Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Zoetis Inc (ZTS), Kellogg Company (K) – Shorts Are Piling Into These Stocks. Should You Be Worried?

Page 1 of 2

The best thing about the stock market is that you can make money in either direction. Historically, stock indexes have tended to trend up over the long term. But when you look at individual stocks, you’ll find plenty that lose money over the long haul. According to hedge fund institution Blackstar Funds, even with dividends included, between 1983 and 2006, 64% of stocks underperformed the Russell 3000, a broad-scope market index.

A large influx of short-sellers shouldn’t be a condemning factor to any company, but it could be a red flag from traders that something may not be as cut-and-dried as it appears. Let’s look at three companies that have seen a rapid increase in the number of shares sold short and see whether traders are blowing smoke or if their worry has some merit.

Company Short Increase May 15 to May 31 Short Shares as a % of Float
Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) 303.2% 3.1%
Zoetis Inc (NYSE:ZTS) 1,037.2% 19.2%
Kellogg Company (NYSE:K) 118.2% 2.7%

Source: The Wall Street Journal.

An ailing pipeline? Hardly!
For a big pharmaceutical company like Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) that pays out a hefty 3.6% yield and demonstrates very low volatility (its beta is just 0.37), it’s a bit surprising to see its short interest more than quadrupling.

Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK)

About the only factor I can think of that would cause such pessimism among investors is the potential that patent expirations will ravage Merck’s cash flow before new drugs can be approved or purchased to replace this lost revenue. For Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK), these fears manifested themselves in the loss of exclusivity of asthma drug Singulair last year, which had topped $5 billion in annual sales at its peak. In its most recent quarter, Singulair sales fell by 75%.

However, plenty of very-early-stage and new drug approvals could prove short-sellers wrong about Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK)’s pipeline. In May, Liptruzet, an LDL-cholesterol-lowering drug that combines Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE)‘s now generic statin, Lipitor, with Merck’s cholesterol absorption inhibitor, Zetia, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration. The combo drug did far better in lowering LDL cholesterol (the bad type) than the two drugs did individually.

Another bright spot was the recently completed American Society of Clinical Oncology’s annual meeting. Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) wasn’t expected by many to make a strong showing, but wowed investors with its experimental PD-1 inhibitor, lambrolizumab. Most investors and science enthusiasts had their eyes on Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE:BMY)‘s nivolumab, which demonstrated an overall response rate of 40% in trials. But it was lambrolizumab, with its overall response rate of 38%, that excited investors — especially since it has the “breakthrough therapy” designation from the FDA, which would help streamline its development. Anti-PD-1 drugs could be the future of targeted cancer therapy, so both Bristol and Merck deserve close attention.

Paws off, short-sellers!
Perhaps as equally confusing as the dramatic rise in short interest in Merck is the jump in pessimism surrounding animal medicine and vaccine maker Zoetis Inc (NYSE:ZTS).

The best picture I can surmise that would cast doubt over Zoetis Inc (NYSE:ZTS) is the upcoming spinoff of Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE)’s remaining 80% stake. Current Pfizer shareholders have the opportunity, if they choose, to tender their shares in exchange for shares of Zoetis. Depending on the number of shareholders who take part in this tender, Pfizer could retain no stake in Zoetis, a partial stake, or it could still boast a majority voting stake. To me it would be more advantageous for Zoetis to be able to run its business independently of Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), so this slight gray cloud of worry could be the short-selling culprit.

Page 1 of 2
blog comments powered by Disqus
Insider Monkey Headlines
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy

Insider Monkey beat the market by 52 percentage points in 24 months Click to see monthly returns in table format!

Lists

The 10 Countries with the Highest Suicide Rates

The 10 Most Technologically Advanced Countries in the World

The 10 Safest Countries in the World to Live in Peace

The 10 Top Selling Smartphones in the World 2014

The 12 Biggest Shopping Centers in the World

The 10 Friendliest Countries in the World

Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd (QIHU), Actavis plc (ACT), Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) Among 20 Long Ideas from Sohn Canada

The 10 Laziest Countries in the World

The 10 Most Polluted Countries in the World

The 10 Most Dangerous Cities in America 2014

The Top 10 Gold Producing Countries in the World

The 10 Tallest Buildings in the World

The 10 Richest Stand Up Comedians in the World

The 10 Fattest Countries in the World

The 5 Best Summer Jobs for Teens

The 10 Most Religious Countries in the World Keeping the Faith

The 10 Most Educated Countries in the World

The 10 Most Popular Cell Phones in the World

The 10 Drunkest Countries in the World

The 10 Most Expensive Private Schools in the World

The 10 Smallest Countries in the World

Walking Dead Season 5 Spoilers You’ll Wish You Didn’t Know

The 10 Poorest Countries in the World

The 10 Greenest Countries in the World

The Top 10 Countries with the Highest Population in the World

The 10 Most Visited Countries in the World

The Top 10 Star Wars Characters in the Iconic Series

The 10 Most Expensive Android Phones in the World

5 Reasons Why The Illuminati Is Real and a Threat to Society

The 6 Scariest Halloween Costumes Ever Screamed At

The 4 Biggest Hedge Fund Managers in the World Today

The 15 Most Densely Populated Countries in the World

The 10 Biggest Tea Drinking Countries in the World

Top 6 Ways to Improve Your Checkout Process and Close Sales

The 5 Most Profitable Online Businesses You Can Start Today

The 20 Most Profitable Hospitals in the US

The 5 Most Profitable Home Businesses to Start

The 7 Teams that Will Win the Stanley Cup in 2015

The Top 10 Most Expensive Digital Cameras to Snap Stunning Shots With

The 10 Highest Quality Fast Food Restaurants In America Today

The 8 Best Halloween Decorating Ideas to Spook Up Your House

10 Marvel Women that Should Get a Movie Right Now

The 20 Best Remixes of Popular Songs that Will Make You Forget the Originals

7 Most Expensive Cities in the World

5 Least Expensive Cities in the World

10 Celebrities Who Believe In Scientology

10 High Margin Food Products to Build a Business Around

The 10 Most Expensive Clothing Stores in the United States to Get Decked Out At

The 5 Biggest Kickstarter Scams That Swindled Backers’ Donations

The 10 Most Expensive Boarding Schools In the World

Subscribe

Enter your email:

Delivered by FeedBurner

X

Thanks! An email with instructions is sent to !

Your email already exists in our database. Click here to go to your subscriptions

Insider Monkey returned 47.6% in its first year! Wondering How?

Download a complete edition of our newsletter for free!