Groupon Inc (GRPN), Zynga Inc (ZNGA): How to Invest In Twitter and Dropbox, Here

The shares of GSV Capital trade at a discount to net asset value due to the high management fees and view that its investments in private firms are worth less than the fair value stated in GSV Capital Corp (NASDAQ: GSVC) financials. In addition, there is some additional discount applied to the value of its investments due to the more illiquid nature of private holdings. That said, trends so far in 2013 are more positive for IPOs. Year-to-date, 38% of IPOs priced above their initially stated range an increase from levels in recent years.

GSV Holdings

GSV has 47 holdings in its portfolio as of the end of 2012 and its top ten make up 60% of net asset value (NAV). Its largest holdings as a percentage of (NAV) are Twitter at 14.3%, Palantir Technologies at 8.3%, Violin Memory at 5.8%, Dropbox at 5.7% and Chegg at 5.6%. Facebook makes up 3.7% of NAV. As of the last report at year-end, GSV has a NAV of $13.07 per share, $252.6 million, a 3% decline from 3Q12. The decline resulted from a slight negative impact from Silver Spring Networks, discussed below, and total write off of Top Hat. The current market price of GSVC is 37% below NAV. Positively, management estimated that revenues of its holdings increased by 80% in 2012 and most of its top ten holdings had increases of 100%.

Poor Track Record

While management noted revenues of its portfolio companies moving in the right direction in 2012, that does not mean profitability is doing the same.

The track record of GSV is relatively poor with investments like Groupon Inc (NASDAQ:GRPN) and Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA) not doing well. Groupon is the provider of online coupons and Zynga designs online games. Both companies have struggled with turning the businesses into profitable endeavors. Groupon lost $67 million in the last twelve months and Zynga lost 209 million. Zynga Inc (NASDAQ:ZNGA) is down a whopping 75% in the past year and Groupon Inc (NASDAQ:GRPN), not doing quite as poorly, is down 61%. GSV Capital also holds Top Hat and Serious Energy which are believed to have no value and a $4.8 million looming hit to NAV.

Violin Memory IPO Could Help

All Things Digital reported in February Violin Memory is preparing for a 1H13 IPO. GSV holds a $14.8 million position which was acquired at a lower valuation than the projected $1.5 – $2.0 billion forecasted IPO range. In addition, Dropbox and Avenues of the World are all growing quickly and may have positive outlooks.

Conclusion

While certain holdings are moving in the right direction and GSV Capital Corp (NASDAQ: GSVC) may monetize some gains from them, primarily Violin Memory, investing in GSV requires buying into its other core holdings. Learn how to find arbitrage situations on funds like this. If you believe the value of core holdings like Dropbox and Twitter will rise, than GSV could outperform.

Mike Thiessen has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.