Vale SA (ADR) (VALE), Gerdau SA (ADR) (GGB): 3 Companies That Will Benefit From Brazil’s Currency Depreciation

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Gardau has 42% of its revenue, 39% of its COGS, and 77% of its net debt in U.S. dollars. The positive 2014 EBITDA impact of 12% depreciation in the real should be around 6%. That said, the company, which is down 36% YTD, trades at an interesting level. Gerdau SA (ADR) (NYSE:GGB) sells for 70% of its 2013 book value and trades at 6.2 times the 2013 EV/EBITDA.
The bottom line
The three companies mentioned above have a lot to gain from the depreciation of the Brazilian real. Even if the impact on Gerdau’s EBITDA is significantly smaller than in the cases of Braskem and Vale, the steel company should largely benefit from diminished competitive pressures, the reason being that imports will be significantly more expensive in local currency terms if the real loses even more value. My favorite pick among this three companies is Braskem, however. While the company does not depend on international markets to sell its products (like Vale), it sells everything at international prices, which are denominated in U.S. dollar terms.

Federico Zaldua has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Companhia Vale Ads. Federico is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network — entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

The article 3 Companies That Will Benefit From Brazil’s Currency Depreciation originally appeared on Fool.com and is written by Federico Zaldua.

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