In this article, we discuss Billionaire Seth Klarman’s 10 Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential.
Seth Klarman is a legendary name in the hedge fund space. He entered Wall Street straight out of college, where he worked as an analyst for Mutual Shares Corporation. Klarman then proceeded to Baupost Group, where he has been ever since. Like most hedge fund managers, Klarman has a set of principles that guide his investment decisions. Most of these principles were captured in a 1991 book titled “Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor.”
Klarman has established himself as the foremost proponent of value investing. In fact, this is the central theme of the 1991 book. He advocates for removing emotions from the investing process and seeing opportunities for what they are.
He writes: “Successful investors tend to be unemotional, allowing the greed and fear of others to play into their hands.”
Also: “There is nothing esoteric about value investing. It is simply the process of determining the value underlying a security and then buying it at a considerable discount from that value.”
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In an interview with the Harvard Business School, Klarman insisted that he is unwilling to abandon value investing for other approaches. He maintained that “value investing is intellectually elegant. You’re basically buying bargains. It also appeals because all the studies demonstrate that it works. People who chase growth, who chase highfliers, inevitably lose because they paid a premium price. They lose to the people who have more patience and more discipline.”
No wonder Baupost is one of the best-performing hedge funds in the world. The fund might have lagged behind giants like Third Point and Elliot in the 2015-2024 period but the ability to stay true to a decades-old strategy and still turn up gains is impressive. Last year, the fund culled approximately 20% of its investing team to try and steer the ship towards larger gains. To this, Klarman commented that “with a somewhat smaller investment team, we have increased the level of energy, focus, accountability, and collaboration.”
And these efforts are already bearing fruit. By December last year, the fund had gained 10%, the first double-digit return since 2021, according to Bloomberg. In other words, after 42 years in the game, Klarman is still able to turn his investment fortunes around. That is why it is prudent to see what stocks are in his portfolio, especially those with a huge upside potential.
Seth Klarman of Baupost Group
Our Methodology
For this list, we combed through Baupost Group’s Q4 2024 SEC 13F filings. We focused only on shares in companies and excluded interests in ETFs and options. From the result, we ranked the stocks in ascending order based on analyst price targets and selected the top 10 companies with the highest upside potential (as of April 29).
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
Billionaire Seth Klarman’s 10 Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential
10. CRH plc (NYSE:CRH)
Upside Potential as of April 29: 21.11%
Baupost Group’s Stake Value: $244,383,000
CRH plc (NYSE:CRH) is a provider of building materials and construction solutions. Core products include ready-mixed concrete, cement, aggregates, and asphalt. The company serves markets in construction, infrastructure, and building materials across the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.
In 2024, CRH plc’s (NYSE:CRH) total revenues grew by 2% to $35.6 billion, and net income increased by 15% to $3.5 billion. Adjusted EBITDA rose 12% to $6.9 billion, the company’s 11th consecutive year of margin expansion. The company’s net income margin came in at 9.9%, a 110 basis point improvement year-over-year. The company says the growth is the result of continued commercial excellence, operational efficiencies, and strategic acquisitions. CRH plc (NYSE:CRH) continues to expand its global footprint through strategic acquisitions. Notable recent acquisitions include a $2.1 billion purchase of cement and readymixed concrete assets in Texas and a majority stake in Adbri Ltd, a market leader in cement and aggregates in Australia.
Jim Mintern, company CEO, commented that the strength of their balance sheet has enabled them to “invest $5 billion in 40 value-accretive acquisitions while also returning $3 billion of cash to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.” As such, the outlook for the business “remains positive, underpinned by favorable demand and positive pricing momentum.”
Nonetheless, on April 14, 2025, RBC Capital analyst Anthony Codling lowered the firm’s price target for CRH (NYSE:CRH) to $108 from $127. However, the analyst maintained an Outperform rating. The firm adjusted its model before the company’s Q1 results, incorporating Q1 2025 weather data and uncertainties in the US economic outlook, the analyst stated in a research report.
9. Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL)
Upside Potential as of April 29: 25.12%
Baupost Group’s Stake Value: $271,565,000
Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) is the parent company of Google, the world’s dominant internet search engine, as well as YouTube, Google Cloud, and other technology ventures. The company offers a search engine (Google), video platform (YouTube), email (Gmail), cloud computing (Google Cloud), and hardware like Pixel phones and Nest smart home devices.
In Q1 2025, Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) reported net income of $34.54 billion, the highest quarterly net income in the company’s history. Consolidated revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $90.2 billion. The most outstanding highlight is an $8 billion unrealized gain from the company’s investment in SpaceX, which boosted its overall profitability for the quarter.
Alphabet Inc’s (NASDAQ:GOOG) AI initiatives continue to drive user engagement and revenue growth. AI Overviews in Search now reaches over 1.5 billion users per month. On the other hand, Gemini 2.5, the company’s most advanced AI model, is achieving performance breakthroughs. CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted that all 15 of Alphabet’s products, with over half a billion users, now incorporate Gemini models, demonstrating the company’s commitment to AI integration across its ecosystem. On April 25, 2025, Citi maintained a positive outlook on Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG). The analysts raised the company’s price target from $195 to $200 and maintained a Buy rating.