This brief article will discuss the most populous countries in 2030 and their current population dynamics. If you want more insights into the global demographic patterns, read 50 Most Populated Countries in 2030.
10. Russia
Projected Population in 2030: 140 million
Russia’s population of approximately 144.4 million in 2023 indicates a slight decline from 142 million in 2010. Factors such as low birth rates, higher death rates, and emigration contribute to this decrease. But as the country’s population will be 140 million 7 years from now, it’ll stay among countries with the largest populations in 2030.
9. Ethiopia
Projected Population in 2030: 149 million
Ethiopia, with a high fertility rate, has a population growth rate of 2.42% per year. Its current population of 126.5 million is projected to reach 149 million by 2030. The significant growth, primarily due to a high birth rate and a young median age of 18.8 years, poses challenges in resource allocation and infrastructure development.
8. Bangladesh
Projected Population in 2030: 184 million
With a growth rate of about 1.03%, Bangladesh’s current population of 172 million is expected to increase to 202 million by 2050, making it the 8th most populated country globally. This growth is mainly due to natural population increase.
7. Brazil
Projected Population in 2030: 223.9 million
As the most populous country in South America, Brazil has a population of 216 million in 2023. With a growth rate of around 0.5%, the population is projected to reach 223.9 million in 2030 and 233 million by 2050.
6. Nigeria
Projected Population in 2030: 260.5 million
Nigeria, the 8th most fertile country globally, has an average birth rate of 5.27 children per woman. The population of 223 million is rapidly increasing, with only 18% contraceptive prevalence among women aged 15 to 49. This contributes to a population growth rate of 2.53% per year.
5. Pakistan
Projected Population in 2030: 274 million
Pakistan, the fifth most populated country in the world, is projected to maintain this rank through 2030 and 2050. As of 2023, the country’s population has reached approximately 240.5 million, marking a 1.98% increase from 2022. This continual increase is attributed to high birth rates and a relatively young population.
4. Indonesia
Projected Population in 2030: 292 million
Indonesia’s population is 277.5 million in 2023, representing a moderate increase of 0.74% from 2022. In 2010, the population was 244 million, and it is expected to rise to 322 million by 2050, an increase of 78 million over four decades.
3. The United States
Projected Population in 2030: 359 million
The United States is experiencing population growth, albeit at a slower pace. The population, which was 309 million in 2010, is projected to reach 390 million by 2050.
2. China
Projected Population in 2030: 1.4 billion
China, formerly the most populated country, has now been surpassed by India. In 2023, China’s population is 1.426 billion, a 0.02% decrease from 2022. If this trend continues, the population is expected to be 1.4 billion in 2030 and 1.3 billion by 2050. This decline results from long-term policies like the one-child policy, leading to an aging population and lower birth rates.
1. India
Projected Population in 2030: 1.5 billion
India’s population continues to grow, having increased by 0.81% in 2023 to approximately 1.429 billion. Although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous decades, it is sustained by a large young population and improvements in healthcare. By 2050, India’s population is expected to reach 1.6 billion, becoming the highest worldwide.
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