Analysts Say AI Is Not the ‘Death Knell’ for Atlassian (TEAM) Stock

Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) is one of the AI Stocks Analysts Say You Should Watch CloselyOn September 11, Guggenheim analyst Howard Ma initiated coverage on the stock with a Buy rating and a price target of $225.00.

According to the firm, investor sentiment on the shares has been “depressed” due to concerns that AI coding tools is going to impact Atlassian’s seat-based model negatively.

Nevertheless, the analysts told investors in a research note that even though there are indications that AI may impair entry level job growth, it isn’t the “death knell for Atlassian.” The firm further noted that global developer headcount continues to rise and while AI improves productivity, user growth should continue.

“Key Message: We’re initiating coverage of TEAM shares with a Buy rating and $225 price target, representing 30% potential upside. Atlassian has been a paradigm for product-led growth that has led to consistent Rule of 50 status. Underpinning this rarefied air are 300,000+ customers of its collaboration products like Jira and Confluence, while expansion into service management, AI workflows via Rovo, and upmarket investments are bearing fruit for its wall to-wall “System of Work” strategy. Recently, investor sentiment has been depressed, due to concerns that AI coding tools will hurt Atlassian’s seat-based model, which is split evenly between technical and non-technical users.”

“Despite indications that AI may impair entry level job growth, especially roles like software developers, we don’t view this as the death knell for Atlassian. Global developer headcount continues to rise, and while AI improves productivity, user growth should continue. Moreover, AI-driven app development should increase usage of Atlassian’s products, supported by positive web and mobile app traffic trends. Could AI cause seat compression over time? Possibly, but even if so, we calculate Atlassian has penetrated at most 20% of its global addressable opportunity today and max one-third by 2029, leaving ample room to achieve its LT target of $10B by FY29. We see Cloud revenue ultimately growing 25% in FY26 and total revenue re-accelerating to 22% (vs. consensus/guide of 21% and 18%, respectively) with 30%+ FCF margin (vs. consensus at 28%). Migration benefit should be less vs. prior years, more than offset by higher pricing and expansions/cross-sell, while Data Center EOL could provide further top and bottom line upside.”

Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) is a global software company that designs, develops, licenses, and maintains various software products worldwide.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of TEAM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TEAM and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.