High Dividend Stocks – Can They Beat 10-Year Bonds Or the Stock Market?

High dividend stocks are attractive options for fixed income and dividend investors. These are extraordinary times in terms of long-term bond yields. On the one hand, investors are skeptical about stock market returns after a poor showing during the past decade. On the other hand, bond yields are so low that it does not feel right to invest in long-term bonds. Currently, the 10-year bonds yield a measly 2.4% and real yields are below 1%. A ballooning US budget deficit and the threat of inflation keep several investors away from bonds. Some of these investors instead head to the stock market and invest in high dividend stocks. Is this a good strategy? Can high dividend stocks beat 10-year bonds or the stock market?

This is not the first time in history when 10-year bonds yield less than 2.5% and the stock market performed terribly in the previous 10 years. We were in a similar situation right after the great depression. Between May 1938 and October 1950 10-year bond yields were below the 2.5% threshold. We can take a look at the performance of the stocks with the highest dividend yield during this low 10-year interest rate period and have an idea about the future performance of high dividend stocks. Insider Monkey compiled the list of top 20 dividend yielding stocks each year among the largest 200 stocks. The largest high dividend stocks are usually more mature companies with stable businesses and sufficient cash flow to support high dividend payments. This way, we exclude distressed companies which became high dividend stocks simply because of large declines in their stock prices. Usually dividend yields are correlated within each industry; to provide adequate diversification, we chose to have 20 large cap stocks in our high dividend stock portfolio.

High Dividend Stocks

During the 13 years between 1938 and 1950, when 10-year interest rates were below 2.5%, high dividend stocks returned an average of 18.1% (including dividends) whereas value-weighted market returns (including dividends) were only 12.7%. High dividend stocks not only managed to outperform the market by 5.4 percentage points per year, they had higher returns in 11 of the 13 years. The worst annual return of high dividend stocks was -6.7% vs. -11.2% for the market. High dividend stocks provided protection when the market was down. They beat the stock market in all down years. They also beat the stock market every time the stock market increased by more than 20%. If the stocks repeat the same pattern in the following years, investors chasing high dividend large cap companies will manage to beat both the bond and stock markets by a large margin. That’s why we like high dividend stocks.

Biotech Insider Alert - $6 Stock To Hit $40

$200 Million Dollar Healthcare Hedge Fund's #1 Best Idea Right Now

The best healthcare hedge fund out there right now is one of the largest shareholders in this biotech stock. The fund returned more than 20% in each of the last 2 years with a virtually fully hedged portfolio, and it's sending out a BUY signal on this biotech stock. Get your FREE REPORT today (retail value of $300)

This is a FREE report from Insider Monkey. Credit Card is NOT required.
Comments
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy

Insider Monkey beat the market by 52 percentage points in 24 months. Our beta is only 1.2 (don't click this link if beating the market isn't important to you).

Lists

Best Selling Comic Books of All Time

A-list Actors who Sabotaged Their Career

Rappers With a College Degree

The Best Jazz Albums of all Time

The Most Influential Jazz Musicians

The World’s Most Famous Photographers

The Best Oscar-Winning Songs

Most Influential Choreographers Ever

Most Expensive Department Stores in the World

The Most Expensive Stolen Paintings in the World

The World’s Most Expensive Teas

Top Oscar Record Holders

The Most Expensive Flowers in the World

Countries With a Booming Film Industry

Most Expensive Cupcakes in the World

Uncommon European Escapes

The Most Stolen Artists in History

Best Travel Destinations in Australia

World’s Most Expensive Musical Instruments

World’s Most Famous Animals

Most Expensive Cakes in the World

Most Expensive Kosher Champagne in the World

Most Expensive Kosher Wine in the World

The Most Surprisingly Dark Fairy Tales

Most Popular Travel Destinations in Asia

The 10 Most Expensive Dresses Ever Worn to the Oscars

World’s Most Visited Art Museums

Best Countries for Photographers to Work in

Best Paid Jobs in the Film Industry

The Most Renowned Recovered Paintings Ever

Child Stars That Turned out Just Fine

Books That Were Banned in the Past Century

World’s Richest Dancers

Best Remedies against Bad Breath

Foods That Improve Your Skin Texture

Best-Selling Children’s Books of all Time

Foods That Boost Your Libido

Best-Selling Books of all Time

The Most Expensive Academy Awards Jewelry in History

Most Expensive Japanese Restaurant In New York City

The Best B-Boy Movies

Most Awesome Hip Hop Documentaries

Foods That Stain Your Teeth

Richest Doctors in the World

The Best Movie Sountracks Ever

The Highest Grossing Musicals on Broadway

The Most Successful Reality TV Stars

Cheapest Cities to Visit in the US

Most Expensive Summer Camps

Most Expensive Animals in the World

Subscribe

Enter your email:

Delivered by FeedBurner

X

Thanks! An email with instructions is sent to !

Your email already exists in our database. Click here to go to your subscriptions

Insider Monkey returned 129% in 2.5 years!! Wondering How?

Download a complete edition of our newsletter for free!