Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Align Technology, Inc. on Stock Analysis Compilation’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on ALGN. Align Technology, Inc.’s share was trading at $204.13 as of July 23rd. ALGN’s trailing and forward P/E were 37.11 and 20.00, respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

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Align Technology (ALGN), a leader in clear aligners through its Invisalign brand, represents a high-quality investment acquired at an attractive valuation amid market dislocation. The position was initiated at $150 per share on April 4, shortly after Liberation Day tariffs triggered a broad equity sell-off, creating a compelling entry point for a business that had traded above $300 as recently as April 2024 and over $700 during its COVID-era hyper-growth in 2021.

Once a market favorite, ALGN saw its growth decelerate following pandemic-driven demand pull-forward and a more challenging consumer financing environment, which weighed on sales. Near-term sentiment remains pressured by emerging low-end competitors and softer consumer confidence amid rising recession risks.

However, Invisalign’s premium positioning and entrenched trust among orthodontists provide a defensible moat, with price-focused entrants posing limited structural threat. Longer term, clear aligners remain underpenetrated, representing just about 20% of more than 20 million new orthodontic cases annually, leaving substantial room for continued share gains as the global orthodontics market evolves.

The recent pause in reciprocal tariffs catalyzed a sharp rebound in ALGN shares, validating the thesis that market concerns were overly discounted. While the team does not expect a near-term inflection in growth, ALGN’s durable brand equity, leadership position, and favorable long-term adoption trends support the view that the company can compound value meaningfully from current levels. The dislocation provided a rare opportunity to acquire a market leader with a robust competitive moat and long-term growth runway at a valuation that offers a compelling risk/reward profile.

Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) by DIY Investor in June 2025, highlighting Invisalign’s brand moat, earnings momentum, and undervaluation after multiple compressions. The stock has appreciated about 8% since our coverage, as market concerns eased. The thesis remains intact given ALGN’s leadership and underpenetrated market. Stock Analysis Compilation shares a similar view but emphasizes valuation reset post-volatility.

Align Technology, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 52 hedge fund portfolios held ALGN at the end of the first quarter which was 58 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of ALGN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ALGN and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.