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Does Netflix (NFLX) Have a Significant Runway for Growth?

Artisan Partners, an investment management company, released its “Artisan Value Fund” first quarter 2024 investor letter.  A copy of the same can be downloaded here. The robust US economy, a general disinflation trend, and increased corporate earnings pushed the US equity markets to a new all-time high in the first quarter. The fund’s Investor Class ARTLX, Advisor Class APDLX, and Institutional Class APHLX returned 8.65%, 8.71%, and 8.71% respectively, in the first quarter compared to an 8.99% return for the Russell 1000 Value Index. In addition, you can check the top 5 holdings of the strategy to know its best picks in 2024.

Artisan Value Fund highlighted stocks like Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), in the first quarter 2024 investor letter. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) is a streaming platform with a market capitalization of $273.911 billion. One-month return of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) was 12.55%, and its shares gained 77.07% of their value over the last 52 weeks. On May 23, 2024, Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) stock closed at $635.67 per share.

Artisan Value Fund stated the following regarding Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:

“We had one sale in Q1, exiting Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), one of our top performers of 2023. The video streaming company has been a strong performer as price increases and a crackdown on password sharing have driven subscriber additions and higher average revenue per user. Netflix has also evolved its business model over the past year, becoming more efficient with its content spending, cracking down on password sharing and introducing a lower cost advertising-supported tier (lowering subscriber churn). Importantly, these changes have led to robust earnings and free cash flow growth. When we purchased Netflix in January 2022, the stock was selling significantly below our estimates of fair value, and by April 2022 when we added to our position after another downdraft, it was selling at just 9X our estimate of normalized earnings. At that time, there were questions about the long-term economics of streaming, slowing subscriber growth and increasing competition. Despite the growth slowdown, we viewed Netflix’s position as the largest streaming service (~260 million subscribers currently) as a key strategic advantage and believed it had a significant runway of growth. Though Netflix is no longer a holding, we still like the business. Netflix remains well positioned due to its scale advantages (lower marketing costs per subscriber, greater purchasing power for content, the broadest audience, the most data and a growing library of owned content resulting in the lowest churn in the industry) to generate significant free cash flow despite aggressive content investments. However, the stock, which is now selling for over 30X forward earnings, has moved above our estimated range of fair value, and we believe the current price embeds high probabilities of best-case scenarios with little margin of safety.”

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Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) is in 23rd position on our list of 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 107 hedge fund portfolios held Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) at the end of the first quarter which was 89 in the previous quarter.

In another article, we discussed Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) and shared the list of best streaming service stocks to buy. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) was the top absolute contributor of Polen Focus Growth Strategy in the first quarter 2024. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q1 2024 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors.

If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as Microsoft but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Michael Burry Is Selling These Stocks and A New Dawn Is Coming to US Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Wall Street calls this $3 stock a “Melting Ice Cube.” They said the same thing about BTI before it returned 90%.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

My name is Inan Dogan. I’m the co-founder and Research Director of Insider Monkey. I have an important message for you today.

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We looked under the cover and realized they were wrong.

We alerted our subscribers, and BTI returned 90% in just 16 months.

Now if you had invested just $10,000 in BTI in June 2024, you’d be sitting on $19,000 in October 2025.

Today, we have identified a nearly identical pattern in a digital-first giant trading at $3.

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This pattern is a hallmark of our 16.5% annual return track record. The current opportunity offers a 400% upside potential—dwarfing even our 90% BTI return.

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