Is Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT) Going to Burn These Hedge Funds?

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We view hedge fund activity in the stock unfavorable, but in this case there was only a single hedge fund selling its entire position: Balyasny Asset Management. One hedge fund selling its entire position doesn’t always imply a bearish intent. Theoretically a hedge fund may decide to sell a promising position in order to invest the proceeds in a more promising idea. However, we don’t think this is the case in this case because only one of the 700+ hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey identified as a viable investment and initiated a position in the stock (that fund was Tudor Investment Corp).

Let’s also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SAFT). These stocks are Ixia (NASDAQ:XXIA), The Ensign Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENSG), Hercules Technology Growth Capital Inc (NYSE:HTGC), and Hannon Armstrong Sustnbl Infrstr Cap Inc (NYSE:HASI). All of these stocks’ market caps match SAFT’s market cap.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
XXIA 18 90443 1
ENSG 9 24029 -5
HTGC 12 27315 1
HASI 5 31683 -4

As you can see these stocks had an average of 11 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $43 million. That figure was $32 million in SAFT’s case. Ixia (NASDAQ:XXIA) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Hannon Armstrong Sustnbl Infrstr Cap Inc (NYSE:HASI) is the least popular one with only 5 bullish hedge fund positions. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SAFT) is not the least popular stock in this group but hedge fund interest is just average. This is a slightly negative signal and we’d rather spend our time researching stocks that hedge funds are piling on. In this regard XXIA might be a better candidate to consider taking a long position in.

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