The GoodHaven Fund has delivered a sweet cumulative return of 40.79% since its inception, beating the S&P 500’s cumulative gain of 28.72%. The fund has quite a concentrated portfolio, with the top ten holdings accounting for 47% of its total portfolio. As of May 2013, its top holding was Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ), representing 9.33% of its portfolio. Let’s take a closer look to determine whether or not we should follow GoodHaven into Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ).
Hewlett-Packard’s low R&D spending
Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) had been criticized by famous short seller Jim Chanos in the past year. Jim Chanos believes that Hewlett-Packard has practically “bought” R&D, rather than innovating in house. In the past five years, the percentage share of R&D spending of the total revenue has fluctuated in the range of 2.35% to 2.99%. In the past twelve months, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ)’s R&D expenses accounted for only 2.92% of total sales.
Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ)’s R&D percentage share was much lower than Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT). Since 2008, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)’s R&D has accounted for 12.93% to 15.42% of the total revenue. In the past twelve months, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)’s R&D spending represented as much as 13.45% of the total sales. Moreover, with significant exposure to declining PC sales, Jim Chanos has targeted Hewlett-Packard as a good short position.
In contrast, GoodHaven believes that Hewlett-Packard’s business challenges are not as extreme. The low R&D expenses were due to the fact that most of its personal computer R&D was done by chipmakers and device manufacturers. Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) mainly took care of design and marketing. Moreover, despite the declining trend in PCs, Hewlett-Packard’s enterprise customers are quite sticky.
Keith Trauner, co-manager of GoodHaven, commented: “When you have IT setups where changes affect thousands of devices, you don’t make changes quickly.” GoodHaven is still bullish about Hewlett-Packard going forward, with the ongoing business restructuring under the leadership of Meg Whitman. With low earnings and cash flow multiples, GoodHaven thinks that the company’s share price can move higher.
Microsoft’s strong balance sheet and the Business Division
GoodHaven was also bullish on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) because of its product portfolio restructuring. Microsoft has been refreshing several offerings including cloud, games, and software. Recently, Microsoft reported impressive full year 2013 results. Its revenue increased from $73.7 billion in fiscal 2012 to $77.8 billion in 2013, while EPS enjoyed great growth of 29%, from $2.00 per share last year to $2.58 this year.
Interestingly, when we take a closer look at its operating performance, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) derived most of its operating revenue and profit from the Microsoft Business Division. In 2013, the Business Division generated more than $24.7 billion in sales, or 31.7% of the total revenue, and $16.2 billion in operating profit, or 60.5% of the total operating profit.
Value investors would love Microsoft because of its strong balance sheet with a lot of cash on hand, cheap valuation, and a nice dividend yield. As of June 2013, it had more than $77 billion in cash and short-term investments, more than $78.9 billion in equity, and only $12.6 billion in long-term debt. At $31.60 per share, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is worth around $263.3 billion. The market values Microsoft at only 6.6 times its trailing EBITDA.