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Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) Earnings: An Early Look

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Earnings season is now starting to wind down, with most companies already having reported their quarterly results. But there are still some companies left to report, and Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) is about to release its quarterly earnings. The key to making smart investment decisions with stocks releasing their quarterly reports is to anticipate how they’ll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you’ll be less likely to make an uninformed knee-jerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

Mortgage and municipal bond insurance were two of the hardest-hit industries during the financial crisis, and with exposure to both, Assured Guaranty felt the impact especially strongly. Yet conditions have improved immensely in the industry, paving the way to big gains even as the company has retrenched its business. Let’s take an early look at what’s been happening with Assured Guaranty over the past quarter and what we’re likely to see in its quarterly report on Wednesday.

Radian Group Inc (NYSE:RDN)

Stats on Assured Guaranty

Analyst EPS Estimate $0.70
Change From Year-Ago EPS (26%)
Revenue Estimate $198.3 million
Change From Year-Ago Revenue (12%)
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters 4

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Will Assured Guaranty insure success for investors?
Analysts have cut back on their estimates for the just-ended quarter, shaving $0.03 per share in the past couple of months. But their calls for full-year 2013 have stayed stable, and the stock has responded very favorably, with gains of more than 35% since mid-November.

Assured Guaranty has been a survivor in the financial insurance business. Even as Ambac Financial had to declare bankruptcy and other rivals suffered their own near-death experiences, Assured Guaranty has recovered much of the ground it lost during the financial crisis. That has put it in a position to aim for future growth, with its purchase of Radian Group Inc. (NYSE:RDN)‘s municipal-bond insurance business early last year being one example of Assured Guaranty playing for the long run.

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