Is Forward Pharma A/S (FWP) A Good Stock to Buy?

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We view hedge fund activity in the stock as unfavorable, but in this case there was only a single hedge fund selling its entire position: EcoR1 Capital. One hedge fund selling its entire position doesn’t always imply a bearish intent. Theoretically a hedge fund may decide to sell a promising position in order to invest the proceeds in a more promising idea. However, we don’t think this is the case in this case because none of the 700+ hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey identified FWP as a viable investment and initiated a position in the stock.

Let’s now take a look at hedge fund activity in other stocks – not necessarily in the same industry as Forward Pharma A/S (NASDAQ:FWP) but similarly valued. These stocks are US Ecology Inc. (NASDAQ:ECOL), Healthways, Inc. (NASDAQ:HWAY), Rush Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:RUSHA), and Windstream Corporation (NASDAQ:WIN). All of these stocks’ market caps are similar to FWP’s market cap.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
ECOL 8 66931 -3
HWAY 19 279048 1
RUSHA 11 77124 1
WIN 13 90590 3

As you can see these stocks had an average of 13 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $128 million. That figure was $208 million in FWP’s case. Healthways, Inc. (NASDAQ:HWAY) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand US Ecology Inc. (NASDAQ:ECOL) is the least popular one with only 8 bullish hedge fund positions. Forward Pharma A/S (NASDAQ:FWP) is not the least popular stock in this group but hedge fund interest is still below average. This is a slightly negative signal and we’d rather spend our time researching stocks that hedge funds are piling on. In this regard HWAY might be a better candidate to consider taking a long position in.

Disclosure: None

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