The company enjoys strong margins, a high growth rate and a healthy balance sheet. When a company has all of these three things going on for it, the investors tend to be very happy. This didn’t happen with the investors of this company as they started a sell-off as soon as Christine Day announced that she was going to leave her position. As the next few quarters pass by, we will find out how much impact she actually had on the company’s growth; however, investors are already assuming the worst.
If the company keeps growing like it’s been growing and if the balance sheet continues to be healthy as it is right now, there is no reason why the share price shouldn’t go back to $80 per share like it was just a few weeks ago. This may take a few quarters to play out, but investing is supposed to be long term after all, so it’s no big deal.
Currently the company has $588 million in cash and no debt. Excluding cash, the company is trading at 33 times its trailing earnings. The company is expected to earn $2.00 per share this year, $2.57 per share next year and $3.09 per share in the following year. Basically, the company is looking at forward P/E ratios of 31, 25 and 20 excluding cash. Keep in mind that the company’s cash balance will be even better than it is today if it can at least meet these expectations, so it may be actually looking at a lower forward P/E excluding cash.
Considering that this is a rapid growth company, it should trade for a higher valuation. In comparison, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) trades for a P/E ratio of 25 even though its growth rate is much slower than that of Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU). In the last 3 years, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE)’s revenue grew from $19.17 billion to $24.12 billion. This represents a growth of 26% for 3 years. In comparison, Lululemon’s revenue grew from $452 million to $1.47 billion during the same period, representing a growth of 225%. The company’s growth rate is expected to be in the double-digits for the foreseeable future. Don’t get me wrong, Nike is a great investment too; however, Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) is being punished unnecessarily right now. NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) is expected to earn $3.02 this year, followed by $3.42 next year and $3.84 in the year after. This effectively gives Nike P/E ratios of 20, 18 and 16 for the next 3 years. The company currently enjoys healthy margins and a decent growth rate. Nike expects most growth to come from Asia and the Middle East in this decade where the company’s products are increasingly popular but too expensive for much of the population. As the economies of these nations improve, Nike’s sales should improve accordingly. Keep in mind that Nike’s growth rate will be slower than Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU)’s as I’ve already mentioned.
Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA) is another company that competes with Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU). This is another company that grows at a rapid rate. The company was able to grow its annual earnings from $0.46 per share in 2009 to $1.21 per share in 2012. This company has a higher P/E than Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) at 50, but its P/E is expected to drop to 41 next year, 32 in the following year and 26 by 2015 if its growth rate continues on.
