5 Tech Stocks to Avoid Until 2024

2. Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 78

Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) designs and manufactures memory and storage products worldwide, operating through four segments – Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. As of August 9, the stock has lost about 38% in value year to date. The NASDAQ 100 underperformed after the company recently warned of the falling demand for chips.

Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar on August 9 maintained an Underweight rating on Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) with a $50 price target after the company reiterated that FQ4 revenue may clock in at the low end of the revenue guidance or even below that range, while Q1 revenue and margins are forecasted to also see sequential drops. The softness in PCs and smartphones is not surprising, but the same patterns reflected in other end markets is concerning, the analyst told investors in a research note. The negative free cash flow in the first fiscal quarter is also unexpected, added the analyst.

According to Insider Monkey’s data, Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) was part of 78 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q1 2022, down from 83 funds in the previous quarter. David Goel and Paul Ferri’s Matrix Capital Management is a significant stakeholder of the company, with 4 million shares worth $311.56 million. 

Here is what Hazelton Capital Partners has to say about Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) in its Q3 2021 investor letter:

“It’s hard to explain how shares of Micron Technology, manufacturer of DRAM and NAND semiconductor chips, can fall during a global chip shortage. In most industries, focusing on demand can give you a clear insight into what lays ahead for a company. Today, the memory and storage chip industry is no different. However, in the past, companies focused on market share led to the reckless build out of chip fabrication plants (FABs), oversupply, falling average selling prices (ASPs) of memory and storage chips, lower margins, and declining cash flows. As the industry consolidated – there are now just 3 major producers of DRAM and 5 on the NAND side – rational behavior among the key players began to take hold as competitors began focusing more on R&D. Currently, chip pricing remains cyclical although less so than in the past and that cyclicality has a long-term upward bias. The ongoing transition to newer and more robust platforms (3D 176-layer NAND & 1-Alpha node DRAM) has provided the memory and storage chip industry with improved supply capacity under its current manufacturing footprint, ultimately pressuring ASPs. Over the past three years, as most of the large platform conversions have already taken place, being able to add more bits per wafer has reached a saturation point. With no major FAB build outs planned in the near-term by competitors Samsung or SK Hynix, constrained supply and flattening cost curves should lead to durable and upward sloping ASPs once the recent volatility from the chip shortage subsides.

Currently Micron Technology trades at just 8x 2022 estimated earnings. MU is expecting growth in both DRAM and NAND not just from the supply of more chips to data centers, artificial intelligence, the auto sector, and mobile devices, but also from greater demand for gigabyte capacity per unit within those segments. With a healthy balance sheet, improving return on invested capital, and expanding cash flows, not only should Micron benefit from improving future earnings but its multiple should also reflect the transition to a flattening cost curve.”