Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. (NYSE:BLX) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. (NYSE:BLX) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript April 19, 2023

Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $1.02, expectations were $0.84.

Operator Good morning, and welcome to Bladex First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. A slide presentation is accompanying today’s webcast and is available on the Investor section of the Company’s website www.bladex.com. There’ll be an opportunity for you to ask questions at the end of today’s presentation. Please note that the conference call is being recorded. As a reminder, all participants are in a listen-only mode.I’d now like to turn the call over to Mr. Carlos Raad, the Investor Relations Officer. Please go ahead, sir. Line is yours.Carlos Raad Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our first quarter 2023 earnings call. Before we begin our presentation, allow me to remind you that certain statements made during the course of this discussion may constitute forward-looking statements, which are based on management’s current expectations and beliefs and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ, including factors that may be beyond the Company’s control.

For a description of these risks, please refer to our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and our earnings release.Speaking on today’s call is our CEO, Jorge Salas; and our CFO, Ana Mendez. Also joining us today are some of my colleagues from the executive team that will be available for the Q&A.With this, let me turn the call to Jorge. Please go ahead.Jorge Salas Thank you, Carlos, and good morning, everyone. I will start today by providing a high level summary of our results as well as an overview of some key metrics on the execution of our strategic plan. After that, Ana, your CFO will discuss results in more detail. Later, I will share some assessments of the current global macro scenario as well as its effects on Bladex, and finally, I will update you all on our guidance for the year.

Then we will open the call for questions.Moving on to Slide 2. So this slide provides a summary of our results for the quarter. As anticipated in our last quarter results call, our focus for 2023 is on profitability rather than growth. Results for this quarter are a clear reflection of that emphasis. Both our treasury unit and our renewed commercial team had a very strong performance despite the challenging environment of the last few months. The results speak for themselves.Record net interest income for the quarter was $52 million, more than double compared to Q1 2022. Net interest margin was at 2.41%. Again, that is over a 100 basis points higher than the same period last year. On top of that, fee income was also strong, particularly, but not only letters of credit fees, which as a trade bank are an essential part of our business model.

All this resulted in a net income for the quarter of $37 million, more than 3x the same period of last year. Quarterly return on equity was 13.7%. Consistent with our guidance, the loan book was essentially flat for the quarter, but our loan portfolio remains healthy with a robust and diversified pipeline.Moving on to the next slide, Slide 3, please. Our strong performance this quarter is the result of a carefully executing a well-thought-out-strategy designed to capitalize on the strong upside potential of our unique business model. Let me briefly share with you four key metrics that are part of our frontline KPIs for the year. Onboarding time, new clients, incremental deposits and fee generation from our letters of credit business.Our commercial team continues to expand our client base through our new streamlined client onboarding process.

We have reduced onboarding time by 46% already, which has allowed us to add 4% new clients last quarter. We have not and will not change our customer profile. We will only serve top-tier corporations and banks in the region. But expanding our client base has allowed us to enhance lending spreads in a more challenging macro scenario.As you see in the bottom left part of the slide, client deposits grew 12% quarter-on-quarter. Both Class A shareholders and corporate clients, including financial institutions grew deposits and our Yankees CD program also had a favorable performance in the last quarter, an additional demonstration of the resilience of our funding base during challenging times. Importantly, deposits are clearly our most cost efficient source of funding.

So to the extent they represent only 45% of total funding, there is still significant upside potential here that are planned intend to capture.Finally, as you see in the graph below, fees from our letters of credit unit keeps growing steadily quarter-after-quarters. Fees for Q1 were close to $4 million, up18% from a year-ago. Behind this growth, there is also a new streamlined process designed to accommodate the increased volume we are seeing over quarter-after-quarter.I’m going to leave it here for now, and let Annie discuss the results in more detail.Ana Mendez Thanks, Jorge. Good morning to everyone. So now let me discuss the underlying drivers and trends of our first quarter 2023 results starting on Slide 4. As Jorge just mentioned, we continued on a solid trend of bottom line results with net income reaching $37 million for the quarter, resulting in a remarkable 13.7% annualized ROE.

This result reflect the continued growth of topline revenues given a positive trend in lending spreads and a favorable interest rate gap position, which continues to benefit from the latter increases in U.S. dollar market rates since the beginning of last year.Let me now walk you through our balance sheet and profit and loss line items to better explain these results. So let’s turn to Slide 5. Total assets remained stable quarter-on-quarter at $9.2 billion, up by 9% from a year-ago. As we mentioned in our last call throughout most of 2022, we saw strong loan growth due to the synergies generated by the incorporation of new clients combined with the push in commodity prices and trade flows. We also anticipated lower lending balances toward year-end 2022 and entering into 2023, given the more challenging macro outlook while remaining focused on optimal capital allocation and increased returns while preserving a sound capital position.As such, loan portfolio balances reaching $6.7 billion at quarter end were slightly lower than the previous quarter by 1%, but still up by 3% from the year before.

The bank’s lending business is complimented by an investment securities portfolio allowing for further diversification of exposures by country with an ending balance of $940 million in book value at quarter end. Of this total, 96% or $901 million are held to maturity and accounted for at amortized costs for which no mark-to-market is recognized in the balance sheet or income statement.Nonetheless, the calculated market value for this portfolio at March 31 represents 96% of its book value and its mark-to-market is equivalent to approximately 3.3% of the bank’s equity and 2.8% of its liquid assets. The remaining $39 million in investment securities are recognized at fair value through other comprehensive income in equity with a mark-to-market representing merely 54 basis points or $211,000 at quarter end.The bank’s cash and due from banks mostly in the form of placements with the New York Federal Reserve stood at 14% of total assets and 37% of deposits at quarter-end, denoting a prudent liquidity management, particularly under the increased volatility experienced towards the end of the quarter given the financial sector shake up.Moving on to Slide 6, you can see the high turnover of our commercial portfolio with maturities amounting to $4.5 billion for the quarter, representing about 59% of the total and disbursements for a similar amount.

This distinctive trade of our business model, which repeats every quarter, allows us to quickly pick up lending spreads and market rate trends, which has been consistently the case over the last several quarters, capturing the upward trend in both. So average lending spread over the market base rate mostly suffered for the first quarter of 2023, stood at 2.99%, denoting an 80 basis points increase from a year-ago and up by 18 basis points from the preceding quarter.Aside from loans, the commercial portfolio includes off balance sheet exposure, mainly related to letters of credit business closely tied to trade activity, which increased by 16% from the preceding quarter and by 29% annually to $1.1 billion for a total commercial portfolio balance at $7.8 billion, up 1% from the preceding quarter, and which was 6% above last year level.

Average duration of the portfolio remains short at close to 12 months with 69% maturing within the next year. Continuing on to Slide 7, in a scenario of heightened uncertainty, given the recent turmoil in the U.S. and European financial sectors, the resiliency of Bladex’s funding structure has once again been tested and verified as the bank increased its deposit base during the quarter to $3.6 billion, up by 12% from December 2022 levels and up by 10% from a year-ago as Jorge just commented.Deposits have historically represented an important and resilient source of funding throughout economic cycle. A large portion of which coming from the Latin-American central banks are Class A shareholders who place a share of their international reserve with Bladex.

In addition, the bank has in place a Yankee CD program that has been successfully growing in volume and provide granularity and further diversification to our deposit base. Apart from deposit, we continue to have ample availability of bilateral credit lines from many correspondent banks worldwide as well as continuous access to debt capital markets and the global syndicated loan market.Turning now to Slide 8. Our capitalization at quarter end stood at similar levels from year-end 2022, as we remain committed to a sound capital position continuing to favor margin expansion through optimization of portfolio mix and risk adjusted returns over loan growth, as was the case in the proceeding quarter as well. The Board recently declared a dividend of $0.25 per share, an amount unchanged from preceding quarters.Now turning to Slide 9.

We present the sustained positive trend in net interest margin and net interest spread driving strong topline performance. Let me first refer to the net interest spread, which is the average rate differential between assets and liabilities reaching 1.82% in the first Q 2023, an increase of 19 basis points from the preceding quarter and of 67 basis point from the first quarter of last year. This increase in NIS reflects both increased lending spreads and positive market based rate differential between assets and liabilities, reflecting our short dated asset sensitive interest rate gap and which will tend to decrease once interest rate stabilize.Net interest margin representing net interest income divided by average interest earning assets reached 2.41% in first Q 2023, an increase of 30 basis points from the preceding quarter and of 109 basis points from last year, supported by both higher net interest spread and by the impact of increasing market rates on the overall yield of assets financed by the bank’s equity.Moving on to Slide 1.

We can see that the overall impact of rate increases on assets and liabilities supported by higher lending spread and market rates, as just stated was the driver of net interest income increased during the first quarter of 2023. So the NII increased on a count of higher rates was $6.9 million. This effect was partly offset by the net impact of average volume variations accounting for a decline of $3.7 million in NII with respect to the preceding quarter. This was mainly the net result of a $488 million or 7% decrease in average lending balances, while average liquidity balances increased by $84 million or 7%, somewhat compensated by the reduction of $404 million or 5% in average funding volume.On Slide 11, fee income from letters of credit have shown an increase in quarterly trend for the last several quarters, as we have seen rated activity in the LC business with increased volumes, transactions and clients as Jorge mentioned.

Financial Advisor

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The other main component of fee generation for the bank relates to the structuring and syndication business. Given its transaction-based nature, this activity should be analyzed annually rather than on a quarterly basis. We didn’t see much activity during this first quarter, in part also explained by seasonality, but we do have a pipeline of transactions that should been resolved in coming quarters, bringing annual fees at similar levers than in 2022.As shown on Slide 12, asset quality remains robust, having $8.5 billion or 98% of the total credit portfolio categorized as low-risk under Stage 1 as defined by IFRS 9. Accounting for another 1.5% were credits classified as Stage 2 for a total of $133 million, an amount that has come down from $147 million in the preceding quarter and from $289 million last year.

Stage 2 exposure consists of closely monitored credits which have experienced increased risk since origination but are still performing.Finally, Stage 3 or impaired credits represent nearly 0.4% of total exposure for a total of $35 million, an amount unchanged from the proceeding quarter. Overall, total reserve coverage is more than 2x the balance of impaired credits. Total credit provision charges for the first quarter of 2023 amounted to $6.3 million, mostly related to increased individually allocated allowances to Stage 3 credits, as well as to an increase of Stage 2 reserve on certain investment securities that were downgraded internally.On Slide 13, we can see a positive trend in the bank’s efficiency, reaching a cost to income level below 27% for the first quarter of 2023 as solid revenue growth has consistently overcompensated higher expenses by design.

During the first quarter, total expenses were down from the preceding quarter on the account of slower pace in administrative expenses, which is usual during the first quarter of the year.Salaries and employee-related expenses on the other hand remained relatively stable on a quarter-on-quarter basis and present an annual increase due to higher salary base on new hires during 2022. Congruent with our focus on strengthening Bladex’s execution capabilities as delineated in our strategic plan.I will now leave it here and turn the call back to Jorge. Thank you.Jorge Salas Thank you, Annie. We anticipated 2023 to be a year of transition towards slower growth, eventually lower interest rates, and slightly lower inflation rates, although still above target levels.

We recognized that the timing and scope for the turning point in interest rates remains unclear, but we anticipate this shift will occur towards the end of this year. Our business model characterized by very short-term duration and essentially a matched book with assets and liability sharing similar, although not identical centers provide a strong advantage in the current banking landscape.As Annie explained before, the fact that we are able to swiftly position our balance sheet to be slightly asset sensitive or liability sensitive depending on the rate environment outlook has proven to be particularly beneficial recently. As far as the region we operate in, in general, we believe contagious risk for Latin-American banks should be limited for three main reasons.

One, they have minimal exposure if any to U.S. regional banks, banks in the region have substantial level of local retail deposits, and of course, the duration of their securities portfolio tends to be much shorter than those of U.S. banks.In 2022, the Latin-American economies outperformed growth expectations despite the global challenges. But growth forecast for 2023 have been revised downwards due to financial conditions, lower commodity prices, and overall global economic uncertainty. Despite these headwinds, foreign trade levels remain robust. The macroeconomic and financial outlook for Latin-American countries is still far from being balanced and stable. We see a challenging transition from peak to below trend growth GDP levels, and we see inflation decreasing, but still remaining above target rates just like in the U.S.Although challenging particularly from a credit risk standpoint, the current context also provides substantial opportunities for Bladex for several reasons.

One, high trade levels, increased demand for trade finance our core business. Two, the fact that domestic interest rates in LATAM or in most cases significantly above than those in the U.S. has increased the demand for dollar denominated financing and we are essentially a dollar denominated lender, and we see larger global institutions limiting their exposure in the region in times of increased volatility, living us with less competitions for our clients. We will keep taking advantage of the opportunities that this context provides without relaxing our credit underwriting standards.Now given our recent performance and particularly the fact that we are already in the higher range of our last net interest margin guidance, that is closer to 2.4%.

Today, we are updating our 2023 ROE guidance from an original 10% to 11% range to a new higher range that we anticipate to be between 11% and 13% by year-end.In closing, we remain committed to enhancing profitability this year by prioritizing strategic investments and operational efficiency, and we are optimistic about the execution of our strategic plan.I’m going to leave it here and now open the call for questions. Thank you. Operator?

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Question-and-Answer Session

Operator: Thank you very much for the presentation. We’ll now be moving to the Q&A part of the call. [Operator Instructions] Okay. The first question, we’ll read a few text questions first. The first question is from Mr. Patrick Brown, individual investor. Great results, congratulations.

Is this level of profitability a new normal for Bladex? Is it a sustainable in a lower interest rate environment? And my second question, what is the rationale behind not increasing your dividend policy back to the pre-pandemic levels?Jorge Salas Hi. Thank you for your two questions. Going with the first one first. As we detailed in our Investor Day back in November, and I remind you all that the webcast is in our website, our strategic plan is designed to tap into five major outside opportunities and this will yield incremental profitability without changing the essence of our business model. And these opportunities – we’ve been reporting on them in our – mainly one, increasing our customer base and our cross-sell penetration and we’ve been reporting on that for the last year and this quarter as well.

Two, changing our funding mix to be more heavy on deposits as opposed to other sources. We’ve said over and over that deposits are our most efficient source of funding, and we’ve been growing that systematically. Three, operational efficiency, re-engineering some key processes have yielded great results and we’re already seeing that.Four is turning basically our treasury unit in more of our client solutions platform to generate additional fee income. That’s an important project of this year and we’ll be reporting on that as time goes by. And then – and fifth and probably the most important one is adding structured trade finance solutions to our plain vanilla products. This will be supply chain finance solutions that will enable us to increase margins without incremental credit risk as we take advantage of the arbitrage opportunities in the supply chain of our clients.

We think that all this together with active balance sheet management will assure that we reach sustainable mid-teens ROEs over the long run as we communicated in our Investor Day. Second question was I think regarding – I think it was two questions, right?Operator Now the second question, what is the rationale behind not increasing your dividend policy to pre-pandemic levels?Jorge Salas Yes. Good question as well. Consistent with the guidance that we gave, as I said in the Investor Day, the bank is clearly in growth mode. This year growth will be moderate, given the headwinds in the region, but make no mistake the bank is in growth mode. We are currently operating at the lower end of our capital ratio guidance that was between 15% and 16%.

This is the capital ratio that we feel we need to operate in the region we operate and we will remain strongly capitalized and not risk our investment grade rating by any means.Having said that, the Board has, as I always say its ongoing discussions on capital management always with a long-term view. Alternatives on capital management that are discussed at the Board level include issuing 81 hybrid type instruments depending on marketing conditions, potential extraordinary dividends in case we have exceptional returns and even additional buybacks depending on market conditions. So all that is being discussed at the Board level.Operator Okay. Thank you very much. Yes. We’ll be proceeding to the next text question. This question is from Mr. Jeffrey Otto from Jeffrey Otto CPA.

Congratulations on your continued execution of your business plan. As a long-term investor, I truly appreciate your work. Thank you. Regarding net interest margin, you leveraged it up in late 2021, capturing the 2022, 2023 increase in interest rates against prior and lower cost of funds. Could you please give us a little bit more insight as to the timing of your debt maturities and the difference between your existing cost of funds and would approximate cost and rate would be in today’s environment?Jorge Salas That’s a very good question as well. Thank you so much. And since it’s related to funding and cost of funds, I’m going to turn it to Eduardo Vivone, our Head of Treasury and Capital Markets. Eduardo, do you want to tackle that?Eduardo Vivone Yes.

Thank you, Jorge. The first significant maturities for the bank are our U.S. bond and couple of Mexican [indiscernible] that will take place in late 2024 and 2025. Having said that, the bank maintains a practically matched book in terms of contractual maturities and will continue to monitor markets to seize any new opportunities that this capital markets may provide to further reinforce our already robust funding base. As regard to cost of funds, which I believe was the second part of your question, I would say that considering the short average standard of our balance sheet in terms of spread, our current funding level are a good reflection of the cost the bank has to face in the market in the current environment. As regard to interest rate gap, the bank took advantage of a low interest rate environment in 2020, 2021, [indiscernible] into fixed rate medium term transactions that have resulted in a positive average gap, allowing assets to replace faster than liabilities.

The benefit of this gap, approximately 25 basis points as of today is expected to narrow as interest rates reach their peak. Having said that, the bank maintains more than $1 billion of very low cost fixed rate liabilities that reprised beyond the next 12 months. I hope I have answered your questions. If there’s anything else, please let me know.Operator Okay. Thank you very much. We will now take the voice question from [indiscernible]. Please go ahead, sir. Your line is open.Unidentified Analyst Hi. Good morning, Jorge and Ana. I got a question on net interest margins, which has been a positive surprise, I would say. You were guiding like between 2 and 2.4 for the full-year. Now you said, we are 2.4 already, which means that the return on equity will go instead of 10, 11 to 11, 13.

How do I need to think about net interest margins during the rest of the year? I know there’s a lot of moving pieces. I know there’s interest rates and this uncertainty. But living aside the interest rates in the states and especially on the lending spread, the lending spread looks very good, 3%, which is more than the sort of target you have. How do I need to think about [data] spread in the next few quarters? I guess there is risk appetite, there is the optimization plan and there is the market environment, but if you can give us some color on how do you expect the margins aside from the interest rate cycle in the states? Thank you.Jorge Salas Thank you, [Ngo]. So we are clearly a dollar denominated lender. All of our assets and liabilities, most of them are floating.

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