Is Movado Group, Inc (MOV) A Good Stock To Buy?

The worries about the election and the ongoing uncertainty about the path of interest-rate increases have been keeping investors on the sidelines. Of course, most hedge funds and other asset managers have been underperforming main stock market indices since the middle of 2015. Interestingly though, smaller-cap stocks registered their best performance relative to the large-capitalization stocks since the end of the June quarter, suggesting that this may be the best time to take a cue from their stock picks. In fact, the Russell 2000 Index gained more than 15% since the beginning of the third quarter, while the Standard and Poor’s 500 benchmark returned less than 6%. This article will lay out and discuss the hedge fund and institutional investor sentiment towards Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV).

Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV) shares didn’t see a lot of action during the third quarter. Overall, hedge fund sentiment was unchanged. The stock was in 19 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2016. At the end of this article we will also compare MOV to other stocks including FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE:FF), Hortonworks Inc (NASDAQ:HDP), and Editas Medicine Inc (NASDAQ:EDIT) to get a better sense of its popularity.

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We care about hedge fund sentiment because historically hedge funds’ stock picks delivered strong risk adjusted returns. There are certain segments of the market where hedge funds’ stock picks performed much better than its benchmarks. For instance, the 30 most popular mid-cap stocks among the best performing hedge funds returned 18% over the last 12 months outpacing S&P 500 Index by more than 10 percentage points. We developed this strategy 2.5 years ago and started sharing its picks in our quarterly newsletter. It bested the S&P 500 Index ETFs by delivering a solid 39% vs. 22% gain for its benchmarks.

sharshonm/Shutterstock.com

sharshonm/Shutterstock.com

How have hedgies been trading Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV)?

At the end of the third quarter, a total of 19 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were bullish on this stock, unchanged from the previous quarter. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards MOV over the last 5 quarters. So, let’s see which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.

HedgeFundSentimentChart

According to publicly available hedge fund and institutional investor holdings data compiled by Insider Monkey, Chuck Royce of Royce & Associates holds the biggest position in Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV). Royce & Associates has a $25.2 million position in the stock. Sitting at the No. 2 spot is Cliff Asness of AQR Capital Management holding a $5.2 million position. Some other hedge funds and institutional investors that hold long positions encompass John W. Rogers’ Ariel Investments, Paul Hondros’ AlphaOne Capital Partners and Murray Stahl’s Horizon Asset Management. We should note that none of these hedge funds are among our list of the 100 best performing hedge funds which is based on the performance of their 13F long positions in non-microcap stocks.

Seeing as Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV) has gone through a decline in interest from the aggregate hedge fund industry, we can see that there is a sect of hedgies who were dropping their full holdings by the end of the third quarter. At the top of the heap, Joel Greenblatt’s Gotham Asset Management dropped the largest investment of all the investors watched by Insider Monkey, comprising an estimated $1.7 million in stock, and George Hall’s Clinton Group was right behind this move, as the fund dumped about $0.5 million worth of shares.

Let’s also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV). We will take a look at FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE:FF), Hortonworks Inc (NASDAQ:HDP), Editas Medicine Inc (NASDAQ:EDIT), and Live Oak Bancshares Inc (NASDAQ:LOB). This group of stocks’ market values are closest to MOV’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
FF 15 42427 0
HDP 14 91351 4
EDIT 10 54080 4
LOB 4 7326 -2

As you can see these stocks had an average of 11 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $49 million. That figure was $51 million in MOV’s case. FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE:FF) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Live Oak Bancshares Inc (NASDAQ:LOB) is the least popular one with only 4 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks Movado Group, Inc (NYSE:MOV) is more popular among hedge funds. Considering that hedge funds are fond of this stock in relation to its market cap peers, it may be a good idea to analyze it in detail and potentially include it in your portfolio.

Disclosure: None