trading price.
Anh HOANG has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Ebix. Anh is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.
The article Market Overraction on This Insurance Software Solution Company originally appeared on Fool.com is written by Anh HOANG.
Copyright © 1995 – 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
