A recent report by EvaluatePharma claims that sales of orphan drugs — ones that target rare diseases — will grow at twice the rate of the overall prescription market. Pharmaceutical giant Novartis AG (ADR) (NYSE:NVS) was the largest seller of orphan drugs in 2012, and will likely be the number one in 2018 with expected sales of $11.8 billion, but that’s not where I would put my money.
If you want to hitch a ride on the orphan drug rocket, obviously you want to own companies that specialize in highly specialized medicine. Here are four smaller drug makers that are set to soar on the backs of their orphan drugs.
Ultra-rare and ultra-profitable
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN) is focused on creating medications for ultra-rare and untreated diseases. Its groundbreaking drug, Soliris (eculizumab), is the only approved therapy available for treatment of patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinura (PNH), and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS). Solaris is also undergoing clinical trials for three additional diseases and two types of kidney transplant complications.
According to the EvaluatePharma report, Solaris is expected to generate sales of about $3.4 billion in 2018. Excluding potential sales from other drugs currently in Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN)’s pipeline, EvaluatePharma is predicting an overall revenue gain of $1.9 billion over 2013 analyst estimates of $1.51 billion.
Not as overvalued as it seems
Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG) is an integrated pharmaceutical company involved in the discovery, development, and commercialization of innovative therapies designed to treat cancer and immune-inflammatory related diseases.
Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG) reported total sales of $5.5 billion in 2012. Its number one seller, Revlimid, contributed about $3.77 billion in sales. The drug is intended to treat patients with multiple myeloma (MM) and some forms of transfusion dependent anemia. In February 2013, Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG) won FDA approval of Pomalyst for treatment of MM. EvaluatePharma is predicting Pomalyst sales of $922 million in 2018.
Combined, Revlimid and Pomalyst sales are expected to climb to about $7.52 billion in 2018. That’s more than $2 billion over the company’s total sales for 2012 of $5.5 billion.
These two orphan drugs are hardly Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG)’s only source of revenue. According to the company’s Q1 2013 10-Q filing, the company has six commercial stage products, including Revlimid and Pomalyst, and receives royalties on the entire Ritalin family of drugs. It’s easy to understand how the company has recently been trading at about 21 times its 2013 earnings estimates.
