Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Ryan Gwillim: Yes, Xian, I will take this one for you. This is really a high horsepower story. The demand for high horsepower engines, certainly Mercury’s high horsepower engines is extremely strong all over the world. And now with the capacity materially behind us, we have the chance really to go out there and service our current OEMs, conquest new ones and reach repower international commercial markets, that frankly just haven’t gotten marked up, have not gotten units for quite a bit. So I would tell you, of the three overall volume, if you look across all of our horsepower nodes, may not be much greater than this year, but it will be greater in the higher horsepower, which is obviously a mixed up, both on revenue and on margin.

And then there is probably a little bit of price baked in at the back half of the year, like Dave said, normal price increases that are anticipated. And you know that means it is generally low kind of low single digits on the Mercury side. So lots of mix, high horsepower, not a whole lot of price and volume certainly up on high horsepower, but certainly could be flat to slightly down on the small stuff under 60 horsepower.

Xian Siew: Great. That is very helpful, thank you guys. good luck.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of James Hardiman with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

James Hardiman: Hey good morning. Thanks for taking my call so I wanted to dig into – David, you alluded to it a little bit. You had given us some potential downside scenarios a year-ago, the $8 and the $6 scenarios, it seems like at the low end of your guidance this year, we are getting pretty darn close to that 30% cut to the industry, versus 2021, I believe. It is $160, $170, I think, was sort of the range to get to that $8, I guess, what has changed? It seems like there is some incremental earnings power even at that – I don’t want to say worst-case scenario, but unfortunate case scenario. What is ultimately changed there to at least get us to the $950 million. I understand that the whole goal will be get towards the higher end of that guide. But I’m just trying to sort of shape up the downside here as we sit here and your stock is trading at nine times even that lower end a bad case scenario, so to speak.

David Foulkes: Thank you, James, for the question. Yes, I think – well, maybe a couple of things are different. Although I think we would say that the market is probably over a couple of years down 20% plus, I would say, but probably not 30%, maybe in the mid-teens this year and something in the kind of mid singles to maybe high singles last year. I think what we have – that, that is a unit basis, obviously. We haven’t really talked about the fact that we have had two years of pretty strong pricing that the top end of the market particularly the premium end of fiberglass remains very strong. So we are benefiting from mix. And we have deliberately responded to some of that weakness on the boat side by mixing up in terms of producing fewer of the really kind of lower end value product than we used to and focusing more on some of the top end.