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Red Hat, Inc. (RHT), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Trying Desperately to Excite the Market

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As anyone following Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) could tell you, tech companies rise and fall often based on fickle investor emotion. It’s all, in my view, a behavioral game, one that even Warren Buffett doesn’t want to dabble in. The best tech investors can do is to be cautious on short selling and look for growth opportunities that the market has overlooked. Below, I look at Red Hat, Inc. (NYSE:RHT) and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) with this in mind.

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

What Red Hat Is Doing to Excite the Market

Red Hat provides open-source software. It is particularly famous for its Linux operating system. In the third quarter, Red Hat’s revenues increased by 18% y-o-y to hit the $344 million mark, which was in-line with expectations. Subscription revenues experienced a 19% increase that enabled them to hit the $294 million mark. Billing also grew by 18%. More importantly, in the third quarter, the company announced the acquisition of ManageIQ. ManageIQ specializes in cloud management and automation. The acquisition is expected to be a long term gain for Red Hat. It is also an attempt to take on VMware, Inc. (NYSE:VMW) , a company that has managed to make inroads into enterprise through its vCloud platform but failed to enter the public cloud.

I believe the CEO of Red Hat is ultimately right: Companies are looking increasingly for open-source software. ManageIQ already supports great brands like Amazon Web Services, so it has the reputation necessary to lock away competition (read: VMWare). The market apparently has taken on the same attitude, boosting the stock price by 6% despite management guiding slightly below consensus.

Major emphasis is being placed on the cloud business, since this segment is seen as the next great cash cow. Many companies have invested in cloud technology, and Red Hat has seen this as an opportunity to upgrade the platforms of such companies. To succeed in these efforts, the company recently introduced several open source products for hybrid cloud computing. VMWare has similar software, which will compete with Red Hat’s, but I expect Red Hat’s will prevail because of its ability to support on-premise versions.

What Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) Is Doing to Excite the Market

In my view, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) has taken too much of a beating in recent days. Its Surface tablet has been characterized as “dead in the water” before demand could even build up. To be clear, what the market doesn’t understand is that Microsoft is a global leader in software development and licensing. Like Red Hat, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is also looking to invest in cloud computing yet they are not able to achieve the same premium multiple that Red Hat commands due to their image as an “overly mature” tech company.

Well, the market is wrong. Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) can leverage its Office products into the cloud while launching new offerings. The company is in the final stages of working on Azure, which is a combination of IaaS and PaaS. Azure allows for cloud hosting and provides turnkey solutions that allow for scaleable app development, media distribution, and data management, among other options.

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