Gold’s massive historical returns have left no shortage of gold bugs in the commodity world. For years, investors have been flocking to the precious metal, choosing the commodity as their number one choice for safe haven investing. Gold also holds its appeal as being a potential hedge against inflation, allowing investors to protect their portfolios from a rise in prices. Although the yellow metal has no major industrial purposes, its demand across both developed and emerging markets has grown tremendously over the years as investors seek to add value and stability to their portfolios.
In the gold exchange-traded product space, there is perhaps no fund more instrumental to gold’s rise than the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD), which just so happens to be the second largest ETF in the world. GLD is home to nearly $68 billion in total assets and trades over 9 million times a day. But in recent years there has been a significant amount of backlash from individual investors claiming GLD to be a sham and stating that the fund is nothing more than “paper gold”. Whether or not your looking to completely avoid GLD or simply want to diversify your gold exposure, we outline an all ETF portfolio that allows investors to establish a tactical tilt towards the lucrative commodity [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
First things first, here are the ETFs that we have chosen for this particular portfolio.
As can be seen above, all of the funds in the portfolio are directly related to the gold industry. Although there are only three “commodity” ETFs, the other funds do offer exposure to gold miners and explorers, as well gold-hedged exposure to domestic equities.
Below is a brief overview of each component of this portfolio.
The adjacent table provides historical results for each component of this portfolio, as well as backtested results (as available) for the entire portfolio during 2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011. The table also shows how this portfolio performed relative to a popular stock market benchmark SPDR S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) and bond benchmark iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond Fund (NYSEARCA:AGG).
It is important to note that many of the ETFs used in this portfolio have relatively short operating histories, limiting the extent of valuable historical return analysis [see also Why No Investor Should Own GLD].
Gold miners, as represented by GDX, suffered significant losses in 2008, as the global recession hammered equity prices around the world. However in 2009 and 2010, a number of components in our portfolio posted significant gains as investors fled to the “safe haven” precious metal. It is worth noting however, the extreme volatility seen in our equity component, whereas the commodity ETFs have been able to maintain much better relative stability in terms of price fluctuations.
This portfolio is designed for long-term use consistent with a “buy, hold, and rebalance” strategy. As such, minimization of expenses is necessary to avoid return erosion resulting from compounding costs. To this end, we constructed a portfolio with a weighted-average expense ratio of 47 basis points, which is significantly lower than fees charged by actively-managed mutual funds. The impact of this reduced costs structure over the horizon of this portfolio is significant [see also The Ten Commandments of Commodity Investing]:
While this can certainly be used as an all encompassing group of holdings, those who wish to adopt a gold investment strategy that avoids allocations to GLD can also use this model portfolio as a smaller part of their overall group of holdings.
This article was originally written by Daniela Pylypczak, and posted on CommodityHQ.