Is Agile Therapeutics Inc (AGRX) A Good Stock To Buy?

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We view hedge fund activity in the stock unfavorable, but in this case there was only a single hedge fund selling its entire position: Renaissance Technologies. One hedge fund selling its entire position doesn’t always imply a bearish intent. Theoretically a hedge fund may decide to sell a promising position in order to invest the proceeds in a more promising idea. However, we don’t think this is the case in this case because none of the 700+ hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey identified AGRX as a viable investment and initiated a position in the stock.

Let’s check out hedge fund activity in other stocks – not necessarily in the same industry as Agile Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:AGRX) but similarly valued. We will take a look at Century Casinos, Inc. (NASDAQ:CNTY), J Alexander’s Holdings Inc (NYSE:JAX), Harmony Merger Corp (NASDAQ:HRMNU), and Resource America Inc (NASDAQ:REXI). All of these stocks’ market caps match AGRX’s market cap.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
CNTY 8 33083 1
JAX 18 31596 18
HRMNU 6 25560 0
REXI 6 10585 0

As you can see these stocks had an average of 10 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $25 million, which is lower than the aggregate value of the funds’ holdings in Agile Therapeutics. J Alexander’s Holdings Inc (NYSE:JAX) is the most popular stock in this table, while Harmony Merger Corp (NASDAQ:HRMNU) is the least popular one with only 6 bullish hedge fund positions. Agile Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:AGRX) is not the least popular stock in this group, but hedge fund interest is still below average. This is a slightly negative signal and we’d rather spend our time researching stocks that hedge funds are piling on. In this regard JAX might be a better candidate to consider a long position.

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