Royal Dutch Shell plc (ADR) (RDS.A), BP plc (ADR) (BP): We’re Closer to $5 Gas Than You Think

Page 1 of 2

There are several reasons to be optimistic about America’s energy prospects: Oil and gas production is climbing, alternative energy use is skyrocketing, and efficiency gains are giving us more bang for our buck. Yet despite all this good news on U.S. shores, we cannot forget that the U.S. is only one piece of the global energy puzzle. There are a lot of signs around the world that $5 gas is very possible, and more likely than many of us would like to think.

Royal Dutch Shell plc (ADR) (NYSE:RDS-A)

Demand is falling… here
The demand for oil across the U.S. and Europe has been either flat or declining for the past decade, and demand for oil from OECD countries is less than it was 15 years ago. Certainly these kinds of numbers should be encouraging, right?

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, author’s calculations

The only problem is, it only tells half the story.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, authors calculations

Based on projections, next year it will be less than half the story.

By 2014, the petroleum demand of countries not in the OECD is expected to surpass that of OECD members, and is expected to be double that of OECD countries by 2030, according to the International Association for Energy Economics. The world will still struggle to keep up with petroleum demand, and the costs to find these new sources will constantly go up because the costs to extract these new sources is much higher than what we were used to.

Between 2011 and 2012, the average reserve replacement cost for the top 50 exploration and production companies listed on U.S. exchanges nearly doubled to $32.72 per barrel. Even worse, integrated majors Royal Dutch Shell plc (ADR) (NYSE:RDS.A) and BP plc (ADR) (NYSE:BP) saw reserve replacement costs balloon to $41.76 and $72.03 per barrel, respectively. Companies like these two are big players in the global marketplace and their actions can have major implications on global markets. When costs get so high, prices will follow suit because companies will need to recover their costs.

The oil market is still pretty inelastic
I cannot deny that the appeal of alternatives to gasoline vehicles is getting stronger everyday, but we need to keep this in context. While many people may be more aggressive in pursuing an alternative to gas as prices climb, the infrastructure to make that a reality just isn’t in place for it to happen yet.

Page 1 of 2

Biotech Insider Alert - $6 Stock To Hit $40

$200 Million Dollar Healthcare Hedge Fund's #1 Best Idea Right Now

The best healthcare hedge fund out there right now is one of the largest shareholders in this biotech stock. The fund returned more than 20% in each of the last 2 years with a virtually fully hedged portfolio, and it's sending out a BUY signal on this biotech stock. Get your FREE REPORT today (retail value of $300)

This is a FREE report from Insider Monkey. Credit Card is NOT required.
Comments
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy

Insider Monkey beat the market by 52 percentage points in 24 months. Our beta is only 1.2 (don't click this link if beating the market isn't important to you).

Lists

The Oldest Money Managers

The Greatest Directors in the World

Largest Animals in the World

World’s Most Expensive Desserts

Best Selling Comic Books of All Time

A-list Actors who Sabotaged Their Career

Rappers With a College Degree

The Best Jazz Albums of all Time

The Most Influential Jazz Musicians

The World’s Most Famous Photographers

The Best Oscar-Winning Songs

Most Influential Choreographers Ever

Most Expensive Department Stores in the World

The Most Expensive Stolen Paintings in the World

The World’s Most Expensive Teas

Top Oscar Record Holders

The Most Expensive Flowers in the World

Countries With a Booming Film Industry

Most Expensive Cupcakes in the World

Uncommon European Escapes

The Most Stolen Artists in History

Best Travel Destinations in Australia

World’s Most Expensive Musical Instruments

World’s Most Famous Animals

Most Expensive Cakes in the World

Most Expensive Kosher Champagne in the World

Most Expensive Kosher Wine in the World

The Most Surprisingly Dark Fairy Tales

Most Popular Travel Destinations in Asia

The 10 Most Expensive Dresses Ever Worn to the Oscars

World’s Most Visited Art Museums

Best Countries for Photographers to Work in

Best Paid Jobs in the Film Industry

The Most Renowned Recovered Paintings Ever

Child Stars That Turned out Just Fine

Books That Were Banned in the Past Century

World’s Richest Dancers

Best Remedies against Bad Breath

Foods That Improve Your Skin Texture

Best-Selling Children’s Books of all Time

Foods That Boost Your Libido

Best-Selling Books of all Time

The Most Expensive Academy Awards Jewelry in History

Most Expensive Japanese Restaurant In New York City

The Best B-Boy Movies

Most Awesome Hip Hop Documentaries

Foods That Stain Your Teeth

Richest Doctors in the World

The Best Movie Sountracks Ever

The Highest Grossing Musicals on Broadway

Subscribe

Enter your email:

Delivered by FeedBurner

X

Thanks! An email with instructions is sent to !

Your email already exists in our database. Click here to go to your subscriptions

Insider Monkey returned 129% in 2.5 years!! Wondering How?

Download a complete edition of our newsletter for free!